Positioning political selling, disclosed 2026-10-16
Options put/call open interest 0.62, read 2026-11-02
Ethical passes the values gate
Price278.99 USD
Fair value378.39
Ethical score85.2/100
RatingOPPORTUNITY
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-10-21Read Markdown349.22-20.1% to today ✓Accumulation gives way to Markdown
2026-10-02Read Accumulation343.92-18.9% to today Markup gives way to Accumulation after a 7% slide in 13 weeks
2026-07-02Read Markup368.53-24.3% to today First review on file: Markup
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
Every chart read we post on this name lands here. Each one says which way we lean, how firmly, and the line that would prove us wrong. When price settles a read, we add a new entry and say plainly how it went.
Entries are point-in-time and never edited. Times in UTC. Not advice.
25 Oct03:08 UTC
ReadDaily chartOpen
↓
Down · slight
Wrong if a daily close lands above 335.49.
Retest zone334.63 to 335.49
Lid335
Alphabet is leaning lower on the daily and is capped under 335. It just made a new low, but the push behind it got weaker, so I'm not shorting into the hole. My plan: wait for price to come back and test 334.63 to 335.49. If it stalls there, that's the short. A close above 335.49 and the down idea is off. Not advice.
Chart as posted, 25 Oct 03:08 UTC. Daily candles to the 23 Oct close.
A read stays open until price settles it. Held and Hit mean the line we named did its job. Wrong means it did not. Grey means nothing triggered.
Also posted on our social channels.
The full research record, in depth, below
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its distribution label.
Alphabet Inc. (Class A) holds its Distribution at $278.99. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 1 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-11-02
Phase
Distribution · caution
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 1 days
Price at the screen
$278.99
Valuation
14.82 trailing · 18.71 forward price to earnings
Values screen
PASS· score 85.2
Beta
1.21
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
9.96%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is just 10.0% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money.
Pass
Interest-bearing cash
11.54%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 11.5% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
15.72%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 15.7% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
1.08%
Below 5%
Only 1.1% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical Read
Why It Clears, in Plain English
Alphabet Inc. (Class A) clears all five screens. Its business is in a permissible area, its interest-bearing debt is about 10%, inside the ~33% line, and interest is about 1% of its income, under the ~5% line, so it passes.
Read as at 2026-11-02. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
Follow this verdict
Get an email when GOOGL's ethical verdict changes
Today GOOGL passes the screen. If new figures move it to a fail, we send you one short email with the before and after. Verdicts change rarely, so you may not hear from us for a long time.
Free, no account needed. Every email has a link to stop.
Conscience flag · No Tech for Apartheid (employee campaign), BDS Movement
The quantitative screen above is arithmetic and this name passes it. Separately, community boycott lists cite this company: Cited for Project Nimbus, a $1.2B cloud computing contract with the Israeli government and military. Internal employee protests led to terminations in 2024. The desk records that flag here without folding it into the verdict: the screen measures the balance sheet, the overlay informs the conscience, and they are different judgements that belong to different owners. The second one is yours.
What the Numbers Say It Is Worth
The Fair Value Range
Our analysis reads OPPORTUNITY: it trades at roughly a 36% discount to our $378.39 fair value, strong competitive moat, 24.20% revenue growth.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-02 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 35.6% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Where our models see it going: fair-value estimate $378.39, with a range of $292.50 to $435.15, dated to the 2026-11-02 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Google's Dominance and Ethical Uphold
Imagine the digital world as a galaxy, and Alphabet Inc.'s Google is its sun – a gravitational force across search, advertising, and cloud services. Its products, from ubiquitous search to transformative AI, are the lifeblood of the web, shaping how we live and work. Why it stands out is not just its market dominance but also its commitment to ethical practices, which allows us to confidently pass our ethical screen.
At a forward P/E of 23.0x, Alphabet is not a screaming bargain, but with 24% revenue growth and a robust 55% profit margin, it exhibits the financial muscle that justifies its valuation. Its return on equity, a hefty 49%, suggests a company efficiently using its capital to generate wealth. While the consensus rating is a strong buy, with a median target of $429, our fair value is slightly more conservative at $377.41, indicating an 11% margin of safety.
Risks are inherent in any tech giant. Regulatory scrutiny, antitrust lawsuits, and the ever-evolving competitive landscape are the winds of change that Alphabet must navigate. However, with a strong moat safeguarding its market position and an ethical stance that aligns with our values, the risks are weighed against a backdrop of stability and innovation. Analysis, not advice.
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
GOOGL trades on a US exchange. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-10-28Markdown$349.22+0.0%Entry 22
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 6% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 100%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. The street (53 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $429. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-27Markdown$349.22+0.0%Entry 21
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 6% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 100%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. The street (53 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $429. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-26Markdown$349.22+0.0%Entry 20
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 6% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 100%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. The street (53 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $429. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-25Markdown$349.22+0.0%Entry 19
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 0% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 100%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. The street (53 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $429. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-24Markdown$349.22+0.0%Entry 18
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 0% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 100%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. The street (53 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $429. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-23Markdown$349.22+0.0%Entry 17
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 0% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 100%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. The street (53 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $429. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-22Markdown$349.22+0.0%Entry 16
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 0% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 100%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. The street (53 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $429. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-21Markdown · changed$349.22+0.0%Entry 15
The framework has shifted from accumulation to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 0% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 100%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. The street (53 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $429. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-18Accumulation$349.22+1.5%Entry 14
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 1.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 31% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 100%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. The street (53 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $429. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
2026-10-11Accumulation$343.92+0.0%Entry 13
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 31% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 100%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. The street (53 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $429. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
