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Vol. II · No. 248Saturday, 5 September 2026
TTitan Protect
The Screen · Financials · Capital Markets

Riot Platforms Inc logoRiot Platforms Inc

RIOT · USD · Market cap $7.5B · 816 employees

Riot Platforms, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a Bitcoin mining company in the United States.

FAIL · Does not pass the screen
20.00 USD

At the last full screen
2026-08-24

Screened 2026-08-24 · the tape above runs as of 23:26 UTC · 4 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed

The Label · The Season, Not the Day

This name holds its markdown label.

Riot Platforms Inc holds its Markdown at $20.00. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 61 days.

As held on the ledger · 2026-08-24
PhaseMarkdown · caution
Quantitative stateConsolidating, no directional conviction, held for 61 days
Price at the screen$20.00
ValuationN/A trailing · -21.39 forward price to earnings
Values screenFAIL · score 30.0
Beta3.85
The Workings

Five Screens, Shown in Full

Does not pass. Excluded industry: Capital Markets

TestFigureLimitWhat it meansStatus
Business activity Excluded Core business clean Excluded industry: Capital Markets Fail
Debt load Excluded Below 33% Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. Fail
Interest-bearing cash Excluded Below 33% Interest-bearing cash and securities are of assets, above the one-third limit. Fail
Receivables Excluded Below 49% Money owed to the company is of assets, above the 49% limit. Fail
Revenue purity Excluded Below 5% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line. Fail

Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.

What the Numbers Say It Is Worth

The Fair Value Range

22.00Conservative30.00Base case40.00Growth case 20.00Price

Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-08-24 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 50.0% margin of safety to the base estimate.

The Street's Range
22.00Street low 30.00Street average 45.00Street high 20.00Price

Third-party analyst targets: 21 covering, consensus Strong Buy. The average target sits +50% from the screen price.

Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.

Price History & Projections
$47.8$27.4$7.1TODAY5y agoPROJECTIONStreet high$45.00 +87%Street avg$30.00 +25%Our fair value$30.00 +25%Conservative$22.00 -9%

Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-08-24 screen.

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The Business, in Plain Words

Bitcoin mining draws crowds but hits ethical wall

Picture a miner chasing digital gold in a volatile desert where power costs and coin prices swing wildly. Riot Platforms operates exactly that business, yet we pass without hesitation. The ethical screen flags capital markets exposure as an excluded industry, and that alone ends the conversation regardless of any apparent upside.

Financially the picture is weak. Revenue growth sits at just 4 percent while profit margins print negative 133 percent and return on equity is negative 32 percent. A forward price to earnings ratio of negative 26 times underscores ongoing losses, and the narrow moat offers little protection against bigger, better capitalised rivals.

The stock carries a strong buy consensus from analysts, yet the ethical failure overrides any valuation math or cyclical bitcoin swings. Peak earnings in this sector often coincide with the lowest multiples, a classic trap rather than a bargain. Analysis, not advice.

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E-21.4x
EPS, trailing-3.84
EPS, forward-0.94
Revenue growth+13.9%steady growth
Profit margin-196.3%currently unprofitable
Return on equity-48.2%not currently earning a positive return on equity
FCF yield-9.58%
Debt to equity0.40minimal debt: a conservative balance sheet
Current ratio1.59healthy short-term liquidity
Beta3.85much more volatile than the market
Short interest, float0.15%
52-week range11.50 - 30.32
MoatNARROW
Market cap$7.5B
Employees816

The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited

Every Entry, As Written

2026-08-11 Distribution · changed $21.21 -20.3% Entry 4

The framework has shifted from accumulation to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 20.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 60% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 130%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 39%. The street (20 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $29.

2026-07-18 Accumulation $26.61 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 60% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 130%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 39%. The street (20 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $29.

2026-07-03 Accumulation $26.61 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Accumulation $26.61 Entry 1

The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

Related Securities · Others in RIOT's Space

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

The Insider Ledger · Form 4 Filings, As Filed
Most recent filings · RIOT
DateInsiderTitleTypeSharesValue
2026-08-05 Werner Ryan D. SVP, CAO S - Sale 47,733 $1,061,282

Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.

The Political Ledger · Congressional Disclosures
Disclosures naming RIOT
DatePoliticianPartyTypeAmount
27 Mar2026 Alan Armstrong Republican buy 1K–15K
15 May2026 Ro Khanna Democrat buy 1K–15K
What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $25.34 -5.0% · $950 -5.0%
2 months $16.60 +45.1% · $1,451 +45.1%
3 months $14.50 +66.1% · $1,661 +66.1%
6 months $15.75 +52.9% · $1,529 +52.9%
1 year $10.45 +130.4% · $2,304 +130.4%
2 years $9.90 +143.4% · $2,434 +143.4%
3 years $10.33 +133.1% · $2,331 +133.1%
5 years $31.03 -22.4% · $776 -22.4%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Ledger's Promise

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever RIOT does next, these words stay.

Riot Platforms Inc · RIOT · Markdown · $20.00
Recorded 2026-08-24 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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Screening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.

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