The framework has shifted from accumulation to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 32.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 72% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 413%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 46%. The street (16 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $36.
TeraWulf Inc
WULF · USD · Market cap $7.8B · 141 employees
TeraWulf Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns, develops, operates digital infrastructure in the United States.
FAIL · Does not pass the screenAt the last full screen
2026-08-21
Screened 2026-08-21 · the tape above runs as of 23:26 UTC · 4 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
This name holds its markdown label.
TeraWulf Inc holds its Markdown at $15.64. Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 6 days.
| Phase | Markdown · caution |
| Quantitative state | Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 6 days |
| Price at the screen | $15.64 |
| Valuation | N/A trailing · -65.17 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 30.0 |
| Beta | 4.29 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Excluded industry: Capital Markets
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Excluded | Core business clean | Excluded industry: Capital Markets | Fail |
| Debt load | Excluded | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. | Fail |
| Interest-bearing cash | Excluded | Below 33% | Interest-bearing cash and securities are of assets, above the one-third limit. | Fail |
| Receivables | Excluded | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is of assets, above the 49% limit. | Fail |
| Revenue purity | Excluded | Below 5% | of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line. | Fail |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-08-21 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 100.0% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 18 covering, consensus Strong Buy. The average target sits +117% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-08-21 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsBitcoin miner trips every screen at once
Picture a facility chewing power just to mint coins that swing with every tweet. TeraWulf lands in an excluded sector and the numbers give no reason to stretch the rules. Revenue is already shrinking, margins sit at zero and return on equity has collapsed past two thousand percent negative, so the ethical block is not the only reason we pass.
A forward multiple above ninety times on fading sales leaves almost no margin of safety at the current price. The narrow moat and complete absence of profits turn the strong-buy chorus from seventeen analysts into noise rather than signal. Opportunity rating stays at none for a reason.
Currency and energy swings could still move the shares, yet the combination of sector exclusion and broken fundamentals keeps any position off limits. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | -65.2x |
| EPS, trailing | -4.46 |
| EPS, forward | -0.24 |
| Revenue growth | -6.0%revenue is shrinking |
| Profit margin | 0.0%currently unprofitable |
| Return on equity | -1,211.8%not currently earning a positive return on equity |
| FCF yield | -3.00% |
| Debt to equity | 35.50heavy leverage: higher risk if revenue softens |
| Current ratio | 0.75below 1: short-term bills exceed liquid assets |
| Beta | 4.29much more volatile than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.26% |
| 52-week range | 8.60 - 29.84 |
| Moat | NARROW |
| Market cap | $7.8B |
| Employees | 141 |
The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Every Entry, As Written
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 72% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 413%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 46%. The street (16 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $36.
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $23.37 | -0.8% | · | $992 | -0.8% |
| 2 months | $18.87 | +22.9% | · | $1,229 | +22.9% |
| 3 months | $14.67 | +58.1% | · | $1,581 | +58.1% |
| 6 months | $15.83 | +46.5% | · | $1,465 | +46.5% |
| 1 year | $4.52 | +413.1% | · | $5,131 | +413.1% |
| 2 years | $3.09 | +650.5% | · | $7,505 | +650.5% |
| 3 years | $1.33 | +1,643.6% | · | $17,436 | +1,643.6% |
| 5 years | $9.17 | +152.8% | $5.00 | $3,073 | +207.3% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever WULF does next, these words stay.
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