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The Screen · Industrials · Waste Management

Onterris Inc

ONT · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $756M · 3,500 employees

Onterris, Inc.

FAIL · Does not pass the screen
14.92 USD

Price as of 30 Oct 2026Daily close, not a live quoteLast reviewed 4 days ago

Screened 2026-10-30 · the tape above runs as of 08:01 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed

Key facts today

  • Price14.92 USD at the 30 Oct 2026 close
  • Ethical screenDoes not pass
  • OptionsOpen interest leans heavily to calls (put/call 0.00)
  • Last reviewed30 Oct 2026 (4 days ago)
  • Release timesRelease and earnings times on your chart: Event Guard Mentor

A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.

PRICE · ONE YEAR

Our fair-value range: $26.06 to $29.84, base estimate $29.84 (screen dated 2026-10-30).

Current read
Accumulation ?
Screened · screened 2026-10-30
  • Trend Accumulation
  • Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
  • Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • Options put/call open interest 0.00, read 2026-10-29
  • Ethical does not pass the values gate
Price14.92 USD
Fair value29.84
Ethical score70.0/100
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-11-01Read Accumulation14.92+0.0% to today ✓Distribution gives way to Accumulation after a 29% slide in 8 weeks
2026-09-08Read Distribution20.93-28.7% to today ✓Markup gives way to Distribution first Distribution read since July
2026-08-07Read Markup20.93-28.7% to today Distribution gives way to Markup after a 22% rise in 5 weeks
2026-07-02Read Distribution17.09-12.7% to today ✓First review on file: Distribution

Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.

The full research record, in depth, below
The Label · The Season, Not the Day

This name holds its accumulation label.

Onterris Inc holds its Accumulation at $14.92. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 5 days.

As held on the ledger · 2026-10-30
PhaseAccumulation
Quantitative stateConsolidating, no directional conviction, held for 5 days
Price at the screen$14.92
Valuation116.53 trailing · 10.06 forward price to earnings
Values screenFAIL · score 70.0
Beta1.66
The Workings

Five Screens, Shown in Full

Does not pass. Debt ratio

TestFigureLimitWhat it meansStatus
Business activity Permissible Core business clean Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. Pass
Debt load 36.59% Below 33% Interest-bearing debt is 36.6% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. Fail
Interest-bearing cash 0.00% Below 33% Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. Pass
Receivables 16.98% Below 49% Money owed to the company is 17.0% of assets, under the 49% limit. Pass

Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.

The Ethical Read

Why It Falls Short, in Plain English

Onterris's business is in a permissible area, but its interest-bearing debt is about 37% of the company, just over the ~33% line, so it does not pass on the financial screens.

Read as at 2026-11-01. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.

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Today ONT does not pass the screen. If new figures move it to a pass, we send you one short email with the before and after. Verdicts change rarely, so you may not hear from us for a long time.

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What the Numbers Say It Is Worth

The Fair Value Range

How a fair value is estimated: discounted cash flow (DCF).

26.06Conservative29.84Base case29.84Growth case 14.92Price

Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-10-30 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 100.0% margin of safety to the base estimate.

The Street's Range
19.00Street low 29.50Street average 31.00Street high 14.92Price

Third-party analyst targets: 6 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +98% from the screen price.

Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.

Price History & Projections

Where our models see it going: fair-value estimate $29.84, with a range of $26.06 to $29.84, dated to the 2026-10-30 screen.

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The Business, in Plain Words
The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E10.1xreasonably valued
Trailing P/E116.5xexpensive: the price assumes strong growth ahead
EPS, trailing0.15
EPS, forward1.74
Revenue growth-5.2%revenue is shrinking
Profit margin0.7%barely profitable
Return on equity1.2%a modest return on shareholder capital
FCF yield9.12%
Debt to equity0.88moderate, manageable leverage
Current ratio1.84healthy short-term liquidity
Beta1.66much more volatile than the market
Short interest, float0.12%
52-week range14.13 - 32.00
MoatNONE
Market cap$756M
Employees3,500

Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.

The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; it already moves more than the market on an average day.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Where & How to Trade

ONT trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited

Every Entry, As Written

2026-11-02 Accumulation $14.92 +0.0% Entry 14

The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 22%. The street (6 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $27. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-11-01 Accumulation · changed $14.92 +0.6% Entry 13

The framework has shifted from distribution to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 0.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 22%. The street (6 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $27. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-31 Distribution $14.83 +0.0% Entry 12

The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 22%. The street (6 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $27. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-30 Distribution $14.83 +0.0% Entry 11

The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 22%. The street (6 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $27. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-29 Distribution $14.83 +9.4% Entry 10

The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved up 9.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 22%. The street (6 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $27. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-28 Distribution $13.55 +0.0% Entry 9

The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 22%. The street (6 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $27. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-25 Distribution $13.55 +0.0% Entry 8

The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 22%. The street (6 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $27.

2026-10-18 Distribution $13.55 -22.5% Entry 7

The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 22.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 22%. The street (6 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $27.

2026-10-02 Distribution $17.48 -16.5% Entry 6

Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 16.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 22%. The street (6 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $27.

2026-09-08 Distribution · changed $20.93 +0.0% Entry 5

The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 22%. The street (6 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $27.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

Related Securities · Others in ONT's Space

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

The Political Ledger · Congressional Disclosures
Disclosures naming ONT
DatePoliticianPartyTypeAmount
2026-10-13 Dave McCormick Republican sell 250K–500K
2026-09-30 Ro Khanna Democrat buy 50K–100K
2026-09-30 Ro Khanna Democrat buy 50K–100K
2026-09-21 Kevin Hern Republican buy 50K–100K
2026-09-21 Kevin Hern Republican buy 50K–100K
What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $15.92 +6.6% · $1,066 +6.6%
2 months $21.73 -21.9% · $781 -21.9%
3 months $25.87 -34.4% · $656 -34.4%
6 months $27.36 -38.0% · $620 -38.0%
1 year $22.70 -25.2% · $748 -25.2%
2 years $44.69 -62.0% · $380 -62.0%
3 years $42.92 -60.5% · $395 -60.5%
5 years $50.00 -66.1% · $339 -66.1%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Ledger's Promise

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever ONT does next, these words stay.

Onterris Inc · ONT · Accumulation · $14.92
Recorded 2026-10-30 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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