TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
Consumer Discretionary · Automobile Manufacturers · US
$423.98
+6.12 (+1.47%)
Close 2026-05-22
✓ ETHICAL PASS

WEAK MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$1.6T
Trailing P/E
386.44
Forward P/E
170.62
Rev Growth
+15.8%
Profit Margin
3.9%
ROE
4.9%
Analyst Target
$412.25
Recommendation
BUY
About Tesla, Inc.

Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, leases, and sells electric vehicles, and energy generation and storage systems in the United States, China, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Automotive; and Energy Generation and Storage. The company offers electric vehicles, as well as sells automotive regulatory credits; and non-warranty maintenance services and collision, automotive insurance services, as well as part sales and retail merchandise sale. It also provides sedans and sport utility vehicles through direct and used vehicle sales, a network of Tesla Superchargers, and in-app upgrades; purchase financing and leasing services; services for electric vehicles through its company-owned service locations and Tesla mobile service technicians; and vehicle limited warranties and extended service plans. In addition, the company engages in the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and leasing of solar energy generation and energy storage products, and related services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers and utilities through its website, stores, and galleries, as well as through a network of channel partners. Further, it provides services and repairs to its energy product customers, including under warranty and extended service plans; and various financing options to its residential customers; lithium-ion battery energy storage products, such as Powerwall and Megapack; energy generation products, including solar panels and solar roof; self-driving development and artificial intelligence software, vehicle control and infotainment software, and battery and powertrain. The company was formerly known as Tesla Motors, Inc. and changed its name to Tesla, Inc. in February 2017. Tesla, Inc. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.

Opportunity Summary
Trading at $429, 980% above fair value of $40. Passes all ethical screens. Ranks better than 50% of screened stocks.
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt Ratio (0.11%)PASS
Cash Ratio (0.20%)PASS
Receivables Ratio (0.15%)PASS
Revenue Ratio (0.02%)PASS
OverallPASS
Score Ethical: 80.1
Score Valuation: 16.5
Score Quality: 43.2
Score Combined: 41.5
Fair Value Est: $39.72 · Margin of Safety: -980.0% · Tier: AVOID

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation0.0
Quality36.3
Cash Flow3.8
Moat25.0
Balance Sheet100.0
Debt Purity67.6
Liquid Purity39.4
Rev Purity64.6
Compliance58.4
Tier: AVOID · Score: 24.5 · Rank: #5043
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-07-220.45Pending--
2026-04-220.200.13-36.5%
2026-01-280.450.50+11.0%
2025-10-220.560.50-10.5%
2025-07-230.300.33+10.5%
2025-04-220.410.27-34.9%
2025-01-290.770.73-4.8%
2024-10-230.600.72+20.5%
Quarterly Financials
PeriodRevenueNet IncomeEBITDAGross ProfitOp. IncomeEPS
2026-03-31$22.4B$477.0M$2.4B$4.7B$941.0M0.15
2025-12-31$24.9B$840.0M$2.9B$5.0B$1.6B0.26
2025-09-30$28.1B$1.4B$3.7B$5.1B$1.9B0.43
2025-06-30$22.5B$1.2B$3.1B$3.9B$923.0M0.36
2025-03-31$19.3B$409.0M$2.1B$3.2B$493.0M0.13
2024-12-31
Insider Transactions
DateNameRoleSharesValue
2026-05-13TANEJA VAIBHAVChief Financial Officer3,000$1.4M
2026-05-13TANEJA VAIBHAVChief Financial Officer3,000$54.9K
2026-04-30WILSON - THOMPSON KATHLEENDirector26,409$10.0M
2026-04-30WILSON - THOMPSON KATHLEENDirector40,948$613.8K
2026-03-31ZHU XIAOTONGOfficer20,000$411.4K
2026-03-30WILSON - THOMPSON KATHLEENDirector25,809$9.3M
2026-03-30WILSON - THOMPSON KATHLEENDirector40,000$599.6K
2026-03-06TANEJA VAIBHAVChief Financial Officer2,264$899.1K
2026-03-05TANEJA VAIBHAVChief Financial Officer6,538--
2026-02-25WILSON - THOMPSON KATHLEENDirector25,731$10.7M
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
Blackrock Inc.208.1M$88.7B0.1%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC182.9M$77.9B0.0%
State Street Corporation114.7M$48.9B0.0%
Geode Capital Management, LLC68.0M$29.0B0.0%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC49.3M$21.0B0.0%
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO46.1M$19.6B0.0%
Capital World Investors42.9M$18.3B0.0%
Morgan Stanley39.2M$16.7B0.0%
FMR, LLC36.0M$15.3B0.0%
Goldman Sachs Group Inc29.4M$12.5B0.0%
Analyst Recommendations
3 Months Ago
5
18
17
4
3
47 analysts
2 Months Ago
5
18
17
6
2
48 analysts
Last Month
4
16
17
6
2
45 analysts
Current
5
18
17
4
3
47 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Political Trades & Convergence
CONVERGENCE: MODERATE
Politicians: 2
Insiders: 0
Institutions: 0
Politicians trading TSLA:
["Political Buy" "Insider Buy"]
DatePoliticianTradeSize ($)Copy Return
2025-03-15Suzan DelBeneBUY$30.0K+40.4%
2024-11-15Gil CisnerosBUY$20.0K-1.8%
2024-01-10Marjorie Taylor GreeneBUY$20.0K+105.6%
2023-01-20Ro KhannaBUY$100.0K+111.5%
2023-01-10Tommy TubervilleBUY$25.0K+108.2%
Recent Price History
2026-05-22
$423.98
+6.12 (+1.47%)
Vol: 9.2M
2026-05-22
$426.92
+9.07 (+2.17%)
Vol: 38.8M
2026-05-21
$417.85
+0.59 (+0.14%)
Vol: 42.3M
2026-05-20
$417.26
+13.15 (+3.25%)
Vol: 42.5M
5D Range
H: $431.51
L: $405.33
O: $422.67
May 20
May 21
May 22
May 22
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$1.6T
Price/Book
19.46
Beta
1.793
Analysts
41
Total Revenue (TTM)
$97.9B
Total Debt
$15.9B
Earnings Growth
+8.3%
Rec. Mean
2.36
Short Ratio
1.13
Short % Float
0.0%
Employees
134,785

