The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 29% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 283%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 45%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $35.
SkyWater Technology, Inc.
SKYT · Nasdaq · USD · Market cap $1.6B · 1,551 employees
SkyWater Technology, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides semiconductor manufacturing services in the United States.
FAIL · Does not pass the screenPrice as of 4 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quoteLast reviewed 4 days ago
Screened 2026-11-04 · the tape above runs as of 20:08 UTC · 7 Nov · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
- Price32.46 USD at the 4 Nov 2026 close
- Fair value35.00. Our model only; only one analyst covers it, too few to cross-check it.
- Our value readFair vs our fair value, as of 4 Nov 2026
- Our regime readMarkdown, as of 1 Nov 2026
- Ethical screenDoes not pass
- Last reviewed4 Nov 2026 (4 days ago)
- Release timesRelease and earnings times on your chart: Event Guard Mentor
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
Our fair-value range: range not available, base estimate $35.00 (screen dated 2026-11-04).
- Trend Markdown
- Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
- Ethical does not pass the values gate
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
This name holds its markdown label.
SkyWater Technology, Inc. holds its Markdown at $32.46. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 13 days.
| Phase | Markdown · caution |
| Quantitative state | The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 13 days |
| Price at the screen | $32.46 |
| Valuation | 13.87 trailing · -249.69 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 70.0 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 34.11% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is 34.1% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. | Fail |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.00% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 16.80% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 16.8% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadWhy It Falls Short, in Plain English
SkyWater Technology,'s business is in a permissible area, but its interest-bearing debt is about 34% of the company, just over the ~33% line, so it does not pass on the financial screens.
Read as at 2026-11-07. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
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The Fair Value Range
Our model only; only one analyst covers it, too few to cross-check it.
Our analysis reads Fair vs our fair value, as of 4 Nov 2026: it trades at roughly a 7% discount to our $35.00 fair value, 164.80% revenue growth.
How a fair value is estimated: discounted cash flow (DCF).
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-04 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 7.3% discount to the base estimate.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere our models see it going: fair-value estimate $35.00, range not available, dated to the 2026-11-04 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsChip foundry racing on explosive revenue growth
Picture a small US outfit suddenly doubling its order book as factories scramble for custom chips. SkyWater reports revenue growth of 162 percent, a 21 percent profit margin and 96 percent return on equity, all while clearing the ethical screen with room to spare. The shares sit at 31.36 dollars against a 35 dollar consensus target, offering only modest upside on paper.
Those headline numbers flatter the business. Forward earnings sit at a negative 154 times multiple, which in a cyclical sector often signals that peak demand has already passed and margins will compress. With no clear moat and an opportunity rating of none, the low multiple looks less like a bargain and more like a warning of earnings mean reversion.
The semiconductor cycle rewards timing more than valuation multiples. Strong recent results can vanish quickly when orders slow, leaving investors holding elevated capacity costs. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | -249.7x |
| Trailing P/E | 13.9xreasonably valued |
| EPS, trailing | 2.34 |
| EPS, forward | -0.13 |
| Revenue growth | +164.8%growing very fast |
| Profit margin | 18.4%healthy profit margins |
| Return on equity | 102.8%an exceptional return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | -2.04% |
| Debt to equity | 1.36a meaningful debt load worth watching |
| Current ratio | 0.57below 1: short-term bills exceed liquid assets |
| Short interest, float | 0.07% |
| 52-week range | 9.54 - 39.93 |
| Market cap | $1.6B |
| Employees | 1,551 |
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeSKYT trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 29% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 283%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 45%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $35.
Our analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 67% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 283%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 45%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $35.
Our analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 67% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 283%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 45%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $35.
The framework has shifted from accumulation to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 11.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 67% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 283%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 45%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $35.
Our analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 67% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 283%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 45%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $35.
Our analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Our analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
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Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $35.09 | -0.7% | · | $993 | -0.7% |
| 2 months | $28.78 | +21.1% | · | $1,211 | +21.1% |
| 3 months | $27.36 | +27.4% | · | $1,274 | +27.4% |
| 6 months | $20.22 | +72.4% | · | $1,724 | +72.4% |
| 1 year | $9.11 | +282.6% | · | $3,826 | +282.6% |
| 2 years | $7.77 | +348.5% | · | $4,485 | +348.5% |
| 3 years | $9.15 | +280.9% | · | $3,809 | +280.9% |
| 5 years | $28.54 | +22.1% | · | $1,221 | +22.1% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever SKYT does next, these words stay.
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