The framework has shifted from accumulation to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 6.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 13%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%.
AMTD Digital Inc ADR HKD
Outside both standardsAn entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.
In plain words · AMTD Digital Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides digital solutions; media and entertainment services; and hotel operations, hospitality, and very important person (VIP) services in China, Hong Kong, Europe, the Amer…
read at $1.61
AMTD Digital Inc ADR holds its Markdown at $1.61.
- PHPhase · the trend structure carries the Markdown label
- INInsiders · no filings inside 60 days, left as found
- POPositioning · no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- OPOptions · no verdict drawn today, left as found
- SCScreen · does not pass the values gate
- edge confirmed
- edge broken
- edge forming
Each arm is one independent read. Conviction is not a single call, it is how many edges converge.
The investor read · the season, not the day
| Phase | Markdown · caution |
| Quantitative state | Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 46 days |
| Price | $1.61 |
| Valuation | 8.94 trailing · N/A forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 2.00 |
The business, in plain words · what the numbers mean
| Trailing P/E | 8.9x very cheap relative to earnings |
| Revenue growth | 340.9% growing very fast |
| Profit margin | 40.2% highly profitable on every dollar of sales |
| Return on equity | 25.4% an exceptional return on shareholder capital |
| Debt to equity | 0.43 minimal debt — a conservative balance sheet |
| Current ratio | 1.93 healthy short-term liquidity |
| Beta | 2.00 much more volatile than the market |
| Market cap | $506M |
| Employees | 166 |
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; it already moves more than the market on an average day; its business and earnings are exposed to France and to currency swings.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Related securities · others in HKD's space worth a look
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
The trader read · the latest dated commentary
The dated journal · newest first, never edited
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 13%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%.
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
What holding actually paid · price plus dividends
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $1.65 | +1.8% | · | $1,018 | +1.8% |
| 2 months | $1.60 | +5.0% | · | $1,050 | +5.0% |
| 3 months | $1.66 | +1.2% | · | $1,012 | +1.2% |
| 6 months | $1.50 | +12.0% | · | $1,120 | +12.0% |
| 1 year | $1.94 | -13.4% | · | $866 | -13.4% |
| 2 years | $3.56 | -52.8% | · | $472 | -52.8% |
| 3 years | $6.56 | -74.4% | · | $256 | -74.4% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.