An entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.
In plain words · Albany International Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the machine clothing and engineered composites businesses in the United States, Switzerland, France, Brazil, China, Mexico, Germany, and internationally.
VERDICT
The label
Distribution
read at $63.84
Albany International Corp. holds its Distribution at $63.84.
PHPhase · the trend structure carries the Distribution label
INInsiders · no filings inside 60 days, left as found
POPositioning · no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
OPOptions · no verdict drawn today, left as found
SCScreen · passes the values gate
edge confirmed
edge broken
edge forming
Each arm is one independent read. Conviction is not a single call, it is how many edges converge.
INVESTOR
The investor read · the season, not the day
As held on the ledger · 2026-08-12
Phase
Distribution · caution
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 2 days
Price
$63.84
Valuation
N/A trailing · 20.13 forward price to earnings
Values screen
PASS· score 70.0
Beta
1.20
OPPORTUNITY
The opportunity · what the numbers say it is worth
Read at
$63.84
N/A P/E · 20.13 fwd
Our fair value
$49.63
22% premium
Analyst target (avg)
$61.00
-4% to current
Target low $61.00Analyst target rangeTarget high $64.00
▲ current $63.84 · | average target
Price history & projections · where it has been, where the models see it going
The valuation journey · where the price sits against fair value and the Street
Current
$63.84
you are here
Conservative
$49.63
-22%
Analyst avg
$61.00
-4%
Our fair value
$49.63
-22%
Analyst high
$64.00
+0%
Green marks levels above today's price, red below; the shaded band is the gap between the price and our fair value.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the Street see limited upside at this price.
Revenue growth
5.80%
Profit margin
-4.18%
Debt to equity
59.92
Analyst consensus
Hold · 3 covering
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; target range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
SCREEN
The values screen, explained · five checks, plain English
This company clears both standards. There are two widely recognised ways to check whether a company is suitable for a Muslim investor. Here is how it did on each:
The common standard· AAOIFI Used by most halal investing apps✓ PASSES
Our stricter standard· asset-based The one Titan applies✓ PASSES
Business activityIts core business isn't built on prohibited lines — no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.Pass
Debt loadInterest-bearing debt is just 27.2% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling — it does not run on borrowed money.Pass
Interest-bearing cashCash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.Pass
ReceivablesMoney owed to the company is 19.4% of assets, under the 49% limit.Pass
Revenue purityOnly 0.4% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources — under the 5% line.Pass
Every security is read against two recognised standards: our stricter asset-based screen (ratios measured against total assets) and the more widely used market-value standard (measured against market capitalisation). Where they agree we say so plainly; where they part ways — almost always on the debt check — we show both readings and mark it, because that disagreement is the finding, not a fault. We report the score; you and your scholar make the call.
PLAIN
The business, in plain words · what the numbers mean
Machine clothing firm priced far above fair value
Picture the endless belts that turn raw pulp into paper or reinforce aircraft parts. Albany International makes those critical components, yet the numbers show a business still posting losses and negative returns on equity while revenue edges up just 8 percent.
We pass because the shares sit 45 percent above our fair value with a forward multiple of 24 times and no economic moat visible. Analyst targets cluster around 61 dollars and the consensus is merely hold, so the market already sees limited upside.
Cyclical exposure in textiles and composites adds the usual earnings swings, and any recovery could easily disappoint if volumes stall. Analysis, not advice.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
TRADE
Where & how to trade · wherever in the world you are
AIN trades on the NYSE. As a US-listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering US markets. New to this, or investing from outside the US? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
TRADER
The trader read · the latest dated commentary
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 5.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 0%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 19%. The street (3 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $57. Entered 2026-07-21 · Markup
JOURNAL
The dated journal · newest first, never edited
2026-07-21Markup$74.54+5.1%Entry 5
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 5.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 0%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 19%. The street (3 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $57.
2026-07-18Markup$70.95+0.0%Entry 4
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 0%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 19%. The street (3 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $57.
2026-07-17Markup$70.95+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 0%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 19%. The street (3 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $57.
2026-07-03Markup$70.95+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markup$70.95Entry 1
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
POLITICAL
The political ledger · congressional disclosures
Disclosures naming AIN
Date
Politician
Party
Type
Amount
8 Jul2026
Dave McCormick
Republican
buy
250K–500K
7 May2024
Tommy Tuberville
Republican
sell
1K–15K
6 May2026
Ro Khanna
Democrat
sell
1K–15K
30 Mar2026
Alan Armstrong
Republican
buy
1K–15K
27 Mar2026
Alan Armstrong
Republican
buy
1K–15K
RETURNS
What holding actually paid · price plus dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
Period
Price then
Price return
Divs per share
$1,000 became
Total return
1 month
$61.17
+10.2%
$0.28
$1,107
+10.7%
2 months
$56.97
+18.3%
$0.28
$1,188
+18.8%
3 months
$54.14
+24.5%
$0.56
$1,255
+25.5%
6 months
$52.29
+28.9%
$0.84
$1,305
+30.5%
1 year
$67.23
+0.3%
$1.11
$1,019
+1.9%
2 years
$80.87
-16.7%
$2.18
$860
-14.0%
3 years
$86.90
-22.4%
$3.21
$813
-18.7%
5 years
$83.18
-19.0%
$5.00
$871
-12.9%
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SEALED
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever AIN does next, these words stay.
Albany International Corp. · AIN · Distribution · $63.84
Recorded 2026-08-12 · before the outcome · scored mechanically
