Screened 2026-09-02 · the tape above runs as of 17:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its distribution label.
Littelfuse Inc holds its Distribution at $410.52. Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 40 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-02
Phase
Distribution · caution
Quantitative state
Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 40 days
Price at the screen
$410.52
Valuation
N/A trailing · 20.43 forward price to earnings
Values screen
PASS· score 70.0
Beta
1.49
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
22.39%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is just 22.4% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money.
Pass
Interest-bearing cash
0.01%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
23.42%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 23.4% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.00%
Below 5%
Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-02 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 16.6% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 4 covering, consensus None. The average target sits +24% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-02 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Fuses and Switches Face Profit Squeeze
Every time a factory line starts or a car ignition clicks, Littelfuse parts sit inside the circuit. Revenue rose 18 percent yet the company posted a negative 2 percent profit margin and the same negative return on equity, leaving the shares at a 23 times forward multiple with a narrow moat.
Our fair value sits above the current price but the opportunity rating stays none. The ethical screen clears yet recent losses and limited competitive protection outweigh the analyst buy consensus and 510 dollar median target.
Risk sits in the cyclical electronics and transport segments where downturns hit fast. Execution must turn profits positive before any rerating holds. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
LFUS trades on NASDAQ. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-09-04Distribution$410.52-7.1%Entry 5
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 7.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 53% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 96%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $486.
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 6.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 53% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 96%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $486.
2026-07-18Markup$472.14+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 53% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 96%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $486.
2026-07-03Markup$472.14+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markup$472.14Entry 1
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