Elite Intelligence

Trade Consideration with position sizing, convergence signals, and risk analysis. Available to Elite members.

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 41.5 (P48 — top 51.8% of scored tickers). Weak Moat. Ethical PASS. 41 analysts at Buy.
Price: $423.98 | Target: $411.89 (+-3%) | Fair Value: $39.72 (+-91%)
Score
41
Moat
WEAK
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+-3%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+15.8%
Profit Margin3.9%
ROE4.9%
Forward P/E170.6
Market Cap$1.6T
Convergence Signal
MODERATE— Politicians, insiders, and institutional funds aligned
Top Institutions:
Blackrock Inc. — $88.7B (0.1%)
Vanguard Capital Management LLC — $77.9B (0.0%)
State Street Corporation — $48.9B (0.0%)
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-07-22$0.45Pending
2026-04-22$0.20$0.13-36.5%
2026-01-28$0.45$0.50+11.0%
2025-10-22$0.56$0.50-10.5%
2025-07-23$0.30$0.33+10.5%
2025-04-22$0.41$0.27-34.9%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $360.38 (-15%) | Entry: $423.98
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($411.89, 41 analysts)
10$4,239.75+$-120.90 (-3%)-0.2R
50$21,198.75+$-604.50 (-3%)-0.2R
100$42,397.50+$-1,209.00 (-3%)-0.2R
To Fair Value ($39.72)
10$4,239.75+$-3,842.60 (-91%)-6.0R
50$21,198.75+$-19,213.00 (-91%)-6.0R
100$42,397.50+$-38,426.00 (-91%)-6.0R
Risk Factors
  • High beta (1.79) — amplifies market moves by 1.79x
  • Valuation stretched on forward earnings
The Verdict
Tesla, Inc. passes all ethical screens and holds a weak competitive moat.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

B
Quant Score
59.6
Risk Grade
Layers
8
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-5.5%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-8.1%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
1.15
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-53.8%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
90
Liquidity Grade
HIGHLY LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
DEATH_CROSS
Bollinger Position
UPPER_HALF
Beta
Relative Volume
0.7x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
37.5%
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
TickerCorrelation
XLY0.791
ARKK0.708
QQQ0.667
HLAL0.659
SPUS0.649
Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
ED-0.215
BAES.L-0.210
AWK-0.178
CBOE-0.176
SUKOON.AE-0.171
Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Wednesday
Worst Day
Thursday
Best Month
Sep
Worst Month
Feb
Fri-Mon Effect
0.04144557539109811
Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
+17.4%
Beat Drift Positive %
33.3%
Consistency
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
+15.2%
3M Return
+5.9%
6M Return
+9.7%
12M Return
+27.1%
Momentum Rank
#1273
Momentum Signal
UP

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