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Vol. II · No. 263Sunday, 20 September 2026
TTitan Protect
The Screen · Industrials · Metal Fabrication

Tredegar Corp

TG · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $240M · 1,700 employees

Tredegar Corporation, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells aluminum extrusions, and polyethylene and polypropylene plastic films in the United States and internationally.

PASS · Titan Ethical · score 70.0
6.88 USD

At the last full screen
2026-09-18

Screened 2026-09-18 · the tape above runs as of 21:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed

The Label · The Season, Not the Day

This name holds its markdown label.

Tredegar Corp holds its Markdown at $6.88. Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 13 days.

As held on the ledger · 2026-09-18
PhaseMarkdown · caution
Quantitative stateElevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 13 days
Price at the screen$6.88
Valuation7.32 trailing · 6.20 forward price to earnings
Values screenPASS · score 70.0
Beta0.78
The Workings

Five Screens, Shown in Full

Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.

TestFigureLimitWhat it meansStatus
Business activity Permissible Core business clean Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. Pass
Debt load 13.00% Below 33% Interest-bearing debt is just 13.0% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. Pass
Interest-bearing cash 0.00% Below 33% Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. Pass
Receivables 23.36% Below 49% Money owed to the company is 23.4% of assets, under the 49% limit. Pass
Revenue purity 0.00% Below 5% Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. Pass

Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.

What the Numbers Say It Is Worth

The Fair Value Range

7.03Conservative7.69Base case11.01Growth case 6.88Price

Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-18 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 11.8% margin of safety to the base estimate.

Price History & Projections
$14.7$9.6$4.4TODAY5y agoPROJECTIONOur fair value$7.69 -2%Conservative$7.03 -11%

Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-18 screen.

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The Business, in Plain Words
The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E6.2xcheap for a company growing this fast
Trailing P/E7.3xvery cheap relative to earnings
EPS, trailing0.94
EPS, forward1.11
Revenue growth+20.8%strong top-line growth
Profit margin4.3%barely profitable
Return on equity15.5%a solid return on shareholder capital
FCF yield6.66%
Debt to equity0.27minimal debt: a conservative balance sheet
Current ratio1.73healthy short-term liquidity
Beta0.78steadier than the market
Short interest, float0.03%
52-week range6.25 - 10.53
MoatNONE
Market cap$240M
Employees1,700

The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Where & How to Trade

TG trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited

Every Entry, As Written

2026-09-14 Markdown · changed $7.66 +1.9% Entry 5

The framework has shifted from markup to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 1.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 9%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%.

2026-08-14 Markup · changed $7.52 -8.2% Entry 4

The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 8.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 9%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%.

2026-07-18 Distribution $8.19 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 9%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%.

2026-07-03 Distribution $8.19 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Distribution $8.19 Entry 1

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

Related Securities · Others in TG's Space

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

The Political Ledger · Congressional Disclosures
Disclosures naming TG
DatePoliticianPartyTypeAmount
2026-07-14 Debbie Dingell Democrat buy 15K–50K
2026-05-27 John Boozman Republican sell 1K–15K
2026-05-27 John Boozman Republican buy 1K–15K
2026-05-26 Dave McCormick Republican sell 100K–250K
2026-05-13 John Boozman Republican sell 1K–15K
What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $9.36 -15.9% · $841 -15.9%
2 months $8.84 -10.9% · $891 -10.9%
3 months $7.86 +0.2% · $1,002 +0.2%
6 months $7.64 +3.1% · $1,031 +3.1%
1 year $8.68 -9.3% · $907 -9.3%
2 years $5.15 +52.9% · $1,529 +52.9%
3 years $7.17 +9.8% $0.13 $1,116 +11.6%
5 years $13.97 -43.6% $1.12 $644 -35.6%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Ledger's Promise

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever TG does next, these words stay.

Tredegar Corp · TG · Markdown · $6.88
Recorded 2026-09-18 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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Screening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.

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