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The Screen · ETF

Invesco DB Agriculture Fund logoInvesco DB Agriculture Fund

DBA · NYSE ARCA · USD · Market cap $792M

The fund invests in a portfolio of exchange-traded futures on the index Commodities (“Index Contracts”), which consist of Corn, Soybeans, Wheat, Kansas City Wheat, Sugar, Cocoa, Coffee, Cotton, Live Cattle, Feeder Cattle…

Not yet scored
28.68 USD

Screen close, 2026-09-21 · not a live quote
Last reviewed 14 days ago

Screened 2026-09-21 · the tape above runs as of 07:26 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed

PRICE · FAIR-VALUE RANGE1M3M6MYTD1Y3Y5Y

What this means: price 28.68 against the desk's fair-value range, over the last year.

Current read
Distribution ?
AVOID · screened 2026-09-21
  • Trend Distribution
  • Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
  • Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
  • Ethical screen not yet scored
Price28.68 USD
Ethical score30.0/100
RatingAVOID
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-10-02Read Distribution28.68+0.0% to today
2026-08-26Read Accumulation26.30+9.0% to today ✓
2026-07-02Read Markup26.30+9.0% to today ✓

Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.

The full research record, in depth, below
The Label · The Season, Not the Day

This name holds its distribution label.

Invesco DB Agriculture Fund holds its Distribution at $28.68. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 1 days.

As held on the ledger · 2026-09-21
PhaseDistribution · caution
Quantitative stateConsolidating, no directional conviction, held for 1 days
Price at the screen$28.68
Valuation11.08 trailing · N/A forward price to earnings
Values screenNot scored · score 30.0
The Workings

Five Screens, Shown in Full

This security has not been fully scored against the values screen yet.

TestFigureLimitWhat it meansStatus
Business activity Permissible Core business clean Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. Pass
Debt load Excluded Below 33% Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. Fail
Interest-bearing cash Excluded Below 33% Interest-bearing cash and securities are of assets, above the one-third limit. Fail
Receivables Excluded Below 49% Money owed to the company is of assets, above the 49% limit. Fail
Revenue purity Excluded Below 5% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line. Fail

Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.

The Ethical Read

The Read, in Plain English

Invesco DB Agriculture Fund clears the business-activity screen and the figures we can measure look clean, but one or more financial figures are still pending, so the verdict is not final yet.

Read as at 2026-10-04. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.

What the Numbers Say It Is Worth

The Fair Value Range

Our framework reads AVOID

Price History & Projections
$29.3$22.6$15.9TODAY5y agoPROJECTION

Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-21 screen.

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The Business, in Plain Words
The fundamentals · plain-English read
Trailing P/E11.1xreasonably valued
Dividend yield335.00%
52-week range25.40 - 28.84
Market cap$792M

The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Where & How to Trade

DBA trades on NYSE ARCA. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited

Every Entry, As Written

2026-10-02 Distribution · changed $28.68 +9.0% Entry 6

The framework has shifted from accumulation to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved up 9.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 5% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 1%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 3%.

2026-08-26 Accumulation · changed $26.30 +0.0% Entry 5

The framework has shifted from markup to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 5% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 1%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 3%.

2026-07-26 Markup $26.30 +0.0% Entry 4

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 5% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 1%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 3%.

2026-07-18 Markup $26.30 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 5% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 1%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 3%.

2026-07-03 Markup $26.30 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Markup $26.30 Entry 1

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

The Political Ledger · Congressional Disclosures
Disclosures naming DBA
DatePoliticianPartyTypeAmount
2026-08-20 August Pfluger Republican exchange 1K–15K
2026-08-20 August Pfluger Republican exchange 1K–15K
2026-08-20 August Pfluger Republican exchange 1K–15K
2026-08-20 August Pfluger Republican exchange 1K–15K
2026-08-20 August Pfluger Republican exchange 1K–15K
What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $28.33 -7.1% · $929 -7.1%
2 months $26.89 -2.1% · $979 -2.1%
3 months $26.75 -1.6% · $984 -1.6%
6 months $25.71 +2.4% $0.91 $1,059 +5.9%
1 year $26.13 +0.7% $0.91 $1,042 +4.2%
2 years $23.08 +14.0% $2.00 $1,227 +22.7%
3 years $18.79 +40.1% $2.96 $1,558 +55.8%
5 years $16.80 +56.7% $3.05 $1,748 +74.8%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Ledger's Promise

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever DBA does next, these words stay.

Invesco DB Agriculture Fund · DBA · Distribution · $28.68
Recorded 2026-09-21 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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