Framework Journal · one stock, one dated entry

Recorded 2025-12-31 · Permanent

Spectral AI Inc MDAI

Outside both standards

An entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.

In plain words · Spectral AI, Inc., an artificial intelligence (AI) company, focuses on predictive medical diagnostics in the United States.

The label
Markdown

read at $1.67

Spectral AI Inc holds its Markdown at $1.67.

PHINPOOPSC
  • PHPhase · the trend structure carries the Markdown label
  • INInsiders · no filings inside 60 days, left as found
  • POPositioning · no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • OPOptions · no verdict drawn today, left as found
  • SCScreen · does not pass the values gate
  • edge confirmed
  • edge broken
  • edge forming

Each arm is one independent read. Conviction is not a single call, it is how many edges converge.

The investor read · the season, not the day

As held on the ledger · 2025-12-31
PhaseMarkdown · caution
Quantitative stateConsolidating, no directional conviction, held for 8 days
Price$1.67
ValuationN/A trailing · -1.78 forward price to earnings
Values screenFAIL · score 70.0
Beta1.17

The opportunity · what the numbers say it is worth

Read at
$1.67
N/A P/E · -1.78 fwd
Analyst target (avg)
$6.25
+274% to current

Price history & projections · where it has been, where the models see it going

$11.2$5.9$0.7TODAY5y agoPROJECTIONAnalyst avg$6.25 +234%Analyst high$6.25 +234%

The valuation journey · where the price sits against fair value and the Street

Current
$1.67
you are here
Analyst avg
$6.25
+274%
Analyst high
$6.25
+274%

Green marks levels above today's price, red below; the shaded band is the gap between the price and our fair value.

Revenue growth-40.50%
Profit margin-81.96%
Analyst consensusStrong Buy · 1 covering

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; target range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The values screen, explained · five checks, plain English

This company is excluded by both standards. There are two widely recognised ways to check whether a company is suitable for a Muslim investor. It fails on both:

The common standard · AAOIFI
Used by most halal investing apps
✗ DOES NOT PASS
Our stricter standard · asset-based
The one Titan applies
✗ DOES NOT PASS

Why it fails. The problem is its debt ratio. Because both standards agree on this, it is a clear exclusion, not a borderline case.

What these two standards are, and how they differ →

  • Business activity Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines — no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. Pass
  • Debt load Interest-bearing debt is 47.2% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. Fail
  • Interest-bearing cash Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. Pass
  • Receivables Money owed to the company is 77.8% of assets, above the 49% limit. Fail
  • Revenue purity Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources — under the 5% line. Pass

Every security is read against two recognised standards: our stricter asset-based screen (ratios measured against total assets) and the more widely used market-value standard (measured against market capitalisation). Where they agree we say so plainly; where they part ways — almost always on the debt check — we show both readings and mark it, because that disagreement is the finding, not a fault. We report the score; you and your scholar make the call.

The business, in plain words · what the numbers mean

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E-1.8x
Revenue growth-40.5%
revenue is shrinking
Profit margin-82.0%
currently unprofitable
Current ratio0.75
below 1 — short-term bills exceed liquid assets
Beta1.17
moves a little more than the market
Market cap$53M
Employees65

The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Related securities · others in MDAI's space worth a look

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

The trader read · the latest dated commentary

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 8.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 11%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 34%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $5. Entered 2026-08-05 · Distribution

The dated journal · newest first, never edited

2026-08-05 Distribution $1.67 -8.2% Entry 4

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 8.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 11%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 34%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $5.

2026-07-18 Distribution $1.82 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 11%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 34%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $5.

2026-07-03 Distribution $1.82 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Distribution $1.82 Entry 1

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

What holding actually paid · price plus dividends

If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $2.33 -19.7% · $803 -19.7%
2 months $1.73 +8.1% · $1,081 +8.1%
3 months $1.41 +32.6% · $1,326 +32.6%
6 months $1.72 +8.7% · $1,087 +8.7%
1 year $2.11 -11.4% · $886 -11.4%
2 years $1.64 +14.0% · $1,140 +14.0%
3 years $10.45 -82.1% · $179 -82.1%
5 years $9.72 -80.8% · $192 -80.8%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever MDAI does next, these words stay.

Spectral AI Inc · MDAI · Markdown · $1.67
Recorded 2025-12-31 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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