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Vol. II · No. 299Monday, 26 October 2026
TTitan Protect
Positioning Pressure · Trader Mindset

SPY Max Pain at 770.00 With 0.686 Put Call Ratio

Filed Thursday 15 October 2026 · 22:26 UTC · Entry no. 129593 · scored against the close · never edited

SPY Max Pain at 770.00 With 0.686 Put Call Ratio


Options Whale Flow Details

Eight whale trades total $36.57M on INTC mixed plus $29.54M on NVDA call heavy which means net bullish options activity concentrates on major semiconductor and tech names. SOXS registers $3.41M call heavy across 20,023 contracts which means bear ETF exposure adds a narrow counter tilt. SPCX shows $1.72M put heavy while NOK prints $282.3K put heavy which means two names offset the broader call bias slightly. TZA, BMNU and BITO each carry under $34K call heavy which means small size limits their influence on aggregate gamma hedging.

Symbol Value / Contracts Flow Type Implication
INTC $36.57M / 301,695 mixed offsets some call concentration
NVDA $29.54M / 156,546 call-heavy reinforces bullish gamma on largest name
SOXS $3.41M / 20,023 call-heavy adds downside pressure to tech via ETF

Aggregate Sentiment Metrics

Avg put call ratio sits at 0.686 because six names show bullish options flow which means crowd leans long gamma overall. Bullish options names include NVDA, TSLA, META, MSFT, AMD and AMZN which means the listed flow supports upside delta hedging by market makers. No bearish options names appear in the slice which means the ratio lacks offsetting put volume at this print.

Max Pain and Pinning Dynamics

SPY max pain sits at 770.00 versus current price 771.83 because open interest clusters at that strike which means price may gravitate toward the largest combined call and put open interest into expiry. Next cluster appears at 775.00 from listed expiries which means any sustained move above 771.83 would shift pinning pressure higher by 4.17 points. The zero-day expiry holds the tightest open interest band which means hedging flows stay light unless price breaks the 770.00 to 775.00 range.

Dark Pool and Open Interest Signals

Dark pool top trades and open interest changes fields are empty which means no additional positioning signals from those slices.

Scenario Weights and Risk

Three scenarios carry working odds that sum to 100: 45 percent chance price holds above 770.00 max pain because call heavy flow forces continued gamma hedging; 35 percent chance price tests 775.00 cluster because bullish names dominate the whale list; 20 percent chance price drops below 766.25 because mixed INTC flow and empty dark pool data remove support. Risk sits at 28 percent driven by the 0.686 put call ratio which means any reversal in the six bullish names would flip aggregate gamma quickly.

Experience Level What to Watch on Tape
Beginner Track SPY distance from 770.00 max pain strike
Intermediate Monitor put call ratio movement around 0.686 level
Advanced Compare NVDA and INTC whale contract sizes for gamma shifts

Bullish options sentiment with 0.686 put call ratio and call heavy whale flow on NVDA plus five other names creates upside pressure because market makers must hedge long gamma.

This is analysis, not financial advice. Always manage your risk.

How This Entry Scores

Every level named in a session brief is scored against the next scheduled close. Nothing is edited after filing: if a level breaks, the record shows it as filed, not as corrected. The desk's full scored history sits on the track record page.

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