Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
Ethical does not pass the values gate
Price12.62 USD
Fair value18.00
Ethical score70.0/100
Value readUndervaluedas of 4 Nov 2026
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-11-05Read Accumulation12.62+0.0% to today ✓Markdown gives way to Accumulation after a 21% rise in 11 days
2026-10-25Read Markdown10.46+20.7% to today Distribution gives way to Markdown first Markdown read since October
2026-10-18Read Distribution10.46+20.7% to today Markdown gives way to Distribution after a 20% slide in 7 days
2026-10-11Read Markdown13.11-3.7% to today ✓Distribution gives way to Markdown while volume still accumulates
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
Public Policy Holding Company Inc holds its Accumulation at $12.62. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 3 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-11-04
Phase
Accumulation
Quantitative state
Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 3 days
Price at the screen
$12.62
Valuation
N/A trailing · 10.13 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
-0.05
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
33.83%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 33.8% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
20.62%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 20.6% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.04%
Below 5%
Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical Read
Why It Falls Short, in Plain English
Public Policy's business is in a permissible area, but its interest-bearing debt is about 34% of the company, just over the ~33% line, so it does not pass on the financial screens.
Read as at 2026-11-05. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
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Today PPHC does not pass the screen. If new figures move it to a pass, we send you one short email with the before and after. Verdicts change rarely, so you may not hear from us for a long time.
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What the Numbers Say It Is Worth
The Fair Value Range
Our analysis reads Undervalued vs our fair value, as of 4 Nov 2026: it trades at roughly a 39% discount to our $18.00 fair value, none competitive moat, 27.50% revenue growth.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-04 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 29.9% discount to the base estimate.
Where our models see it going: fair-value estimate $18.00, with a range of $18.00 to $21.96, dated to the 2026-11-04 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Why it stands out
A 28%-growth business trading at just 10.1x forward earnings, with a none competitive moat. That is a 39% discount to our $18.00 fair value: the market is pricing it cautiously while the fundamentals argue otherwise. 2 analysts rate it Strong Buy with a $17.00 average target, about 35% above the screened price.
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
PPHC trades on NASDAQ. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The framework has shifted from markdown to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 20.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (2 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $17.
2026-10-25Markdown · changed$10.46+0.0%Entry 9
The framework has shifted from distribution to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (2 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $17.
The framework has shifted from markdown to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 20.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (2 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $17.
2026-10-11Markdown · changed$13.11+0.0%Entry 7
The framework has shifted from distribution to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (2 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $17.
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved up 47.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (2 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $17.
2026-09-09Markup$8.88+0.0%Entry 5
Our analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (2 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $17.
2026-08-09Markup · changed$8.88-15.5%Entry 4
The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 15.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (2 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $17.
2026-07-18Distribution$10.51+0.0%Entry 3
Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (2 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $17.
2026-07-03Distribution$10.51+0.0%Entry 2
Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Distribution$10.51Entry 1
Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.