MTH
Meritage Homes Corporation
Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction · NYQ
$66.47
Close 2026-05-28
✓ ETHICAL PASS

UNKNOWN MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$4.4B
Trailing P/E
12.13
Forward P/E
10.18
Rev Growth
-17.7%
Profit Margin
6.9%
ROE
7.5%
Analyst Target
$80.00
Recommendation
BUY
About Meritage Homes Corporation

Meritage Homes Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs and builds single-family attached and detached homes in the United States. The company operates through two segments: Homebuilding and Financial Services. It acquires and develops land; and constructs, markets, and sells homes for entry-level and first move-up buyers in Arizona, California, Colorado, Utah, Texas, Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Tennessee. The company also provides title and escrow, mortgage, insurance, title insurance, and closing/settlement services to its homebuyers. Meritage Homes Corporation was founded in 1985 and is based in Scottsdale, Arizona.

Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt RatioN/A
Cash RatioN/A
Receivables RatioN/A
Revenue Ratio (0.00%)PASS
OverallPASS
Score Ethical: 64.7
Score Valuation: 71.5
Score Quality: 35.2
Score Combined: 50.1

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation100.0
Quality22.6
Cash Flow39.0
Moat40.0
Balance Sheet0.0
Debt Purity50.0
Liquid Purity50.0
Rev Purity100.0
Compliance100.0
Tier: BRONZE · Score: 46.3 · Rank: #2850
Insider Transactions
No insider transaction data.
Top Institutional Holders
No institutional holder data.
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$5.5B
Price/Book
0.86
Beta
1.429
Analysts
9
Total Revenue (TTM)
$5.6B
Total Debt
$1.9B
Earnings Growth
-51.5%
Dividend Yield
289.0%
Rec. Mean
2.10
Short Ratio
3.32
Short % Float
0.1%
Employees
1,860

Elite Intelligence

Trade Consideration with position sizing, convergence signals, and risk analysis. Available to Elite members.

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 50.1 (P73 — top 26.6% of scored tickers). Unknown Moat. Ethical PASS. 9 analysts at Buy.
Price: $66.47 | Target: $77.78 (+17%)
Score
50
Moat
Unknown
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+17%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth-17.7%
Profit Margin6.9%
ROE7.5%
Forward P/E10.2
Market Cap$4.4B
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $56.50 (-15%) | Entry: $66.47
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($77.78, 9 analysts)
10$664.70+$113.10 (17%)1.1R
50$3,323.50+$565.50 (17%)1.1R
100$6,647.00+$1,131.00 (17%)1.1R
Risk Factors
  • Elevated short interest (3.32 days to cover)
The Verdict
Meritage Homes Corporation passes all ethical screens and holds a unknown competitive moat.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

C
Quant Score
54.8
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
7
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-3.8%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-4.8%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
-0.49
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-43.0%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
75
Liquidity Grade
LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
BELOW_200
Bollinger Position
UPPER_HALF
Beta
Relative Volume
2.2x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
TickerCorrelation
TMHC0.898
PHM0.893
KBH0.889
CCS0.869
MHO0.866
Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
SUKOON.AE-0.168
BNO-0.163
BAES.L-0.154
LPTVQ-0.150
CME-0.149
Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Tuesday
Worst Day
Wednesday
Best Month
Jul
Worst Month
Dec
Fri-Mon Effect
0.1266231407880857
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
-5.4%
3M Return
-12.4%
6M Return
-5.1%
12M Return
+2.3%
Momentum Rank
#3494
Momentum Signal
DOWN

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