Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
Ethical passes the values gate
Price5.00 USD
Fair value5.53
Ethical score95.7/100
RatingOPPORTUNITY
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-07-02Read Accumulation4.25+17.6% to today ✓
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
Arbutus Biopharma Corporation holds its Accumulation at $5.00. The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 24 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-21
Phase
Accumulation
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 24 days
Price at the screen
$5.00
Valuation
6.33 trailing · -31.16 forward price to earnings
Values screen
PASS· score 95.7
Beta
0.62
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
0.49%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is just 0.5% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money.
Pass
Interest-bearing cash
10.75%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 10.8% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
0.00%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 0.0% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.00%
Below 5%
Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is Worth
The Fair Value Range
Our framework reads OPPORTUNITY: it trades at roughly a 11% discount to our $5.53 fair value.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-21 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 10.5% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-21 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Small biotech takes aim at stubborn hepatitis B
Imagine a lab team building RNA tools to silence a virus that hides in liver cells for decades. Arbutus stands out because revenue has leapt more than ten thousand percent while margins sit at 84 percent and return on equity reaches 95 percent. The shares trade 14 percent below our fair value estimate with a strong buy consensus from the two analysts covering the name.
Those headline figures reflect a clean ethical screen and a clinical pipeline focused on chronic hepatitis B, where existing treatments still fall short. Forward earnings sit negative yet the balance sheet and growth trajectory point to real optionality if trials advance.
Clinical stage work always carries binary risk around trial data and funding needs, so any setback could erase the current margin of safety quickly. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; as a biotechnology name, trial and regulatory outcomes can move it sharply either way.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
ABUS trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-09-19Accumulation$5.15+3.4%Entry 7
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 3.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with near-perfect ethical score. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 7% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 16%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 29%. The street (3 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $5.
2026-08-20Accumulation$4.98+9.2%Entry 6
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 9.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with near-perfect ethical score. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 7% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 16%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 29%. The street (3 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $5.
2026-07-20Accumulation$4.56+7.3%Entry 5
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 7.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with near-perfect ethical score. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 7% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 16%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 29%. The street (3 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $5.
2026-07-18Accumulation$4.25+0.0%Entry 4
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with near-perfect ethical score. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 7% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 16%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 29%. The street (3 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $5.
2026-07-16Accumulation$4.25+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with near-perfect ethical score (96). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 7% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 16%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 29%. The street (3 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $5.
2026-07-03Accumulation$4.25+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with near-perfect ethical score (96). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Accumulation$4.25Entry 1
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Ethical screening: PASS with near-perfect ethical score (96). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
