VST
Vistra Corp.
Utilities · Electric Utilities · US
✗ ETHICAL FAIL
UNKNOWN MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 85.7%
Key Metrics
How this company measures up on the fundamentals that matter
Market Cap
$49.8B
Total market value of the company
13.10
Based on estimated future earnings — lower means cheaper
Rev Growth
+43.4%
Year-over-year revenue change
Profit Margin
0.0%
How much profit the company keeps from each dollar of revenue
N/A
Return on equity — how efficiently it uses shareholder money
Analyst Target
$225.06
+51% from current price — median analyst estimate
Recommendation
STRONG_BUY
Consensus view from 17 analysts covering this stock
About Vistra Corp.
Vistra Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated retail electricity and power generation company in the United States. The company operates through five segments: Retail, Texas, East, West, and Asset Closure. The company retails electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across states in the United States and the District of Columbia. It is also involved in electricity generation, wholesale energy purchases and sales, commodity risk management, fuel procurement, and fuel logistics management activities. In addition, the company engages in decommissioning and reclamation of retired generation facilities, including mines, and battery removal and remediation activities. It serves approximately 5 million customers with a generation capacity of approximately 44,000 megawatts with a portfolio of natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery energy storage facilities. The company was formerly known as Vistra Energy Corp. and changed its name to Vistra Corp. in July 2020. Vistra Corp. was founded in 1882 and is based in Irving, Texas.
https://vistracorp.com
Country: United States Employees: 6,390 Industry: Utilities - Independent Power Producers
Ethical Screening
Five compliance checks based on AAOIFI standards — all must pass for ethical clearance
Business Activity
PASS
Core business does not involve prohibited activities
Debt Ratio
48.3% FAIL
Debt must be below 33% of total assets
Cash Ratio
12.3% PASS
Interest-bearing cash below 33% of assets
Receivables
7.5% PASS
Receivables below 49% of assets
Revenue Purity
0.1% PASS
Non-compliant revenue below 5% — any excess requires purification
Valuation
$282.00
What our model estimates this business is worth per share
47.2%
Trading below fair value — margin of safety exists
Rating
AVOID
Overall assessment combining ethics, valuation, and quality
70.3th
Ranks in the top 30% of our 13,571 screened universe
Trading at $148 against a fair value of $282, a 48% discount. Fails ethical screen (Debt ratio). Ranks better than 67% of screened stocks.
Quantitative Intelligence
Statistical analysis of price behaviour, risk, and market regime — independent of fundamental data
MARKDOWN
Price trending down — defensive positioning
0.684
Good returns relative to risk taken
0.0583
Suggested allocation is meaningful — the edge justifies a position
0.523
Acceptable balance between returns and drawdown risk
Annual Return
25.5%
Historical annualised return based on price data
-48.8%
Largest peak-to-trough decline — the worst it has been
BULL
Statistical model sees bullish momentum
Days in State
45
How long the current regime has persisted — longer means more stable
Market Data
Trading characteristics and market positioning
1.45
Moves slightly more than the broader market
52W High
$219.82
32% below the year high
52W Low
$137.83
8% above the year low
Avg Volume
4,500,925
Average daily shares traded — higher means easier to buy and sell
3.3
Days it would take all short sellers to cover — higher means more crowded
Short % Float
4.3%
Low short interest — limited bearish positioning
62.0%
Annual dividend as a percentage of the share price
$5.98
Earnings per share over the last 12 months
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and cash generation — the foundation of long-term value
4.00
Heavy leverage — higher financial risk if revenues decline
0.90
Below 1 means short-term obligations exceed liquid assets — risk flag
Quick Ratio
0.26
Like current ratio but excludes inventory — stricter test
Gross Margin
38.6%
Revenue left after cost of goods — higher means pricing power
Operating Margin
26.6%
Profit from core operations before interest and tax
$477M
Positive — the business generates more cash than it spends
Revenue (TTM)
$19.4B
Total revenue over the last 12 months
Net Income
$2.0B
Profitable — the bottom line is positive
Recent Insider Activity
SEC Form 4 filings — what company insiders are buying and selling
55
NEUTRAL
Mixed insider activity. 0 purchases and 0 sales in the last 90 days — no clear directional signal. Politicians have been buying this name.
| Date |
Insider |
Title |
Type |
Shares |
Value |
| 2026-05-15 |
PITESA JOHN WILLIAM |
Director |
|
1,268 |
— |
| 2026-05-15 |
WALTERS ROBERT C. |
Director |
|
1,268 |
— |
| 2026-05-15 |
LAGACY JULIE A. |
Director |
|
1,268 |
— |
| 2026-05-15 |
HELM SCOTT BRADFORD |
Director |
|
2,008 |
— |
| 2026-03-09 |
MOORE STEPHANIE ZAPATA |
General Counsel |
|
10,000 |
$1,603,100 |
| 2026-03-05 |
HUDSON SCOTT A |
Officer |
|
6,106 |
— |
| 2026-03-05 |
MOLDOVAN KRISTOPHER E. |
Chief Financial Officer |
|
10,712 |
— |
| 2026-03-05 |
DORE STACEY H. |
Officer |
|
12,855 |
— |
| 2026-03-05 |
MOORE STEPHANIE ZAPATA |
General Counsel |
|
5,356 |
— |
| 2026-03-05 |
BURKE JAMES A. |
Chief Executive Officer |
|
28,281 |
— |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings via public data. View all insider activity at
Insider Intelligence
Political Trading Activity
Congressional trading disclosures involving this instrument
| Date |
Politician |
Party |
Type |
Amount |
| 2026-04-13 |
Ro Khanna |
Democrat |
Purchase |
1K–15K |
Source: Congressional disclosure filings. View all political trades at
Insider Intelligence
Data sourced from public filings and market feeds. Not financial advice. Updated: 2025-12-31