Titan Protect

Capitol Tracker

Political and institutional trade intelligence. Three converging data sources. One actionable signal.

DateTickerTypeReturn
Lag-adjusted returns account for the 45-day STOCK Act disclosure delay. You could not have traded this in real time.

Sector Breakdown

Cluster alert: multiple insiders at the same company trading the same direction within 7 days is flagged.
13F filings are reported quarterly with a 45-day lag. Holdings reflect the most recent filing period.

Three Converging Data Sources

Capitol Tracker synthesises three distinct public data sources, each with different disclosure timelines and signal characteristics. When all three converge on the same instrument, signal confidence is at its highest.

STOCK Act
Congressional trades
45-day lag
→
SEC Form 4
Corporate insiders
2-day lag
→
SEC 13F
Institutional funds
45-day quarterly
→
Convergence
Maximum signal
3-source overlap

Copy-Trade Simulation

Performance figures represent a hypothetical simulation: buying on the first trading day after a transaction becomes public (accounting for the disclosure lag of each source) and selling after 30 calendar days, unless a stop-loss of 10% is triggered first.

Position sizing is equal-weight across all trades. No leverage is applied. Transaction costs of $5 per trade and 0.1% slippage are included. All returns are gross of tax.

Convergence Detection

Convergence is flagged when two or more data sources show activity in the same instrument within a 14-day window. A three-source convergence (congressional + insider + institutional) is the strongest signal and occurs roughly 3-5 times per quarter.

Direction alignment matters: a congressional buy combined with insider buying and increased institutional weight is bullish convergence. Mixed directions are flagged as conflicted.

Limitations and Biases

Survivorship bias: Only politicians who have been in office long enough to build a track record are included. Early-career representatives with limited data are excluded.

Disclosure lag: STOCK Act filings have a 45-day window. Some transactions are disclosed near the deadline, meaning the information advantage may have diminished by the time it becomes public.

Lookback bias: Selecting the "best" performing politicians after the fact inflates perceived alpha. The leaderboard reflects historical performance, not a trading recommendation.

Position sizing: Actual trade sizes vary significantly. A $1,000 options trade and a $1M stock purchase are weighted equally in simulation.

Legal Disclaimer

This dashboard presents publicly available data from STOCK Act disclosures, SEC EDGAR filings, and institutional 13F reports for educational and analytical purposes only. Nothing on this page constitutes financial advice, a solicitation to buy or sell securities, or a recommendation to follow any trading strategy. Past performance does not indicate future results. All investment involves risk of loss. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.