2026-10-25
Littelfuse clears the business-activity screen and the figures we can measure look clean, but one or more financial figures are still pending, so the verdict is not final yet.
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latest tape · as of 20:07 UTC
The Screen · Technology · Electronic Components
Littelfuse Inc
LFUS · NASDAQ · USD · Market cap $8.9B · 17,000 employees
Littelfuse, Inc.
Not yet scored412.68 USD
Price as of 3 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quote
Screened 2026-11-03 · the tape above runs as of 20:07 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
- Price412.68 USD at the 3 Nov 2026 close
- Our value readUndervalued vs our fair value, as of 3 Nov 2026
- Our regime readDistribution, as of 2 Nov 2026
- Ethical screenNot yet scored
- OptionsOpen interest leans to puts (put/call 1.99)
- Last reviewed3 Nov 2026 (1 days ago)
- Release timesRelease and earnings times on your chart: Event Guard Mentor
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
PRICE · ONE YEAR
Our fair-value range: $373.50 to $561.73, base estimate $479.69 (screen dated 2026-11-03).
- Trend Distribution
- Insiders insiders sold, $604,023, latest filing 2026-10-29
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options put/call open interest 1.99, read 2026-11-03
- Ethical screen not yet scored
Price412.68 USD
Fair value479.69
Ethical score70.0/100
Value readUndervaluedas of 3 Nov 2026
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-10-21Read Distribution391.83+5.3% to today Markup gives way to Distribution
2026-10-02Read Markup409.54+0.8% to today ✓Distribution gives way to Markup after a 7% slide in 8 weeks
2026-08-04Read Distribution442.00-6.6% to today ✓Markup gives way to Distribution after a 6% slide in 5 weeks
2026-07-02Read Markup472.14-12.6% to today First review on file: Markup
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
The full research record, in depth, below
This name holds its distribution label.
Littelfuse Inc holds its Distribution at $412.68. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 198 days.
| Phase | Distribution · caution |
| Quantitative state | Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 198 days |
| Price at the screen | $412.68 |
| Valuation | N/A trailing · 17.42 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | Not scored · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 1.48 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
This security has not been fully scored against the values screen yet.
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 22.39% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 22.4% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.01% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 23.42% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 23.4% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadThe Read, in Plain English
Littelfuse clears the business-activity screen and the figures we can measure look clean, but one or more financial figures are still pending, so the verdict is not final yet.
Read as at 2026-11-04. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
2026-09-24
Clears
Littelfuse clears all five screens. Its business is in a permissible area, its interest-bearing debt is about 22%, inside the ~33% line, and almost none of its income is interest, so it passes.
Earlier reads, kept as written. The ethical profile is tracked over time, not overwritten.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Our analysis reads Undervalued vs our fair value, as of 3 Nov 2026: it trades at roughly an 18% discount to our $479.69 fair value, narrow competitive moat, 20.40% revenue growth.
How a fair value is estimated: discounted cash flow (DCF).
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-03 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 14.0% discount to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets. The average target sits +24% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere our models see it going: fair-value estimate $479.69, with a range of $373.50 to $561.73, dated to the 2026-11-03 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsFuses and Switches Face Profit Squeeze
Every time a factory line starts or a car ignition clicks, Littelfuse parts sit inside the circuit. Revenue rose 18 percent yet the company posted a negative 2 percent profit margin and the same negative return on equity, leaving the shares at a 23 times forward multiple with a narrow moat.
Our fair value sits above the current price but the opportunity rating stays none. The ethical screen clears yet recent losses and limited competitive protection outweigh the analyst buy consensus and 510 dollar median target.
Risk sits in the cyclical electronics and transport segments where downturns hit fast. Execution must turn profits positive before any rerating holds. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 17.4xfairly priced for its growth rate |
| EPS, trailing | -0.50 |
| EPS, forward | 20.17 |
| Revenue growth | +20.4%strong top-line growth |
| Profit margin | -0.3%currently unprofitable |
| Return on equity | -0.3%not currently earning a positive return on equity |
| FCF yield | 4.09% |
| Dividend yield | 64.00% |
| Debt to equity | 0.27minimal debt: a conservative balance sheet |
| Current ratio | 2.76comfortably covers its short-term bills |
| Beta | 1.48moves a little more than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.06% |
| 52-week range | 233.36 - 500.57 |
| Moat | NARROW |
| Market cap | $8.9B |
| Employees | 17,000 |
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeLFUS trades on NASDAQ. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
2026-11-04
Distribution $412.68
+17.4% Entry 16
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved up 17.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 12% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 96%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $486. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
2026-10-28
Distribution $351.39
+0.0% Entry 15
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 12% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 96%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $486. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-27
Distribution $351.39
+0.0% Entry 14
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 12% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 96%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $486. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-26
Distribution $351.39
+0.0% Entry 13
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 12% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 96%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $486. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-25
Distribution $351.39
+0.0% Entry 12
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 96%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $486. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-24
Distribution $351.39
-10.3% Entry 11
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 10.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 96%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $486. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-23
Distribution $391.83
+0.0% Entry 10
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 96%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $486. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-22
Distribution $391.83
+0.0% Entry 9
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 96%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $486. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-21
Distribution · changed $391.83
-8.1% Entry 8
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 8.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 96%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $486. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-14
Markup $426.50
+4.1% Entry 7
The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 4.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 53% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 96%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $486.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
- Littelfuse’s Q3 earnings call: our top 5 analyst questions Yahoo Finance · 4d ago
- 3 EV Stocks With Price To Sales Under 4x Yahoo Finance · 4d ago
- 3 AI Infrastructure Stocks With Up To 37x P E Yahoo Finance · 7d ago
- Littelfuse: Q3 Earnings Snapshot Yahoo Finance · 7d ago
- Littelfuse (LFUS) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript Yahoo Finance · 7d ago
Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
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| Date | Insider | Title | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | Ruppel David | SVP, GM Transportation Bus. | S - Sale+OE | 1,493 | $604,023 |
Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $465.07 | -5.2% | $0.75 | $949 | -5.1% |
| 2 months | $382.22 | +15.3% | $0.75 | $1,155 | +15.5% |
| 3 months | $325.26 | +35.5% | $0.75 | $1,357 | +35.7% |
| 6 months | $271.20 | +62.5% | $1.50 | $1,631 | +63.1% |
| 1 year | $225.05 | +95.8% | $3.00 | $1,972 | +97.2% |
| 2 years | $245.23 | +79.7% | $5.80 | $1,821 | +82.1% |
| 3 years | $259.09 | +70.1% | $8.40 | $1,734 | +73.4% |
| 5 years | $248.13 | +77.6% | $12.92 | $1,828 | +82.8% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever LFUS does next, these words stay.
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