2026-10-25
Willdan Group, clears the business-activity screen and the figures we can measure look clean, but one or more financial figures are still pending, so the verdict is not final yet.
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latest tape · as of 02:03 UTC
The Screen · Industrials · Engineering & Construction
Willdan Group, Inc.
WLDN · Nasdaq · USD · Market cap $1.1B · 1,814 employees
Willdan Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides professional, technical, and consulting services through engineering, program management, policy advisory, and software and data analytics primarily in the Un…
Not yet scored66.22 USD
Price as of 6 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quote
Screened 2026-11-06 · the tape above runs as of 02:03 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
- Price66.22 USD at the 6 Nov 2026 close
- Our value readUndervalued vs our fair value, as of 6 Nov 2026
- Our regime readMarkdown, as of 7 Nov 2026
- Ethical screenNot yet scored
- OptionsOpen interest leans to puts (put/call 11.02)
- Last reviewed6 Nov 2026 (2 days ago)
- Release timesRelease and earnings times on your chart: Event Guard Mentor
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
PRICE · ONE YEAR
Our fair-value range: $117.00 to $132.44, base estimate $123.00 (screen dated 2026-11-06).
- Trend Markdown
- Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options put/call open interest 11.02, read 2026-11-07
- Ethical screen not yet scored
Price66.22 USD
Fair value123.00
Ethical score70.0/100
Value readUndervaluedas of 6 Nov 2026
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-11-05Read Markdown74.20-10.8% to today ✓Accumulation gives way to Markdown first Markdown read since October
2026-11-01Read Accumulation73.59-10.0% to today Markdown gives way to Accumulation after a 6% slide in 6 weeks
2026-09-17Read Markdown78.38-15.5% to today ✓Markup gives way to Markdown after a 19% slide in 11 weeks
2026-07-02Read Markup96.30-31.2% to today First review on file: Markup
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
The full research record, in depth, below
This name holds its markdown label.
Willdan Group, Inc. holds its Markdown at $66.22. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 7 days.
| Phase | Markdown · caution |
| Quantitative state | The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 7 days |
| Price at the screen | $66.22 |
| Valuation | 16.63 trailing · 13.06 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | Not scored · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 1.31 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
This security has not been fully scored against the values screen yet.
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 12.73% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 12.7% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.00% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 23.98% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 24.0% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadThe Read, in Plain English
Willdan Group, clears the business-activity screen and the figures we can measure look clean, but one or more financial figures are still pending, so the verdict is not final yet.
Read as at 2026-11-07. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
2026-09-24
Clears
Willdan Group, clears all five screens. Its business is in a permissible area, its interest-bearing debt is about 13%, inside the ~33% line, and almost none of its income is interest, so it passes.
Earlier reads, kept as written. The ethical profile is tracked over time, not overwritten.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Our analysis reads Undervalued vs our fair value, as of 6 Nov 2026: it trades at roughly a 46% discount to our $123.00 fair value, 33.20% revenue growth.
How a fair value is estimated: discounted cash flow (DCF).
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-06 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 46.2% discount to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets. The average target sits +108% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere our models see it going: fair-value estimate $123.00, with a range of $117.00 to $132.44, dated to the 2026-11-06 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsUS Engineering Consultant With Safety But No Edge
Picture a local firm hired to design energy upgrades for city halls and utilities across America. Willdan handles the technical work in a fragmented market, yet its revenue is crawling forward at just 2% while the forward multiple sits at 13.7 times. Strong returns on equity of 20% and an ethical pass look attractive on paper, but an unknown moat and minimal growth leave little reason to expect durable outperformance.
Analysts see upside to 138 dollars from the current 72.70 price and our own fair value sits at 121.75, yet the opportunity rating remains none. Low single-digit top-line expansion in engineering and construction rarely compounds into lasting value when competitive advantages are unclear. The valuation gap exists, but the business does not demonstrate the qualities that turn a cheap multiple into a reliable compounder.
Cyclical exposure to public budgets and infrastructure spending adds real volatility that a low multiple does not offset. Thin profit margins of 8% offer little cushion when projects slow. We therefore pass despite the numbers. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 13.1xcheap for a company growing this fast |
| Trailing P/E | 16.6xreasonably valued |
| EPS, trailing | 4.26 |
| EPS, forward | 5.43 |
| Revenue growth | +33.2%strong top-line growth |
| Profit margin | 8.8%thin but positive margins |
| Return on equity | 21.2%an exceptional return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | 4.67% |
| Debt to equity | 0.25minimal debt: a conservative balance sheet |
| Current ratio | 1.37adequate liquidity, worth monitoring |
| Beta | 1.31moves a little more than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.12% |
| 52-week range | 64.67 - 137.00 |
| Market cap | $1.1B |
| Employees | 1,814 |
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; it already moves more than the market on an average day.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeWLDN trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
2026-11-05
Markdown · changed $74.20
-0.6% Entry 17
The framework has shifted from accumulation to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 72%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 41%. The street (2 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $138. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-11-04
Accumulation $74.64
+1.4% Entry 16
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 1.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 72%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 41%. The street (2 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $138. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-11-03
Accumulation $73.59
+0.0% Entry 15
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 72%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 41%. The street (2 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $138. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-11-02
Accumulation $73.59
+0.0% Entry 14
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 72%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 41%. The street (2 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $138. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-11-01
Accumulation · changed $73.59
+1.5% Entry 13
The framework has shifted from markdown to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 1.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 72%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 41%. The street (2 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $138. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-31
Markdown $72.48
+0.0% Entry 12
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 72%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 41%. The street (2 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $138. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-30
Markdown $72.48
+0.0% Entry 11
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 72%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 41%. The street (2 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $138. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-29
Markdown $72.48
+0.6% Entry 10
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 0.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 72%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 41%. The street (2 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $138. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-28
Markdown $72.06
+0.6% Entry 9
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 0.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 72%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 41%. The street (2 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $138.
2026-10-21
Markdown $71.61
-4.7% Entry 8
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 4.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 72%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 41%. The street (2 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $138.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
- Willdan Group (WLDN) Stock Looks Pricey Following Its $285 Million Acquisition Yahoo Finance · 7d ago
- Willdan Completes Acquisition of Mantis Innovation Yahoo Finance · 9d ago
- Willdan Group (WLDN) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Should You Buy? Yahoo Finance · 10d ago
- Can Willdan (WLDN) Keep the Earnings Surprise Streak Alive? Yahoo Finance · 11d ago
- Willdan Announces Date of Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call Yahoo Finance · 6 Oct 2026
Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
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| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $92.91 | +4.1% | · | $1,041 | +4.1% |
| 2 months | $78.22 | +23.7% | · | $1,237 | +23.7% |
| 3 months | $79.93 | +21.0% | · | $1,210 | +21.0% |
| 6 months | $108.11 | -10.5% | · | $895 | -10.5% |
| 1 year | $56.30 | +71.8% | · | $1,718 | +71.8% |
| 2 years | $30.67 | +215.4% | · | $3,154 | +215.4% |
| 3 years | $18.83 | +413.7% | · | $5,137 | +413.7% |
| 5 years | $39.10 | +147.4% | · | $2,474 | +147.4% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever WLDN does next, these words stay.
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