2026-10-25
Liberty Energy clears the business-activity screen and the figures we can measure look clean, but one or more financial figures are still pending, so the verdict is not final yet.
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latest tape · as of 20:03 UTC
The Screen · Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Liberty Energy Inc.
LBRT · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $1.9B · 5,800 employees
Liberty Energy Inc.,an integrated energy services and technology company, provides hydraulic fracturing services and related technologies onshore oil, natural gas, and enhanced geothermal exploration and production compa…
Not yet scored11.35 USD
Price as of 5 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quote
Screened 2026-11-05 · the tape above runs as of 20:03 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
- Price11.35 USD at the 5 Nov 2026 close
- Our value readUndervalued vs our fair value, as of 5 Nov 2026
- Our regime readDistribution, as of 5 Nov 2026
- Ethical screenNot yet scored
- OptionsOpen interest leans to puts (put/call 12.25)
- Last reviewed5 Nov 2026 (1 days ago)
- Release timesRelease and earnings times on your chart: Event Guard Mentor
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
PRICE · ONE YEAR
Our fair-value range: $14.32 to $16.47, base estimate $14.32 (screen dated 2026-11-05).
- Trend Distribution
- Insiders insiders bought, latest filing 2026-11-03
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options put/call open interest 12.25, read 2026-11-05
- Ethical screen not yet scored
Price11.35 USD
Fair value14.32
Ethical score70.0/100
Value readUndervaluedas of 5 Nov 2026
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-10-28Read Distribution15.38-26.2% to today ✓Markdown gives way to Distribution after an 18% slide in 4 weeks
2026-10-02Read Markdown18.85-39.8% to today ✓Markup gives way to Markdown first Markdown read since July
2026-09-04Read Markup19.26-41.1% to today Distribution gives way to Markup with deal news in the headlines
2026-08-04Read Distribution18.71-39.3% to today ✓Markdown gives way to Distribution after a 35% slide in 5 weeks
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
The full research record, in depth, below
This name holds its distribution label.
Liberty Energy Inc. holds its Distribution at $11.35. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 6 days.
| Phase | Distribution · caution |
| Quantitative state | Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 6 days |
| Price at the screen | $11.35 |
| Valuation | 47.29 trailing · 84.11 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | Not scored · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 0.69 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
This security has not been fully scored against the values screen yet.
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 17.38% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 17.4% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 1.76% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 1.8% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 10.66% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 10.7% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | 0.00% | Below 5% | Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadThe Read, in Plain English
Liberty Energy clears the business-activity screen and the figures we can measure look clean, but one or more financial figures are still pending, so the verdict is not final yet.
Read as at 2026-11-05. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
2026-09-24
Clears
Liberty Energy clears all five screens. Its business is in a permissible area, its interest-bearing debt is about 17%, inside the ~33% line, and almost none of its income is interest, so it passes.
Earlier reads, kept as written. The ethical profile is tracked over time, not overwritten.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Our analysis reads Undervalued vs our fair value, as of 5 Nov 2026: it trades at roughly a 21% discount to our $14.32 fair value, 26.30% revenue growth.
How a fair value is estimated: discounted cash flow (DCF).
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-05 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 20.7% discount to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 14 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +142% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere our models see it going: fair-value estimate $14.32, with a range of $14.32 to $16.47, dated to the 2026-11-05 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsFracking crews chasing boom times at a premium
Liberty Energy steps in when drillers need wells cracked open fast, much like a specialist crew called only when the pressure builds. Yet the shares sit above our fair value with a forward P/E of 27.5 times while revenue edges ahead just 4 percent and margins sit at 4 percent. That leaves little room for the usual swings in rig counts and no clear moat to protect returns that barely clear 8 percent on equity.
Analysts still see upside to 35 dollars, yet the numbers point to a cyclical business priced as if the good years will last. Low growth and thin profits in an industry tied to volatile commodity prices usually mean peak earnings get mistaken for the new normal.
The ethical screen clears, which removes one objection, but the valuation gap and exposure to energy cycles still make this one to skip. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 84.1xexpensive even after accounting for its growth |
| Trailing P/E | 47.3xexpensive: the price assumes strong growth ahead |
| EPS, trailing | 0.24 |
| EPS, forward | 0.13 |
| Revenue growth | +26.3%strong top-line growth |
| Profit margin | 0.9%barely profitable |
| Return on equity | 2.0%a modest return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | -33.39% |
| Dividend yield | 121.00% |
| Debt to equity | 0.83moderate, manageable leverage |
| Current ratio | 1.31adequate liquidity, worth monitoring |
| Beta | 0.69steadier than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.16% |
| 52-week range | 11.25 - 34.48 |
| Market cap | $1.9B |
| Employees | 5,800 |
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeLBRT trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
2026-11-04
Distribution $14.81
-3.7% Entry 17
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 3.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 123%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (13 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $34. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. Since the last review it entered the Titan Ethical 500; its composite score rose.
2026-10-28
Distribution · changed $15.38
-7.9% Entry 16
The framework has shifted from markdown to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 7.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 123%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (13 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $34. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. Since the last review it entered the Titan Ethical 500.
2026-10-21
Markdown $16.70
+0.0% Entry 15
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 123%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (13 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $34. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-20
Markdown $16.70
+0.0% Entry 14
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 123%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (13 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $34. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-19
Markdown $16.70
+0.0% Entry 13
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 123%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (13 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $34. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-18
Markdown $16.70
+0.0% Entry 12
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is holding around 37% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 123%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (13 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $34. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-17
Markdown $16.70
+0.0% Entry 11
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is holding around 37% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 123%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (13 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $34. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-16
Markdown $16.70
-12.1% Entry 10
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 12.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is holding around 37% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 123%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (13 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $34. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-15
Markdown $19.00
+0.0% Entry 9
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is holding around 37% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 123%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (13 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $34. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-14
Markdown $19.00
-5.6% Entry 8
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 5.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is holding around 37% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 123%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (13 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $34. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
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Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
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| Date | Insider | Title | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | Gosney Ryan T | Chief Accounting Officer | P - Purchase | 3,000 | $45,000 |
| 2026-11-03 | Gusek Ron | CEO, Pres | P - Purchase | 25,000 | $377,335 |
| 2026-11-02 | Stock Michael | CFO | S - Sale | 3,333 | $55,794 |
| 2026-10-26 | Babcock Ken | Dir | P - Purchase | 14,500 | $223,300 |
| 2026-10-06 | Stock Michael | CFO | S - Sale | 3,333 | $66,660 |
Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $33.29 | -16.0% | $0.09 | $843 | -15.7% |
| 2 months | $27.55 | +1.5% | $0.09 | $1,019 | +1.9% |
| 3 months | $30.21 | -7.4% | $0.09 | $929 | -7.1% |
| 6 months | $20.56 | +36.0% | $0.18 | $1,369 | +36.9% |
| 1 year | $12.55 | +122.8% | $0.35 | $2,256 | +125.6% |
| 2 years | $22.18 | +26.1% | $0.66 | $1,291 | +29.1% |
| 3 years | $12.98 | +115.6% | $0.92 | $2,227 | +122.7% |
| 5 years | $14.39 | +94.4% | $1.07 | $2,018 | +101.8% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever LBRT does next, these words stay.
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