The framework has shifted from distribution to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 4.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 7% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are down 6%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%.
AGL Energy Limited
AGLXY · PNK · USD · Market cap $4.3B
AGL Energy Limited, together with its subsidiaries, supplies energy and other essential services in Australia.
FAIL · Does not pass the screenAt the last full screen
2026-09-04
Screened 2026-09-04 · the tape above runs as of 22:36 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
This name holds its distribution label.
AGL Energy Limited holds its Distribution at $6.44. The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 22 days.
| Phase | Distribution · caution |
| Quantitative state | The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 22 days |
| Price at the screen | $6.44 |
| Valuation | 8.05 trailing · N/A forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 0.23 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 106.01% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is 106.0% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. | Fail |
| Interest-bearing cash | 7.25% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 7.3% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 0.00% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 0.0% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | 0.00% | Below 5% | Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Business, in Plain Words| Trailing P/E | 8.1xvery cheap relative to earnings |
| EPS, trailing | 0.80 |
| Revenue growth | -4.7%revenue is shrinking |
| Profit margin | 5.4%thin but positive margins |
| Return on equity | 15.0%a solid return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | -3.11% |
| Dividend yield | 554.00% |
| Debt to equity | 0.77moderate, manageable leverage |
| Current ratio | 1.07adequate liquidity, worth monitoring |
| Beta | 0.23barely tracks the market's swings |
| 52-week range | 5.40 - 7.57 |
| Market cap | $4.3B |
The risks · The things to watch: its business and earnings are exposed to Australia and to currency swings.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeAGLXY trades on PNK (the company is based in Australia). As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 3.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 7% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are down 6%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%.
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 7% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are down 6%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%.
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 7% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are down 6%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%.
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $6.65 | -6.8% | · | $932 | -6.8% |
| 2 months | $6.95 | -10.8% | · | $892 | -10.8% |
| 3 months | $6.20 | +0.0% | · | $1,000 | +0.0% |
| 6 months | $5.97 | +3.9% | $0.17 | $1,067 | +6.7% |
| 1 year | $6.59 | -6.0% | $0.17 | $966 | -3.4% |
| 2 years | $6.61 | -6.2% | $0.55 | $1,021 | +2.1% |
| 3 years | $5.76 | +7.7% | $0.87 | $1,228 | +22.8% |
| 5 years | $5.56 | +11.4% | $1.36 | $1,358 | +35.8% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever AGLXY does next, these words stay.
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