2026-10-25
HMH clears the business-activity screen and the figures we can measure look clean, but one or more financial figures are still pending, so the verdict is not final yet.
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latest tape · as of 14:03 UTC
The Screen · Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
HMH Holding Inc.
HMH · Nasdaq · USD · Market cap $206M · 2,019 employees
HMH Holding Inc.
Not yet scored15.40 USD
Price as of 4 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quote
Screened 2026-11-04 · the tape above runs as of 14:03 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
- Price15.40 USD at the 4 Nov 2026 close
- Fair valueUnder review: our model's value is 1.45x the price, above our 1.35x limit.
- Our regime readDistribution, as of 4 Nov 2026
- Ethical screenNot yet scored
- Last reviewed4 Nov 2026 (1 days ago)
- Release timesRelease and earnings times on your chart: Event Guard Mentor
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
PRICE · ONE YEAR
Our fair-value range: range not available (screen dated 2026-11-04).
- Trend Distribution
- Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
- Ethical screen not yet scored
Price15.40 USD
Fair valueUnder review
Ethical score70.0/100
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-11-02Read Accumulation18.94-18.7% to today Distribution gives way to Accumulation
2026-10-11Read Distribution18.90-18.5% to today ✓Markdown gives way to Distribution
2026-10-02Read Markdown18.61-17.2% to today ✓Accumulation gives way to Markdown with volume flow in agreement
2026-09-14Read Accumulation19.17-19.7% to today Distribution gives way to Accumulation
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
The full research record, in depth, below
This name holds its distribution label.
HMH Holding Inc. holds its Distribution at $15.40. The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 3 days.
| Phase | Distribution · caution |
| Quantitative state | The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 3 days |
| Price at the screen | $15.40 |
| Valuation | 25.41 trailing · 7.96 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | Not scored · score 70.0 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
This security has not been fully scored against the values screen yet.
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 18.32% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 18.3% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.00% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 16.78% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 16.8% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadThe Read, in Plain English
HMH clears the business-activity screen and the figures we can measure look clean, but one or more financial figures are still pending, so the verdict is not final yet.
Read as at 2026-11-05. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
2026-09-24
Clears
HMH clears all five screens. Its business is in a permissible area, its interest-bearing debt is about 18%, inside the ~33% line, and almost none of its income is interest, so it passes.
Earlier reads, kept as written. The ethical profile is tracked over time, not overwritten.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Fair value under review. Our model's value is 1.45x the price, above our 1.35x limit. We show no fair value, margin of safety or value read built on it until the review clears.
How a fair value is estimated: discounted cash flow (DCF).
The Street's RangeThird-party analyst targets: 7 covering, consensus Strong Buy. The average target sits +95% from the screen price.
Where our models see it going: no fair-value estimate yet, range not available, dated to the 2026-11-04 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words| Forward P/E | 8.0xvery cheap relative to earnings |
| Trailing P/E | 25.4xa premium valuation |
| EPS, trailing | 0.68 |
| EPS, forward | 2.17 |
| Revenue growth | -16.0%revenue is shrinking |
| Profit margin | 5.1%thin but positive margins |
| Return on equity | 3.9%a modest return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | 54.72% |
| Debt to equity | 0.29minimal debt: a conservative balance sheet |
| Current ratio | 2.97comfortably covers its short-term bills |
| Short interest, float | 0.08% |
| 52-week range | 16.32 - 24.50 |
| Market cap | $206M |
| Employees | 2,019 |
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeHMH trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
2026-11-02
Accumulation · changed $18.94
+9.6% Entry 6
The framework has shifted from distribution to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 9.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. The street (6 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $29.
2026-10-26
Distribution $17.28
-8.6% Entry 5
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 8.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. The street (6 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $29.
2026-10-11
Distribution · changed $18.90
+1.6% Entry 4
The framework has shifted from markdown to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved up 1.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. The street (6 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $29.
2026-10-02
Markdown · changed $18.61
-2.9% Entry 3
The framework has shifted from accumulation to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 2.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. The street (6 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $29.
2026-09-14
Accumulation · changed $19.17
-3.5% Entry 2
The framework has shifted from distribution to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 3.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. The street (6 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $29.
2026-08-14
Distribution $19.87
Entry 1
Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. The street (6 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $29.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
- HMH Holding Inc (HMH) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Orders and Margin Expansion ... GuruFocus.com · 6 Aug 2026
- HMH Holding Inc (HMH) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Orders and Margin Expansion ... Yahoo Finance · 6 Aug 2026
- HMH Q2 Earnings Call Highlights MarketBeat · 6 Aug 2026
- HMH Q2 Earnings Call Highlights Yahoo Finance · 6 Aug 2026
- HMH Holding Inc. Announces Second Quarter 2026 Results Yahoo Finance · 5 Aug 2026
Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
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| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $21.16 | -0.7% | · | $993 | -0.7% |
| 2 months | $18.69 | +12.4% | · | $1,124 | +12.4% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever HMH does next, these words stay.
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