CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill
Consumer Discretionary · Restaurants · US
✗ ETHICAL FAIL
MODERATE MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100.0%
Key Metrics
How this company measures up on the fundamentals that matter
Market Cap
$41.7B
Total market value of the company
23.90
Based on estimated future earnings — lower means cheaper
Rev Growth
+7.4%
Year-over-year revenue change
Profit Margin
0.0%
How much profit the company keeps from each dollar of revenue
49.2%
Return on equity — how efficiently it uses shareholder money
Analyst Target
$43.40
+48% from current price — median analyst estimate
Recommendation
BUY
Consensus view from 35 analysts covering this stock
About Chipotle Mexican Grill
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates Chipotle Mexican Grill restaurants. It sells food and beverages, such as burritos, burrito bowls, quesadillas, tacos, and salads, as well as kids's meals, chips, and sides. It offers Mexican-inspired meals using responsibly sourced meats, such as chicken, beef, and pork branded as Responsibly Raised. The company also provides digital ordering through its website, mobile app, and third-party delivery platforms. It has operations in the United States, Canada, France, Germany, and the United Kingdom. Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Newport Beach, California.
https://www.chipotle.com
Country: United States Employees: 135,000 Industry: Restaurants
Ethical Screening
Five compliance checks based on AAOIFI standards — all must pass for ethical clearance
Business Activity
PASS
Core business does not involve prohibited activities
Debt Ratio
56.4% FAIL
Debt must be below 33% of total assets
Cash Ratio
2.2% PASS
Interest-bearing cash below 33% of assets
Receivables
5.6% PASS
Receivables below 49% of assets
Revenue Purity
0.6% PASS
Non-compliant revenue below 5% — any excess requires purification
Valuation
$27.00
What our model estimates this business is worth per share
-8.7%
Trading above fair value — no margin of safety
Rating
AVOID
Overall assessment combining ethics, valuation, and quality
34.8th
Ranks in the top 65% of our 13,571 screened universe
Trading at $32, 20% above fair value of $27. Moderate competitive position. Fails ethical screen (Debt ratio). Ranks better than 15% of screened stocks.
Quantitative Intelligence
Statistical analysis of price behaviour, risk, and market regime — independent of fundamental data
MARKDOWN
Price trending down — defensive positioning
-0.747
Returns do not compensate for the risk — negative edge
-0.0740
No positive edge detected — the data suggests staying out
-0.506
Drawdown risk outweighs the returns — higher risk profile
Annual Return
-28.6%
Historical annualised return based on price data
-56.5%
Largest peak-to-trough decline — the worst it has been
SIDEWAYS
Price consolidating — no clear directional bias
Days in State
121
How long the current regime has persisted — longer means more stable
Market Data
Trading characteristics and market positioning
1.03
Moves slightly more than the broader market
52W High
$58.42
50% below the year high
52W Low
$29.75
-1% above the year low
Avg Volume
15,818,120
Average daily shares traded — higher means easier to buy and sell
2.7
Days it would take all short sellers to cover — higher means more crowded
Short % Float
3.7%
Low short interest — limited bearish positioning
N/A
Annual dividend as a percentage of the share price
$1.09
Earnings per share over the last 12 months
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and cash generation — the foundation of long-term value
2.18
Heavy leverage — higher financial risk if revenues decline
0.92
Below 1 means short-term obligations exceed liquid assets — risk flag
Quick Ratio
0.78
Like current ratio but excludes inventory — stricter test
Gross Margin
39.6%
Revenue left after cost of goods — higher means pricing power
Operating Margin
13.3%
Profit from core operations before interest and tax
$1.1B
Positive — the business generates more cash than it spends
Revenue (TTM)
$12.1B
Total revenue over the last 12 months
Net Income
$1.5B
Profitable — the bottom line is positive
Recent Insider Activity
SEC Form 4 filings — what company insiders are buying and selling
45
NEUTRAL
Mixed insider activity. 1 purchases and 1 sales in the last 90 days — no clear directional signal. Political selling noted.
| Date |
Insider |
Title |
Type |
Shares |
Value |
| 2026-05-27 |
Ells Stephen |
Founder, Chairman |
Sale |
100 |
$316,575 |
| 2026-05-26 |
Crump Scott |
Director |
Purchase |
50 |
$157,500 |
| 2026-05-25 |
Niccol Brian R. |
CEO |
Award/Grant |
200 |
— |
| 2026-05-24 |
Brandt Jack |
CFO |
Option Exercise |
300 |
$450,000 |
| 2026-05-23 |
Smith Karen |
Director |
Tax Withholding |
50 |
$155,000 |
| 2026-05-22 |
Jones David |
VP, Marketing |
Gift |
10 |
— |
| 2026-05-20 |
BALDOCCHI ALBERT STEVEN |
Director |
|
6,672 |
— |
| 2026-02-24 |
FILI-KRUSHEL PATRICIA D |
Director |
|
3,350 |
$122,543 |
| 2026-02-13 |
RYMER ADAM T |
Chief Financial Officer |
|
25,526 |
— |
| 2026-02-13 |
BUSH MATTHEW R |
Officer |
|
6,416 |
— |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings via public data. View all insider activity at
Insider Intelligence
Political Trading Activity
Congressional trading disclosures involving this instrument
| Date |
Politician |
Party |
Type |
Amount |
| 2026-04-02 |
Byron Donalds |
Republican |
Sale |
1K–15K |
Source: Congressional disclosure filings. View all political trades at
Insider Intelligence
Data sourced from public filings and market feeds. Not financial advice. Updated: 2025-12-31