2026-10-25
Primoris Services clears the business-activity screen and the figures we can measure look clean, but one or more financial figures are still pending, so the verdict is not final yet.
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latest tape · as of 20:08 UTC
The Screen · Industrials · Engineering & Construction
Primoris Services Corporation
PRIM · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $3.7B · 18,526 employees
Primoris Services Corporation provides infrastructure services primarily in the United States and Canada.
Not yet scored65.40 USD
Price as of 6 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quote
Screened 2026-11-06 · the tape above runs as of 20:08 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
- Price65.40 USD at the 6 Nov 2026 close
- Our value readUndervalued vs our fair value, as of 6 Nov 2026
- Our regime readDistribution, as of 7 Nov 2026
- Ethical screenNot yet scored
- OptionsOpen interest leans to puts (put/call 1.61)
- Last reviewed6 Nov 2026 (1 days ago)
- Release timesRelease and earnings times on your chart: Event Guard Mentor
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
PRICE · ONE YEAR
Our fair-value range: $78.21 to $119.12, base estimate $106.14 (screen dated 2026-11-06).
- Trend Distribution
- Insiders insiders bought, latest filing 2026-10-15
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options put/call open interest 1.61, read 2026-11-05
- Ethical screen not yet scored
Price65.40 USD
Fair value106.14
Ethical score70.0/100
Value readUndervaluedas of 6 Nov 2026
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-11-01Read Markup72.77-10.1% to today Distribution gives way to Markup first Markup read since October
2026-10-18Read Distribution73.75-11.3% to today ✓Markup gives way to Distribution after a 13% slide in 7 days
2026-10-11Read Markup84.97-23.0% to today Accumulation gives way to Markup after a 10% rise in 9 days
2026-10-02Read Accumulation76.91-15.0% to today Markdown gives way to Accumulation
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
The full research record, in depth, below
This name holds its distribution label.
Primoris Services Corporation holds its Distribution at $65.40. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 46 days.
| Phase | Distribution · caution |
| Quantitative state | The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 46 days |
| Price at the screen | $65.40 |
| Valuation | 26.74 trailing · 13.13 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | Not scored · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 1.43 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
This security has not been fully scored against the values screen yet.
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 21.57% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 21.6% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.00% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 35.62% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 35.6% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadThe Read, in Plain English
Primoris Services clears the business-activity screen and the figures we can measure look clean, but one or more financial figures are still pending, so the verdict is not final yet.
Read as at 2026-11-07. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
2026-09-24
Clears
Primoris Services clears all five screens. Its business is in a permissible area, its interest-bearing debt is about 22%, inside the ~33% line, and almost none of its income is interest, so it passes.
Earlier reads, kept as written. The ethical profile is tracked over time, not overwritten.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Our analysis reads Undervalued vs our fair value, as of 6 Nov 2026: it trades at roughly a 44% discount to our $106.14 fair value.
How a fair value is estimated: discounted cash flow (DCF).
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-06 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 38.4% discount to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 15 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +65% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere our models see it going: fair-value estimate $106.14, with a range of $78.21 to $119.12, dated to the 2026-11-06 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsInfrastructure contractor with shrinking sales and thin margins
Picture crews stringing power lines across Texas or fixing gas mains in Alberta. Every contract still has to clear rising material costs and labour shortages before any profit lands. Primoris shows revenue down 5 percent, a 3 percent profit margin and an unknown competitive edge in a business where the next downturn can wipe out years of gains.
We pass despite the 30 percent gap to our fair value and a clean ethical screen. Forward earnings sit at 16 times with an ROE of 16 percent that looks respectable until you remember this is a cyclical engineering business where peak margins often coincide with the top of the cycle. Analyst targets cluster near 116 yet offer no buffer against the revenue trend already visible.
The real risk sits in execution and volume. A single delay on a large utility project or a pullback in energy spending can turn modest returns into losses quickly. Low margins leave little room for error when input costs move. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 13.1xreasonably valued |
| Trailing P/E | 26.7xa premium valuation |
| EPS, trailing | 2.56 |
| EPS, forward | 5.21 |
| Revenue growth | -10.7%revenue is shrinking |
| Profit margin | 1.9%barely profitable |
| Return on equity | 8.9%a modest return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | 2.18% |
| Dividend yield | 32.00% |
| Debt to equity | 0.80moderate, manageable leverage |
| Current ratio | 1.18adequate liquidity, worth monitoring |
| Beta | 1.43moves a little more than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.12% |
| 52-week range | 62.41 - 205.50 |
| Market cap | $3.7B |
| Employees | 18,526 |
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradePRIM trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
2026-11-03
Markup $72.77
+0.0% Entry 17
The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 31%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 38%. The street (14 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $146. Insiders have been net buyers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-11-02
Markup $72.77
+0.0% Entry 16
The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 31%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 38%. The street (14 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $146. Insiders have been net buyers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-11-01
Markup · changed $72.77
+11.9% Entry 15
The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 11.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 31%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 38%. The street (14 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $146. Insiders have been net buyers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-31
Distribution $65.03
+0.0% Entry 14
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 31%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 38%. The street (14 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $146. Insiders have been net buyers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-30
Distribution $65.03
+0.0% Entry 13
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 31%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 38%. The street (14 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $146. Insiders have been net buyers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-29
Distribution $65.03
-10.5% Entry 12
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 10.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 31%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 38%. The street (14 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $146. Insiders have been net buyers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-28
Distribution $72.67
+0.0% Entry 11
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 31%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 38%. The street (14 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $146. Insiders have been net buyers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-27
Distribution $72.67
+0.0% Entry 10
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 31%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 38%. The street (14 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $146. Insiders have been net buyers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-25
Distribution $72.67
-1.5% Entry 9
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 1.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 31%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 38%. The street (14 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $146. Insiders have been net buyers over the past quarter.
2026-10-18
Distribution · changed $73.75
-13.2% Entry 8
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 13.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 7% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 31%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 38%. The street (14 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $146.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
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| Date | Insider | Title | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | McCallister Terry D | Dir | P - Purchase | 22 | $1,720 |
Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $114.39 | -18.0% | · | $820 | -18.0% |
| 2 months | $161.14 | -41.8% | · | $582 | -41.8% |
| 3 months | $132.18 | -29.1% | $0.08 | $710 | -29.0% |
| 6 months | $136.82 | -31.5% | $0.16 | $687 | -31.3% |
| 1 year | $71.72 | +30.8% | $0.32 | $1,312 | +31.2% |
| 2 years | $52.69 | +78.0% | $0.60 | $1,791 | +79.1% |
| 3 years | $29.48 | +218.1% | $0.84 | $3,210 | +221.0% |
| 5 years | $31.39 | +198.8% | $1.32 | $3,030 | +203.0% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever PRIM does next, these words stay.
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