Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
Options put/call open interest 1.33, read 2026-11-02
Ethical does not pass the values gate
Price2.54 USD
Fair valueUnder review
Ethical score70.0/100
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-10-21Read Markup2.54+0.0% to today ✓Markdown gives way to Markup after an 11% slide in 3 weeks
2026-10-02Read Markdown2.85-10.9% to today ✓Markup gives way to Markdown
2026-08-23Read Markup2.92-13.0% to today Distribution gives way to Markup after a 7% rise in 7 weeks
2026-07-02Read Distribution2.72-6.6% to today ✓First review on file: Distribution
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
Bumble Inc holds its Markup at $2.54. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 13 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-10-09
Phase
Markup
Quantitative state
Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 13 days
Price at the screen
$2.54
Valuation
N/A trailing · 3.11 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
1.86
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
42.06%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 42.1% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
18.16%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 18.2% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical Read
Why It Falls Short, in Plain English
Bumble's business is in a permissible area, but its interest-bearing debt is about 42% of the company, well over the ~33% line, so it does not pass on the financial screens.
Read as at 2026-11-05. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
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Get an email when BMBL's ethical verdict changes
Today BMBL does not pass the screen. If new figures move it to a pass, we send you one short email with the before and after. Verdicts change rarely, so you may not hear from us for a long time.
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What the Numbers Say It Is Worth
The Fair Value Range
Fair value under review. Its inputs are 27 days old. We show no fair value, margin of safety or value read built on it until the review clears.
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; it already moves more than the market on an average day.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
BMBL trades on NASDAQ. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-11-04Markup$2.54+0.0%Entry 10
The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are down 49%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (12 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $4. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
2026-10-28Markup$2.54+0.0%Entry 9
The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are down 49%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (12 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $4. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
2026-10-21Markup · changed$2.54+0.0%Entry 8
The framework has shifted from markdown to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are down 49%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (12 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $4. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
2026-10-14Markdown$2.54-10.9%Entry 7
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 10.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 49%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (12 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $4. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
2026-10-02Markdown · changed$2.85-2.4%Entry 6
The framework has shifted from markup to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 2.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 49%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (12 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $4. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
2026-08-23Markup · changed$2.92+0.0%Entry 5
The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 49%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (12 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $4.
2026-07-23Distribution$2.92+7.4%Entry 4
Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved up 7.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 49%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (12 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $4.
2026-07-18Distribution$2.72+0.0%Entry 3
Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 49%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (12 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $4.
2026-07-03Distribution$2.72+0.0%Entry 2
Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Distribution$2.72Entry 1
Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.