Live · 22 Sep 2026 SPX 7,764.70 +1.49% NDX 30,482.35 +2.83% VIX 14.87 +0.41% GOLD 4,355.00 -0.66% CL 93.73 -2.14% BTC 85,265.80 +0.00%
NAS100 30,482 +2.83% S&P 7,765 +1.49% GOLD $4,355 −0.66% BTC $85,266 VIX 14.87 +0.41% live tape · as of 09:00 UTC
The Screen · Consumer Cyclical · Home Improvement Retail

Live Ventures Incorporated

LIVE · Nasdaq · USD · Market cap $24M · 1,366 employees

Live Ventures Incorporated, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the flooring and steel manufacturing, and retail businesses in the United States.

FAIL · Does not pass the screen
7.69 USD

Screen close, 2026-09-21 · not a live quote

Screened 2026-09-21 · the tape above runs as of 09:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed

PRICE · FAIR-VALUE RANGE1M3M6MYTD1Y3Y5Y
15.3815.3815.38

What this means: price 7.69 against the desk's fair-value range, base estimate 15.38, over the last year.

Current read
Markdown ?
AVOID · screened 2026-09-21
  • Trend Markdown
  • Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
  • Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
  • Ethical does not pass the values gate
Price7.69 USD
Fair value15.38
Ethical score10.0/100
RatingAVOID
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-09-04Read Markdown9.01-14.7% to today ✓
2026-07-02Read Distribution9.01-14.7% to today ✓

Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.

The full research record, in depth, below
The Label · The Season, Not the Day

This name holds its markdown label.

Live Ventures Incorporated holds its Markdown at $7.69. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 8 days.

As held on the ledger · 2026-09-21
PhaseMarkdown · caution
Quantitative stateConsolidating, no directional conviction, held for 8 days
Price at the screen$7.69
Valuation1.62 trailing · 1.03 forward price to earnings
Values screenFAIL · score 10.0
Beta1.06
The Workings

Five Screens, Shown in Full

Does not pass. Debt ratio

TestFigureLimitWhat it meansStatus
Business activity Permissible Core business clean Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. Pass
Debt load 712.32% Below 33% Interest-bearing debt is 712.3% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. Fail
Interest-bearing cash 48.11% Below 33% Interest-bearing cash and securities are 48.1% of assets, above the one-third limit. Fail
Receivables 0.00% Below 49% Money owed to the company is 0.0% of assets, under the 49% limit. Pass
Revenue purity 0.00% Below 5% Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. Pass

Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.

What the Numbers Say It Is Worth

The Fair Value Range

Our framework reads AVOID: it trades at roughly a 100% discount to our $15.38 fair value, moderate competitive moat.

15.38Conservative15.38Base case15.38Growth case 7.69Price

Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-21 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 100.0% margin of safety to the base estimate.

Price History & Projections
$70.4$37.5$4.7TODAY5y agoPROJECTIONConservative$15.38 +67%Our fair value$15.38 +67%

Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-21 screen.

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The Business, in Plain Words

Why it gives us pause

At 1.0x forward earnings, the price already runs ahead of the business. Our fair value sits at $15.38, below where it trades today. The moderate moat is real, but quality alone does not make an expensive price cheap.

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E1.0xvery cheap relative to earnings
Trailing P/E1.6xvery cheap relative to earnings
EPS, trailing4.75
EPS, forward7.50
Revenue growth-2.7%revenue is shrinking
Profit margin5.0%thin but positive margins
Return on equity26.3%an exceptional return on shareholder capital
Debt to equity2.35heavy leverage: higher risk if revenue softens
Current ratio1.68healthy short-term liquidity
Beta1.06moves a little more than the market
Short interest, float0.02%
52-week range7.01 - 25.42
MoatMODERATE
Market cap$24M
Employees1,366

The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Where & How to Trade

LIVE trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited

Every Entry, As Written

2026-09-04 Markdown · changed $9.01 +0.0% Entry 5

The framework has shifted from distribution to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 37%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%.

2026-08-04 Distribution $9.01 +0.0% Entry 4

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 37%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%.

2026-07-18 Distribution $9.01 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 37%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%.

2026-07-03 Distribution $9.01 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Distribution $9.01 Entry 1

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

The Insider Ledger · Form 4 Filings, As Filed
Most recent filings · LIVE
DateInsiderTitleTypeSharesValue
2025-12-19 GAO DENNIS Director 3,343 $52,496
2025-06-24 ISAAC JON Chief Executive Officer 36,915 $367,180
2025-03-27 ISAAC JON Chief Executive Officer 55,796 $391,551

Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.

The Political Ledger · Congressional Disclosures
Disclosures naming LIVE
DatePoliticianPartyTypeAmount
2026-08-25 April McClain Delaney Democrat sell 100K–250K
2026-08-25 April McClain Delaney Democrat sell 100K–250K
2026-08-25 April McClain Delaney Democrat sell 100K–250K
2026-08-19 Kevin Hern Republican sell 1K–15K
2026-08-19 Kevin Hern Republican sell 1K–15K
What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $13.25 -30.6% · $694 -30.6%
2 months $13.58 -32.3% · $677 -32.3%
3 months $11.73 -21.7% · $784 -21.7%
6 months $12.69 -27.6% · $724 -27.6%
1 year $14.50 -36.6% · $634 -36.6%
2 years $25.45 -63.9% · $361 -63.9%
3 years $25.00 -63.2% · $368 -63.2%
5 years $65.84 -86.0% · $140 -86.0%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Ledger's Promise

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever LIVE does next, these words stay.

Live Ventures Incorporated · LIVE · Markdown · $7.69
Recorded 2026-09-21 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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