The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 2.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 47% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 11%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $16. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
OneSpan Inc
OSPN · NASDAQ · USD · Market cap $764M · 505 employees
OneSpan Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides digital solutions for security, authentication, identity, electronic signature, and digital workflow products in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and t…
PASS · Titan Ethical · score 70.0Price as of 3 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quote
Screened 2026-11-03 · the tape above runs as of 23:21 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
- Price24.45 USD at the 3 Nov 2026 close
- Our value readOvervalued vs our fair value, as of 3 Nov 2026
- Our regime readMarkup, as of 3 Nov 2026
- Ethical screenPasses, score 70.0 out of 100
- OptionsOpen interest leans slightly to calls (put/call 0.74)
- Last reviewed3 Nov 2026 (1 days ago)
- Release timesRelease and earnings times on your chart: Event Guard Mentor
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
Our fair-value range: $14.37 to $16.95, base estimate $14.37 (screen dated 2026-11-03).
- Trend Markup
- Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options put/call open interest 0.74, read 2026-11-03
- Ethical passes the values gate
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
This name holds its markup label.
OneSpan Inc holds its Markup at $24.45. Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 1 days.
| Phase | Markup |
| Quantitative state | Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 1 days |
| Price at the screen | $24.45 |
| Valuation | 11.64 trailing · 15.80 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | PASS · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 1.58 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 1.54% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 1.5% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.00% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 31.81% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 31.8% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | 0.82% | Below 5% | Only 0.8% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadWhy It Clears, in Plain English
OneSpan clears all five screens. Its business is in a permissible area, its debt is near-nil, and almost none of its income is interest, so it passes.
Read as at 2026-11-04. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
Follow this verdict
Get an email when OSPN's ethical verdict changes
Today OSPN passes the screen. If new figures move it to a fail, we send you one short email with the before and after. Verdicts change rarely, so you may not hear from us for a long time.
Free, no account needed. Every email has a link to stop.
The Fair Value Range
Our analysis reads Overvalued vs our fair value, as of 3 Nov 2026: it trades above our $14.37 fair value estimate, none competitive moat, 1.00% revenue growth.
How a fair value is estimated: discounted cash flow (DCF).
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-03 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 70.1% above the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 4 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits −30% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the Street see limited upside at this price.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere our models see it going: fair-value estimate $14.37, with a range of $14.37 to $16.95, dated to the 2026-11-03 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsWhy it gives us pause
At 15.8x forward earnings, the price already runs ahead of the business. It trades 70% above our $14.37 fair value, so you would be buying at a premium, not a discount. The none moat is real, but quality alone does not make an expensive price cheap.
| Forward P/E | 15.8xexpensive even after accounting for its growth |
| Trailing P/E | 11.6xreasonably valued |
| EPS, trailing | 1.77 |
| EPS, forward | 1.30 |
| Revenue growth | +1.0%slow but positive growth |
| Profit margin | 27.8%healthy profit margins |
| Return on equity | 26.5%an exceptional return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | 4.29% |
| Dividend yield | 363.00% |
| Debt to equity | 4.54heavy leverage: higher risk if revenue softens |
| Current ratio | 1.33adequate liquidity, worth monitoring |
| Beta | 1.58much more volatile than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.11% |
| 52-week range | 10.07 - 20.82 |
| Moat | NONE |
| Market cap | $764M |
| Employees | 505 |
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; it already moves more than the market on an average day; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeOSPN trades on NASDAQ. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 47% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 11%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $16. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 15.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 47% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 11%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $16. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 47% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 11%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $16. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 29% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 11%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $16. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 29% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 11%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $16. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 29% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 11%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $16. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 29% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 11%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $16. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 1.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 29% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 11%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $16.
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 3.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are down 11%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $16.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
- OneSpan (OSPN) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript Yahoo Finance · 5d ago
- OneSpan Inc. Q3 2026 Earnings Call Summary Yahoo Finance · 5d ago
- What Onespan (OSPN) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call Yahoo Finance · 6d ago
- OneSpan (OSPN) Q3 Earnings and Revenues Surpass Estimates Yahoo Finance · 6d ago
- OneSpan: Q3 Earnings Snapshot Yahoo Finance · 6d ago
Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $11.71 | +20.9% | $0.13 | $1,220 | +22.0% |
| 2 months | $10.49 | +35.0% | $0.13 | $1,363 | +36.3% |
| 3 months | $10.45 | +35.6% | $0.26 | $1,380 | +38.0% |
| 6 months | $12.94 | +9.5% | $0.26 | $1,115 | +11.5% |
| 1 year | $15.91 | -11.0% | $0.50 | $922 | -7.8% |
| 2 years | $12.66 | +11.8% | $0.74 | $1,177 | +17.7% |
| 3 years | $14.87 | -4.8% | $0.74 | $1,002 | +0.2% |
| 5 years | $24.85 | -43.0% | $0.74 | $599 | -40.1% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever OSPN does next, these words stay.
Thirteen thousand names carry this page. One desk keeps them honest.
Membership opens the full screen archive, the composites built from it, and the daily coverage that prices what the screen approves.
Join the deskScreening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.