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The Screen · Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Gulfport Energy Corporation
GPOR · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $3.1B · 245 employees
Gulfport Energy Corporation engages in the acquisition, exploration, and production of natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids in the United States.
Screened 2026-09-15 · the tape above runs as of 23:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its distribution label.
Gulfport Energy Corporation holds its Distribution at $175.95. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 4 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-15
Phase
Distribution · caution
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 4 days
Price at the screen
$175.95
Valuation
6.69 trailing · 6.66 forward price to earnings
Values screen
PASS· score 70.0
Beta
0.42
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
26.04%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is just 26.0% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money.
Pass
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
6.46%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 6.5% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.00%
Below 5%
Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-15 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 7.3% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 13 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +27% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-15 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Cheap oil numbers often hide a trap
Picture a rig pumping flat out while gas prices sit near recent highs. Gulfport shows a forward P/E of just 5.3 times, revenue up 32 percent and a 42 percent profit margin, yet the opportunity rating stays at none. In a cyclical exploration business those figures usually mark peak earnings rather than a durable bargain, so the low multiple serves as a warning rather than an invitation.
The balance sheet and returns look strong on paper, with return on equity at 34 percent and an ethical screen cleared. Still, commodity prices drive every line, and the market has already seen what happens when they turn. Analyst targets sit higher, but they rarely adjust fast enough when the cycle rolls over.
Risk sits in the same volatility that created the headline numbers. A sharp drop in natural gas realisations would compress margins quickly and leave the current multiple looking expensive. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
GPOR trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The framework has shifted from distribution to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 13.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 11% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 9%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (11 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $242.
2026-07-31Distribution$152.91-8.1%Entry 4
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 8.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 11% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 9%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (11 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $242.
2026-07-18Distribution$166.41+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 11% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 9%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (11 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $242.
2026-07-03Distribution$166.41+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Distribution$166.41Entry 1
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
