BKV · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $2.8B · 452 employees
BKV Corporation produces and sells natural gas in the Barnett Shale in the Fort Worth Basin of Texas and in the Marcellus Shale in the Appalachian Basin of Northeast Pennsylvania.
Screened 2026-07-19 · the tape above runs as of 22:40 UTC · 24 Jul · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its accumulation label.
BKV Corporation holds its Accumulation at $25.95. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 1 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-07-19
Phase
Accumulation
Quantitative state
Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 1 days
Price at the screen
$25.95
Valuation
7.70 trailing · 11.90 forward price to earnings
Values screen
PASS· score 70.0
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
Excluded
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
Excluded
Below 33%
Interest-bearing cash and securities are of assets, above the one-third limit.
Fail
Receivables
Excluded
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is of assets, above the 49% limit.
Fail
Revenue purity
0.00%
Below 5%
Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-07-19 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 3.0% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 11 covering, consensus Strong Buy. The average target sits +35% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Our more conservative model reads it as roughly fairly valued here, while the Street is more bullish: a quality-at-a-fair-price name rather than a deep-value one.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-07-19 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Gas Producer Looks Cheap but Traps Await
Picture a drill rig in Texas or Pennsylvania humming away while gas prices swing like a pendulum. BKV pulls natural gas from the Barnett and Marcellus shales and moves it through its own gathering lines and power assets. Revenue jumped 39 percent and margins sit at 30 percent with a 17 percent return on equity, yet the forward multiple of 11.9 times already prices in peak conditions.
The business clears our ethical screen without issue and analysts see further upside. Still we pass. In a cyclical energy patch a low multiple often signals earnings that are about to roll over rather than a bargain waiting to be claimed.
Commodity prices can drop fast and stay low, cutting cash flow and leaving balance sheets exposed. The slim margin of safety offers little cushion once volumes or prices turn. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
BKV trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The framework has shifted from distribution to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 3.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 1% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 15%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. The street (11 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $35.
2026-07-18Distribution$25.06+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 1% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 15%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. The street (11 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $35.
2026-07-03Distribution$25.06+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Distribution$25.06Entry 1
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
