NAS10029,644+0.67%S&P7,651+0.17%GOLD$4,416+0.37%BTC$81,118+6.17%VIX14.81−4.08%live tape · as of 13:00 UTC
The Screen · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
Restaurant Brands International Inc
QSR · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $35.3B · 53,500 employees
Restaurant Brands International Inc.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
76.96 USD
At the last full screen 2026-09-11
Screened 2026-09-11 · the tape above runs as of 13:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its distribution label.
Restaurant Brands International Inc holds its Distribution at $76.96. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 292 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-11
Phase
Distribution · caution
Quantitative state
Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 292 days
Price at the screen
$76.96
Valuation
19.34 trailing · 17.37 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
0.53
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
61.31%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 61.3% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
7.64%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 7.6% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.33%
Below 5%
Only 0.3% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-11 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 1.0% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 24 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +10% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Our more conservative model reads it as roughly fairly valued here, while the Street is more bullish: a quality-at-a-fair-price name rather than a deep-value one.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-11 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Familiar fast food brands with limited upside
Walk into any Tim Hortons or Burger King and the queues look reliable, yet the whole operation sits in a crowded market where loyalty is thin. Restaurant Brands shows a 28 percent return on equity and 7 percent revenue growth, with a forward multiple of 17 times and a narrow moat around its brands. Those figures keep the business ticking, yet they fall short of the threshold that would mark it as an opportunity.
The ethical screen is clear and the balance sheet is ordinary for the sector. Analyst targets sit around 85 dollars while the shares trade near 75, but the modest growth and limited competitive edge leave little room for outperformance.
Consumer spending can turn quickly when wages stall or tastes move, and a narrow moat offers scant protection in those moments. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
QSR trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-09-10Markup$81.56+11.8%Entry 5
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 11.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 10%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 12%. The street (26 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $86.
2026-08-09Markup · changed$72.92-2.6%Entry 4
The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 2.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 10%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 12%. The street (26 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $86.
2026-07-18Distribution$74.85+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 10%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 12%. The street (26 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $86.
2026-07-03Distribution$74.85+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Distribution$74.85Entry 1
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.