GRBK
Green Brick Partners, Inc.
Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction · NYQ
$68.10
Close 2026-05-28
✓ ETHICAL PASS

UNKNOWN MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$2.9B
Trailing P/E
10.03
Forward P/E
10.92
Rev Growth
-4.9%
Profit Margin
14.4%
ROE
17.4%
Analyst Target
$62.00
Recommendation
HOLD
About Green Brick Partners, Inc.

Green Brick Partners, Inc., the third-largest homebuilder in Dallas-Fort Worth and one of Fortune Magazine's fastest-growing companies. It is a diversified homebuilding and land development company operating through its seven subsidiary homebuilders in Texas, Georgia, and Florida. Green Brick owns five subsidiary homebuilders in Texas (CB JENI Homes, Normandy Homes, Southgate Homes, Trophy Signature Homes, and a 90% interest in Centre Living Homes), as well as a controlling interest in a homebuilder in Atlanta, Georgia (The Providence Group) and an 80% interest in a homebuilder in Port St. Lucie, Florida (GHO Homes). Green Brick also holds interests in related financial services platforms, including Green Brick Title, Green Brick Mortgage, and Green Brick Insurance. The company and its affiliated builders are involved in all aspects of the homebuilding process, including land acquisition, development, entitlements, design, construction, marketing, and sales for its residential neighborhoods and master-planned communities. Green Brick Partners Inc. is based in Plano, United States.

Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt RatioN/A
Cash RatioN/A
Receivables RatioN/A
Revenue Ratio (0.00%)PASS
OverallPASS
Score Ethical: 64.7
Score Valuation: 71.5
Score Quality: 63.2
Score Combined: 57.1

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation100.0
Quality59.2
Cash Flow34.9
Moat40.0
Balance Sheet0.0
Debt Purity50.0
Liquid Purity50.0
Rev Purity100.0
Compliance100.0
Tier: BRONZE · Score: 50.0 · Rank: #1872
Insider Transactions
No insider transaction data.
Top Institutional Holders
No institutional holder data.
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$3.2B
Price/Book
1.56
Beta
1.852
Analysts
1
Total Revenue (TTM)
$2.1B
Total Debt
$282.4M
Earnings Growth
-16.8%
Rec. Mean
3.00
Short Ratio
0.02
Short % Float
0.0%
Employees
620

Elite Intelligence

Trade Consideration with position sizing, convergence signals, and risk analysis. Available to Elite members.

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 57.1 (P90 — top 9.7% of scored tickers). Unknown Moat. Ethical PASS. 1 analysts at Hold.
Price: $68.10 | Target: $62.00 (+-9%)
Score
57
Moat
Unknown
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+-9%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth-4.9%
Profit Margin14.4%
ROE17.4%
Forward P/E10.9
Market Cap$2.9B
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $57.88 (-15%) | Entry: $68.10
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($62.00, 1 analysts)
10$681.00+$-61.00 (-9%)-0.6R
50$3,405.00+$-305.00 (-9%)-0.6R
100$6,810.00+$-610.00 (-9%)-0.6R
Risk Factors
  • High beta (1.85) — amplifies market moves by 1.85x
The Verdict
Green Brick Partners, Inc. passes all ethical screens and holds a unknown competitive moat.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

C
Quant Score
51.7
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
7
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-3.4%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-4.7%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
0.54
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-36.1%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
75
Liquidity Grade
LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
BELOW_200
Bollinger Position
NEAR_UPPER
Beta
Relative Volume
1.0x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
TickerCorrelation
TMHC0.850
MTH0.847
PHM0.847
MHO0.834
KBH0.829
Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
SUKOON.AE-0.169
LPTVQ-0.159
BNO-0.155
USO-0.149
BAES.L-0.145
Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Tuesday
Worst Day
Wednesday
Best Month
Jul
Worst Month
Dec
Fri-Mon Effect
0.0014562469260497035
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
-3.7%
3M Return
-12.9%
6M Return
+4.6%
12M Return
+12.0%
Momentum Rank
#3173
Momentum Signal
FLAT

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