2026-10-25
VAALCO Energy clears the business-activity screen and the figures we can measure look clean, but one or more financial figures are still pending, so the verdict is not final yet.
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latest tape · as of 18:03 UTC
The Screen · Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
VAALCO Energy Inc
EGY · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $690M · 281 employees
VAALCO Energy, Inc., an independent energy company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in Gabon, Egypt, Equatorial Guinea, Cote d'Ivoir…
Not yet scored5.40 USD
Price as of 4 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quote
Screened 2026-11-04 · the tape above runs as of 18:03 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
- Price5.40 USD at the 4 Nov 2026 close
- Our value readFair vs our fair value, as of 4 Nov 2026
- Our regime readAccumulation, as of 5 Nov 2026
- Ethical screenNot yet scored
- OptionsOpen interest leans to puts (put/call 1.00)
- Last reviewed4 Nov 2026 (1 days ago)
- Release timesRelease and earnings times on your chart: Event Guard Mentor
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
PRICE · ONE YEAR
Our fair-value range: $5.64 to $6.48, base estimate $5.64 (screen dated 2026-11-04).
- Trend Accumulation
- Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options put/call open interest 1.00, read 2026-11-05
- Ethical screen not yet scored
Price5.40 USD
Fair value5.64
Ethical score70.0/100
Value readFairas of 4 Nov 2026
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-10-21Read Accumulation6.01-10.1% to today Markdown gives way to Accumulation
2026-10-02Read Markdown5.96-9.4% to today ✓Accumulation gives way to Markdown after a 6% rise in 5 weeks
2026-08-27Read Accumulation5.63-4.1% to today Distribution gives way to Accumulation
2026-07-02Read Distribution5.46-1.1% to today ✓First review on file: Distribution
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
The full research record, in depth, below
This name holds its accumulation label.
VAALCO Energy Inc holds its Accumulation at $5.40. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 109 days.
| Phase | Accumulation |
| Quantitative state | The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 109 days |
| Price at the screen | $5.40 |
| Valuation | N/A trailing · 51.79 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | Not scored · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 0.22 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
This security has not been fully scored against the values screen yet.
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 16.02% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 16.0% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.00% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 10.82% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 10.8% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadThe Read, in Plain English
VAALCO Energy clears the business-activity screen and the figures we can measure look clean, but one or more financial figures are still pending, so the verdict is not final yet.
Read as at 2026-11-05. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
2026-09-24
Clears
VAALCO Energy clears all five screens. Its business is in a permissible area, its interest-bearing debt is about 16%, inside the ~33% line, and almost none of its income is interest, so it passes.
Earlier reads, kept as written. The ethical profile is tracked over time, not overwritten.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Our analysis reads Fair vs our fair value, as of 4 Nov 2026: it trades at roughly a 0% discount to our $5.64 fair value, none competitive moat, 39.50% revenue growth.
How a fair value is estimated: discounted cash flow (DCF).
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-04 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 4.3% discount to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 2 covering, consensus Strong Buy. The average target sits +89% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Our more conservative model reads it as roughly fairly valued here, while the Street is more bullish: a quality-at-a-fair-price name rather than a deep-value one.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere our models see it going: fair-value estimate $5.64, with a range of $5.64 to $6.48, dated to the 2026-11-04 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsWhy it is worth knowing
A quality business: a none moat. It trades close to our $5.64 fair value, so the easy discount is gone; you would be paying up for the quality.
| Forward P/E | 51.8xpriced for continued growth |
| EPS, trailing | -1.04 |
| EPS, forward | 0.13 |
| Revenue growth | +39.5%strong top-line growth |
| Profit margin | -31.1%currently unprofitable |
| Return on equity | -24.4%not currently earning a positive return on equity |
| FCF yield | -14.01% |
| Dividend yield | 458.00% |
| Debt to equity | 0.69moderate, manageable leverage |
| Current ratio | 0.44below 1: short-term bills exceed liquid assets |
| Beta | 0.22barely tracks the market's swings |
| Short interest, float | 0.07% |
| 52-week range | 3.37 - 6.72 |
| Moat | NONE |
| Market cap | $690M |
| Employees | 281 |
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeEGY trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
2026-11-05
Accumulation $5.40
-3.7% Entry 17
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 3.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 18% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 62%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (3 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $10. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-11-04
Accumulation $5.61
-12.9% Entry 16
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 12.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 18% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 62%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (3 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $10. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-11-03
Accumulation $6.44
+0.0% Entry 15
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 18% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 62%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (3 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $10. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-11-02
Accumulation $6.44
+0.0% Entry 14
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 18% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 62%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (3 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $10. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-11-01
Accumulation $6.44
+0.0% Entry 13
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 18% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 62%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (3 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $10. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-31
Accumulation $6.44
-1.8% Entry 12
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 1.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 18% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 62%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (3 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $10. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-30
Accumulation $6.56
+0.0% Entry 11
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 18% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 62%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (3 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $10. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-29
Accumulation $6.56
+0.0% Entry 10
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 18% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 62%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (3 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $10. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-28
Accumulation $6.56
+9.2% Entry 9
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 9.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 18% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 62%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (3 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $10.
2026-10-21
Accumulation · changed $6.01
+0.0% Entry 8
The framework has shifted from markdown to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 13% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 62%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (3 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $10.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
- 3 Oil Stocks With Direct Exposure To Higher Crude Prices Yahoo Finance · 26d ago
- Sector Update: Energy Stocks Advance Premarket Wednesday Yahoo Finance · 29d ago
- VAALCO Energy, Inc. Announces Positive Operational Updates Yahoo Finance · 30d ago
- 3 Oil Stocks Linked To Higher Crude Prices Right Now Yahoo Finance · 26 Sep 2026
- VAALCO Energy Sees African Oil Deals as Majors Exit Mature Assets Yahoo Finance · 26 Sep 2026
Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
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| Date | Politician | Party | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | Gil Cisneros | Democrat | buy | 15K–50K |
| 2026-05-27 | John Boozman | Republican | sell | 1K–15K |
| 2026-05-08 | Ro Khanna | Democrat | buy | 1K–15K |
| 2025-11-21 | John Boozman | Republican | sell | 1K–15K |
| 2025-11-21 | John Boozman | Republican | sell | 1K–15K |
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $5.99 | -6.7% | $0.06 | $944 | -5.6% |
| 2 months | $5.74 | -2.5% | $0.06 | $986 | -1.4% |
| 3 months | $5.58 | +0.3% | $0.06 | $1,014 | +1.4% |
| 6 months | $3.45 | +62.2% | $0.13 | $1,659 | +65.9% |
| 1 year | $3.46 | +61.9% | $0.25 | $1,692 | +69.2% |
| 2 years | $5.40 | +3.5% | $0.50 | $1,129 | +12.9% |
| 3 years | $3.45 | +62.1% | $0.76 | $1,839 | +83.9% |
| 5 years | $2.59 | +116.2% | $1.01 | $2,554 | +155.4% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever EGY does next, these words stay.
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