MDA Space Ltd. MDA
An entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.
In plain words · MDA Space Ltd.
read at $30.24
MDA Space Ltd. holds its Distribution at $30.24.
- PHPhase · the trend structure carries the Distribution label
- INInsiders · no filings inside 60 days, left as found
- POPositioning · no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- OPOptions · no verdict drawn today, left as found
- SCScreen · does not pass the values gate
- edge confirmed
- edge broken
- edge forming
Each arm is one independent read. Conviction is not a single call, it is how many edges converge.
The investor read · the season, not the day
| Phase | Distribution · caution |
| Price | $30.24 |
| Valuation | 54.00 trailing · 25.74 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 30.0 |
| Beta | N/A |
The opportunity · what the numbers say it is worth
Price history & projections · where it has been, where the models see it going
The valuation journey · where the price sits against fair value and the Street
Green marks levels above today's price, red below; the shaded band is the gap between the price and our fair value.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
| Revenue growth | 0.20% |
| Profit margin | 2.24% |
| Analyst consensus | Strong Buy · 3 covering |
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; target range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The values screen, explained · five checks, plain English
Does not pass. Prohibited business activity: Aerospace & Defense
- Business activity Prohibited business activity: Aerospace & Defense Fail
- Debt load Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. Fail
- Interest-bearing cash Interest-bearing cash and securities are of assets, above the one-third limit. Fail
- Receivables Money owed to the company is of assets, above the 49% limit. Fail
- Revenue purity of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line. Fail
Every security is read against two recognised standards: our stricter asset-based screen (ratios measured against total assets) and the more widely used market-value standard (measured against market capitalisation). Where they agree we say so plainly; where they part ways — almost always on the debt check — we show both readings and mark it, because that disagreement is the finding, not a fault. We report the score; you and your scholar make the call.
The business, in plain words · what the numbers mean
Space Dreams Fail Before Numbers Even Matter
Picture a satellite beaming broadband to a remote village. It sounds like progress until the same technology feeds defence contracts that our screen rules out on principle. MDA Space hits that wall immediately, so we pass regardless of any modest valuation gap.
Revenue sits flat, margins scrape just 2 percent and the forward multiple stretches to 25.7 times. Those figures already signal thin returns for a business with no clear moat, yet the ethical breach alone ends the discussion before any deeper look.
Cyclical aerospace spending and shifting government budgets add further uncertainty on top of the low growth. The consensus target may sit higher, but none of it overrides the core prohibition. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 25.7x expensive even after accounting for its growth |
| Trailing P/E | 54.0x expensive — the price assumes strong growth ahead |
| Revenue growth | 0.2% slow but positive growth |
| Profit margin | 2.2% barely profitable |
| Market cap | $4.9B |
| Employees | 4,800 |
The risks · The things to watch: its business and earnings are exposed to Canada and to currency swings.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Related securities · others in MDA's space worth a look
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
Where & how to trade · wherever in the world you are
MDA trades on the NYSE (the company is based in Canada). As a US-listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering US markets. New to this, or investing from outside the US? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The trader read · the latest dated commentary
What holding actually paid · price plus dividends
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $37.34 | +1.5% | · | $1,015 | +1.5% |
| 2 months | $30.59 | +23.8% | · | $1,238 | +23.8% |
| 3 months | $30.80 | +23.0% | · | $1,230 | +23.0% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.