2026-10-25
Constellation Energy clears the business-activity screen and the figures we can measure look clean, but one or more financial figures are still pending, so the verdict is not final yet.
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The Screen · Utilities · Utilities - Independent Power Producers
Constellation Energy
CEG · a US exchange · USD · Market cap $93.7B · 15,291 employees
Constellation Energy Corporation produces and sells energy products and services in the United States.
Not yet scored263.40 USD
Price as of 3 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quote
Screened 2026-11-03 · the tape above runs as of 16:09 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
- Price263.40 USD at the 3 Nov 2026 close
- Our value readFair vs our fair value, as of 3 Nov 2026
- Our regime readMarkup, as of 3 Nov 2026
- Ethical screenNot yet scored
- OptionsOpen interest leans slightly to calls (put/call 0.76)
- Last reviewed3 Nov 2026 (1 days ago)
- Release timesRelease and earnings times on your chart: Event Guard Mentor
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
PRICE · ONE YEAR
Our fair-value range: $214.20 to $312.12, base estimate $271.41 (screen dated 2026-11-03).
- Trend Markup
- Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options put/call open interest 0.76, read 2026-11-03
- Ethical screen not yet scored
Price263.40 USD
Fair value271.41
Ethical score90.8/100
Value readFairas of 3 Nov 2026
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-11-01Read Markup262.38+0.4% to today ✓Distribution gives way to Markup first Markup read since October
2026-10-25Read Distribution275.00-4.2% to today ✓Markup gives way to Distribution first Distribution read since October
2026-10-11Read Markup263.27+0.0% to today ✓Distribution gives way to Markup
2026-10-02Read Distribution263.27+0.0% to today Accumulation gives way to Distribution
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
The full research record, in depth, below
This name holds its markup label.
Constellation Energy holds its Markup at $263.40. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 18 days.
| Phase | Markup |
| Quantitative state | Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 18 days |
| Price at the screen | $263.40 |
| Valuation | 25.86 trailing · 19.86 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | Not scored · score 90.8 |
| Beta | 1.13 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
This security has not been fully scored against the values screen yet.
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 15.71% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 15.7% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.34% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.3% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 12.61% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 12.6% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadThe Read, in Plain English
Constellation Energy clears the business-activity screen and the figures we can measure look clean, but one or more financial figures are still pending, so the verdict is not final yet.
Read as at 2026-11-04. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
2026-09-24
Clears
Constellation Energy clears all five screens. Its business is in a permissible area, its interest-bearing debt is about 16%, inside the ~33% line, and almost none of its income is interest, so it passes.
Earlier reads, kept as written. The ethical profile is tracked over time, not overwritten.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Our analysis reads Fair vs our fair value, as of 3 Nov 2026: it trades at roughly a 5% discount to our $271.41 fair value, narrow competitive moat, 23.00% revenue growth.
How a fair value is estimated: discounted cash flow (DCF).
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-03 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 3.0% discount to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 23 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +30% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere our models see it going: fair-value estimate $271.41, with a range of $214.20 to $312.12, dated to the 2026-11-03 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsPower demand surge lifts this nuclear operator
Every time a data centre spins up or a factory switches to electric heat, Constellation Energy sells the power that keeps the lights on. Revenue is rising 64 percent, margins sit at 13 percent and return on equity reaches 16 percent. It trades at 18.6 times forward earnings with a 12 percent gap to our fair value and passes the ethical screen.
The company operates across five US regions with a narrow moat built on nuclear assets that others cannot easily copy. Analysts see further upside and the growth rate stands out against typical utility peers.
Power prices can swing sharply with weather and fuel costs, while regulation adds another layer of uncertainty. A narrow moat also means new entrants could chip away at returns over time.
Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 19.9xfairly priced for its growth rate |
| Trailing P/E | 25.9xa premium valuation |
| EPS, trailing | 10.23 |
| EPS, forward | 13.32 |
| Revenue growth | +23.0%strong top-line growth |
| Profit margin | 11.1%thin but positive margins |
| Return on equity | 15.1%a solid return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | -7.07% |
| Dividend yield | 0.62% |
| Debt to equity | 0.76moderate, manageable leverage |
| Current ratio | 1.46adequate liquidity, worth monitoring |
| Beta | 1.13moves a little more than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.04% |
| 52-week range | 228.63 - 400.98 |
| Moat | NARROW |
| Market cap | $93.7B |
| Employees | 15,291 |
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeCEG trades on a US exchange. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
2026-11-04
Markup $263.40
+0.4% Entry 20
The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 0.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 16%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (20 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $366. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-11-03
Markup $262.38
+0.0% Entry 19
The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 16%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (20 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $366. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-11-02
Markup $262.38
+0.0% Entry 18
The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 16%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (20 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $366. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-11-01
Markup · changed $262.38
-4.6% Entry 17
The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 4.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 16%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (20 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $366.
2026-10-25
Distribution · changed $275.00
+0.0% Entry 16
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 16%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (20 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $366.
2026-10-18
Markup $275.00
+4.5% Entry 15
The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 4.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with near-perfect ethical score. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 16%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (20 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $366.
2026-10-11
Markup · changed $263.27
+0.0% Entry 14
The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with near-perfect ethical score. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 16%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (20 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $366.
2026-10-02
Distribution · changed $263.27
-12.0% Entry 13
The framework has shifted from accumulation to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 12.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with near-perfect ethical score. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 16%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (20 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $366. Since the last review it its composite score rose.
2026-09-09
Accumulation $299.05
+12.8% Entry 12
Our analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 12.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with near-perfect ethical score. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 16%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (20 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $366.
2026-08-09
Accumulation $265.12
+0.0% Entry 11
Our analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with near-perfect ethical score. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 16%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (20 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $366. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
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| Date | Insider | Title | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-28 | RICHARDSON JOHN M | Director | 556 | $169,975 | |
| 2026-04-28 | PATERSON EILEEN PATRICIA | Director | 556 | $169,975 | |
| 2026-04-28 | DE BALMANN YVES C | Director | 556 | $169,975 | |
| 2026-04-28 | HALVERSON BRADLEY M. | Director | 556 | $169,975 | |
| 2026-04-28 | HOLZRICHTER JULIE | Director | 556 | $169,975 | |
| 2026-04-28 | LAWLESS ROBERT J | Director | 556 | $169,975 | |
| 2026-04-28 | JAMIL DHIAA M | Director | 556 | $169,975 | |
| 2026-04-28 | HARRINGTON CHARLES L | Director | 556 | $169,975 | |
| 2026-04-28 | ASHISH KHANDPUR K | Director | 556 | $169,975 | |
| 2026-04-28 | RIMMER NNEKA LOUISE | Director | 556 | $169,975 |
Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.
| Date | Politician | Party | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | Ro Khanna | Democrat | sell | 1K–15K |
| 2026-04-13 | Ro Khanna | Democrat | Purchase | 1K–15K |
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $299.23 | -18.9% | $0.43 | $813 | -18.7% |
| 2 months | $286.06 | -15.2% | $0.43 | $850 | -15.0% |
| 3 months | $301.08 | -19.4% | $0.43 | $808 | -19.2% |
| 6 months | $377.51 | -35.7% | $0.85 | $645 | -35.5% |
| 1 year | $289.50 | -16.2% | $1.63 | $844 | -15.6% |
| 2 years | $212.09 | +14.4% | $3.11 | $1,159 | +15.9% |
| 3 years | $91.41 | +165.5% | $4.38 | $2,703 | +170.3% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever CEG does next, these words stay.
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