The framework has shifted from markdown to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 4.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 11% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 22%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 9%.
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY · NYSE ARCA · USD
The trust seeks to achieve its investment objective by holding a portfolio of the common stocks that are included in the index (the “Portfolio”), with the weight of each stock in the Portfolio substantially corresponding…
Not yet scoredScreen close, 2026-09-22 · not a live quote
Last reviewed 13 days ago
Screened 2026-09-22 · the tape above runs as of 13:03 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
What this means: price 773.38 against the desk's fair-value range, over the last year.
- Trend Markdown
- Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
- Ethical screen not yet scored
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
This name holds its markdown label.
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust holds its Markdown at $773.38. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 260 days.
| Phase | Markdown · caution |
| Quantitative state | The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 260 days |
| Price at the screen | $773.38 |
| Valuation | 24.99 trailing · N/A forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | Not scored · score 30.0 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
This security has not been fully scored against the values screen yet.
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | Excluded | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. | Fail |
| Interest-bearing cash | Excluded | Below 33% | Interest-bearing cash and securities are of assets, above the one-third limit. | Fail |
| Receivables | Excluded | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is of assets, above the 49% limit. | Fail |
| Revenue purity | Excluded | Below 5% | of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line. | Fail |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadThe Read, in Plain English
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust clears the business-activity screen and the figures we can measure look clean, but one or more financial figures are still pending, so the verdict is not final yet.
Read as at 2026-10-04. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Our framework reads AVOID
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-22 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words| Trailing P/E | 25.0xa premium valuation |
| Dividend yield | 98.00% |
| 52-week range | 629.28 - 779.37 |
The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeSPY trades on NYSE ARCA. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The framework has shifted from accumulation to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 11% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 22%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 9%.
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 11% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 22%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 9%.
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 11% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 22%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 9%.
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
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Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
| Date | Politician | Party | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | John Boozman | Republican | buy | 1K–15K |
| 2026-08-20 | John Boozman | Republican | buy | 1K–15K |
| 2026-08-20 | John Boozman | Republican | buy | 1K–15K |
| 2026-08-20 | John Boozman | Republican | buy | 1K–15K |
| 2026-07-23 | John Boozman | Republican | buy | 1K–15K |
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $739.30 | -1.9% | · | $981 | -1.9% |
| 2 months | $679.46 | +6.8% | · | $1,068 | +6.8% |
| 3 months | $664.25 | +9.2% | $1.80 | $1,095 | +9.5% |
| 6 months | $685.27 | +5.9% | $3.79 | $1,064 | +6.4% |
| 1 year | $596.24 | +21.7% | $7.38 | $1,229 | +22.9% |
| 2 years | $522.93 | +38.7% | $14.55 | $1,415 | +41.5% |
| 3 years | $413.70 | +75.4% | $21.27 | $1,805 | +80.5% |
| 5 years | $396.30 | +83.1% | $33.53 | $1,915 | +91.5% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever SPY does next, these words stay.
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