An entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.
VERDICT
The label
Distribution
read at $3,883.00
Endeavour Mining holds its Distribution at $3,883.00.
PHPhase · the trend structure carries the Distribution label
INInsiders · no filings inside 60 days, left as found
POPositioning · no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
OPOptions · no verdict drawn today, left as found
SCScreen · passes the values gate
edge confirmed
edge broken
edge forming
Each arm is one independent read. Conviction is not a single call, it is how many edges converge.
INVESTOR
The investor read · the season, not the day
As held on the ledger · 2026-05-09
Phase
Distribution · caution
Quantitative state
Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 6 days
Price
$3,883.00
Valuation
18.67 trailing · 8.15 forward price to earnings
Values screen
PASS· score 86.3
Beta
N/A
OPPORTUNITY
The opportunity · what the numbers say it is worth
Our framework reads AVOID — it trades above our $1,941.50 fair value estimate, 29.50% revenue growth.
Read at
$3,883.00
18.67 P/E · 8.15 fwd
Our fair value
$1,941.50
50% premium
Price history & projections · where it has been, where the models see it going
The valuation journey · where the price sits against fair value and the Street
Current
$3,883.00
you are here
Conservative
$1,941.50
-50%
Our fair value
$1,941.50
-50%
Green marks levels above today's price, red below; the shaded band is the gap between the price and our fair value.
Revenue growth
29.50%
Profit margin
0.00%
Debt to equity
20.11
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; target range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
SCREEN
The values screen, explained · five checks, plain English
This company clears both standards. There are two widely recognised ways to check whether a company is suitable for a Muslim investor. Here is how it did on each:
The common standard· AAOIFI Used by most halal investing apps✓ PASSES
Our stricter standard· asset-based The one Titan applies✓ PASSES
Business activityIts core business isn't built on prohibited lines — no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.Pass
Debt loadInterest-bearing debt is just 12.2% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling — it does not run on borrowed money.Pass
Interest-bearing cashCash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 8.1% of assets, under the one-third limit.Pass
ReceivablesMoney owed to the company is 0.1% of assets, under the 49% limit.Pass
Revenue purityOnly 2.4% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources — under the 5% line.Pass
Every security is read against two recognised standards: our stricter asset-based screen (ratios measured against total assets) and the more widely used market-value standard (measured against market capitalisation). Where they agree we say so plainly; where they part ways — almost always on the debt check — we show both readings and mark it, because that disagreement is the finding, not a fault. We report the score; you and your scholar make the call.
PLAIN
The business, in plain words · what the numbers mean
Why it gives us pause
At 8.2x forward earnings, the price already runs ahead of the business. It trades 50% above our $1,941.50 fair value, so you would be buying at a premium, not a discount.
The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
TRADE
Where & how to trade · wherever in the world you are
EDV.L trades on LSE. As a US-listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering US markets. New to this, or investing from outside the US? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
TRADER
The trader read · the latest dated commentary
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 17% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 64%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 35%. The street (9 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $5252. Entered 2026-07-27 · Distribution
JOURNAL
The dated journal · newest first, never edited
2026-07-27Distribution$3,883.00+0.0%Entry 5
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 17% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 64%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 35%. The street (9 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $5252.
2026-07-18Distribution$3,883.00+0.0%Entry 4
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 17% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 64%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 35%. The street (9 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $5252.
2026-07-05Distribution$3,883.00Entry 3
5 July 2026 — 3,883p — DISTRIBUTION (state model: crisis, 6 days, 60% confidence). Journal opened on the best business with the worst tape in this batch: ethical score 86, forward P/E 8.2, a 153% two-year trail, and a fresh, low-conviction crisis signal after a 26% monthly fall and a $4M officer selling cluster. The May low at 3,653p is the line the whole entry watches. Next review: the state model resolving, the level breaking, or the estimates moving, whichever is first.
2026-07-03Distribution$3,883.00+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Distribution$3,883.00Entry 1
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
