Framework Journal · one stock, one dated entry

Recorded 2026-05-22 · Permanent

Mobilicom Limited MOB

Outside both standards

An entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.

The label
Markdown

read at $5.89

Mobilicom Limited holds its Markdown at $5.89.

PHINPOOPSC
  • PHPhase · the trend structure carries the Markdown label
  • INInsiders · no filings inside 60 days, left as found
  • POPositioning · no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • OPOptions · no verdict drawn today, left as found
  • SCScreen · does not pass the values gate
  • edge confirmed
  • edge broken
  • edge forming

Each arm is one independent read. Conviction is not a single call, it is how many edges converge.

The investor read · the season, not the day

As held on the ledger · 2026-05-22
PhaseMarkdown · caution
Quantitative stateThe statistical read favours the buyers, held for 64 days
Price$5.89
Valuation0.00 trailing · 9.10 forward price to earnings
Values screenFAIL
BetaN/A

The opportunity · what the numbers say it is worth

Read at
$5.89
0.00 P/E · 9.10 fwd
Our fair value
$10.66
81% discount

Price history & projections · where it has been, where the models see it going

$11.4$5.7$0.0TODAY3y agoPROJECTIONOur fair value$10.66 +87%Conservative$9.75 +71%

The valuation journey · where the price sits against fair value and the Street

Current
$5.89
you are here
Conservative
$9.75
+66%
Our fair value
$10.66
+81%

Green marks levels above today's price, red below; the shaded band is the gap between the price and our fair value.

Revenue growth39.00%
Profit margin0.00%
Debt to equity0.05

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; target range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The values screen, explained · five checks, plain English

This company is excluded by both standards. There are two widely recognised ways to check whether a company is suitable for a Muslim investor. It fails on both:

The common standard · AAOIFI
Used by most halal investing apps
✗ DOES NOT PASS
Our stricter standard · asset-based
The one Titan applies
✗ DOES NOT PASS

Why it fails. The problem is its business activity. Because both standards agree on this, it is a clear exclusion, not a borderline case.

What these two standards are, and how they differ →

  • Business activity Prohibited sector: defense Fail
  • Debt load Interest-bearing debt is just 0.0% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling — it does not run on borrowed money. Pass
  • Interest-bearing cash Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. Pass
  • Receivables Money owed to the company is 0.0% of assets, under the 49% limit. Pass
  • Revenue purity Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources — under the 5% line. Pass

Every security is read against two recognised standards: our stricter asset-based screen (ratios measured against total assets) and the more widely used market-value standard (measured against market capitalisation). Where they agree we say so plainly; where they part ways — almost always on the debt check — we show both readings and mark it, because that disagreement is the finding, not a fault. We report the score; you and your scholar make the call.

The business, in plain words · what the numbers mean

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E9.1x
cheap for a company growing this fast
Trailing P/E0.0x
Revenue growth39.0%
strong top-line growth
Profit margin0.0%
currently unprofitable
Return on equity-369.2%
not currently earning a positive return on equity
Debt to equity0.05
minimal debt — a conservative balance sheet
Market cap$75M

The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Where & how to trade · wherever in the world you are

MOB trades on Nasdaq. As a US-listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering US markets. New to this, or investing from outside the US? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The trader read · the latest dated commentary

The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 136%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 44%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $12. Entered 2026-07-18 · Accumulation

The dated journal · newest first, never edited

2026-07-18 Accumulation $5.89 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 136%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 44%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $12.

2026-07-03 Accumulation $5.89 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Accumulation $5.89 Entry 1

The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

The political ledger · congressional disclosures

Disclosures naming MOB
DatePoliticianPartyTypeAmount
7 Feb2025 Tim Walberg Republican buy 15K–50K
2026-04-17 Bill Keating Democrat Purchase 1K–15K
16 Jun2026 Matt Van Epps Republican sell 1K–15K
15 May2026 Ro Khanna Democrat sell 15K–50K
1 May2026 Ro Khanna Democrat sell 1K–15K

What holding actually paid · price plus dividends

If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $6.57 -13.4% · $866 -13.4%
2 months $4.66 +22.1% · $1,221 +22.1%
3 months $5.83 -2.4% · $976 -2.4%
6 months $7.89 -27.9% · $721 -27.9%
1 year $2.41 +136.1% · $2,361 +136.1%
2 years $0.82 +593.9% · $6,939 +593.9%
3 years $1.36 +318.4% · $4,184 +318.4%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever MOB does next, these words stay.

Mobilicom Limited · MOB · Markdown · $5.89
Recorded 2026-05-22 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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