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Vol. II · No. 263Sunday, 20 September 2026
TTitan Protect
The Screen · Communication Services · Telecom Services

Deutsche Telekom AG

DTE.DE · XETRA · EUR · Market cap $137.0B · 196,586 employees

Deutsche Telekom AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides integrated telecommunication services worldwide.

FAIL · Does not pass the screen
28.32 EUR

At the last full screen
2026-06-14

Screened 2026-06-14 · the tape above runs as of 21:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed

The Label · The Season, Not the Day

This name holds its accumulation label.

Deutsche Telekom AG holds its Accumulation at $28.32. The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 1 days.

As held on the ledger · 2026-06-14
PhaseAccumulation
Quantitative stateThe statistical read favours the buyers, held for 1 days
Price at the screen$28.32
Valuation15.65 trailing · 11.37 forward price to earnings
Values screenFAIL · score 70.0
Beta0.29
The Workings

Five Screens, Shown in Full

Does not pass. Debt ratio 48.5%

TestFigureLimitWhat it meansStatus
Business activity Permissible Core business clean Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. Pass
Debt load 48.47% Below 33% Interest-bearing debt is 48.5% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. Fail
Interest-bearing cash 2.55% Below 33% Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 2.6% of assets, under the one-third limit. Pass
Receivables 5.81% Below 49% Money owed to the company is 5.8% of assets, under the 49% limit. Pass
Revenue purity 4.39% Below 5% Only 4.4% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. Pass

Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.

What the Numbers Say It Is Worth

The Fair Value Range

Our framework reads AVOID: it trades at roughly a 52% discount to our $43.00 fair value, 0.40% revenue growth.

41.09Conservative43.00Base case56.64Growth case 28.32Price

Fair value range in EUR, drawn from the 2026-06-14 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 51.8% margin of safety to the base estimate.

The Street's Range
33.00Street low 38.00Street average 43.00Street high 28.32Price

Third-party analyst targets: 17 covering, consensus Strong Buy. The average target sits +34% from the screen price.

Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.

Price History & Projections
$45.2$29.1$12.9TODAY5y agoPROJECTIONOur fair value$43.00 +50%Street high$43.00 +50%Conservative$41.09 +44%Street avg$38.00 +33%

Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-06-14 screen.

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The Business, in Plain Words

Why it gives us pause

At 11.4x forward earnings, the price already runs ahead of the business. Our fair value sits at $43.00, below where it trades today.

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E11.4xexpensive even after accounting for its growth
Trailing P/E15.6xreasonably valued
EPS, trailing1.81
EPS, forward2.49
Revenue growth+0.4%slow but positive growth
Profit margin7.2%thin but positive margins
Return on equity14.4%a solid return on shareholder capital
FCF yield11.31%
Dividend yield353.00%
Debt to equity1.62a meaningful debt load worth watching
Beta0.29barely tracks the market's swings
52-week range26.00 - 34.36
Market cap$137.0B
Employees196,586

The risks · The things to watch: its business and earnings are exposed to Germany and to currency swings; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Where & How to Trade

DTE.DE trades on XETRA (the company is based in Germany). As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited

Every Entry, As Written

2026-09-05 Distribution $28.32 +0.0% Entry 13

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 10%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 15%. The street (17 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $38.

2026-08-06 Distribution $28.32 +0.0% Entry 12

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 10%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 15%. The street (17 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $38. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-08-05 Distribution $28.32 +0.0% Entry 11

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 10%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 15%. The street (17 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $38. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-08-04 Distribution $28.32 +0.0% Entry 10

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 10%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 15%. The street (17 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $38. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-08-03 Distribution $28.32 +0.0% Entry 9

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 10%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 15%. The street (17 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $38. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-08-02 Distribution $28.32 +0.0% Entry 8

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 10%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 15%. The street (17 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $38. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-08-01 Distribution $28.32 +0.0% Entry 7

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 10%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 15%. The street (17 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $38. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-07-31 Distribution $28.32 +0.0% Entry 6

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 10%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 15%. The street (17 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $38. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-07-30 Distribution $28.32 +0.0% Entry 5

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 10%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 15%. The street (17 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $38. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-07-26 Distribution · changed $28.32 +0.0% Entry 4

The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 10%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 15%. The street (17 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $38.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $27.60 +3.7% · $1,037 +3.7%
2 months $30.99 -7.6% · $924 -7.6%
3 months $31.66 -9.6% $1.00 $936 -6.4%
6 months $26.07 +9.8% $1.00 $1,136 +13.6%
1 year $31.81 -10.0% $1.00 $932 -6.8%
2 years $21.28 +34.6% $1.90 $1,435 +43.5%
3 years $17.31 +65.4% $2.67 $1,808 +80.8%
5 years $15.11 +89.5% $4.01 $2,160 +116.0%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Ledger's Promise

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever DTE.DE does next, these words stay.

Deutsche Telekom AG · DTE.DE · Accumulation · $28.32
Recorded 2026-06-14 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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