The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 35.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 60% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 130%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 39%. The street (20 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $29. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
Riot Platforms Inc
RIOT · NASDAQ · USD · Market cap $5.1B · 816 employees
Riot Platforms, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a Bitcoin mining company in the United States.
FAIL · Does not pass the screenPrice as of 16 Oct 2026Daily close, not a live quoteLast reviewed 6 days ago
Screened 2026-10-16 · the tape above runs as of 15:03 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
- Price13.72 USD at the 16 Oct 2026 close
- Ethical screenDoes not pass
- OptionsOpen interest leans to puts (put/call 1.70)
- Last reviewed16 Oct 2026 (6 days ago)
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
What this means: price 13.72 against the desk's fair-value range, base estimate 27.44, over the last year.
- Trend Markdown
- Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options put/call open interest 1.70, read 2026-10-18
- Ethical does not pass the values gate
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
This name holds its markdown label.
Riot Platforms Inc holds its Markdown at $13.72. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 40 days.
| Phase | Markdown · caution |
| Quantitative state | Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 40 days |
| Price at the screen | $13.72 |
| Valuation | N/A trailing · -15.54 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 30.0 |
| Beta | 3.76 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Excluded industry: Capital Markets
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Excluded | Core business clean | Excluded industry: Capital Markets | Fail |
| Debt load | Excluded | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. | Fail |
| Interest-bearing cash | Excluded | Below 33% | Interest-bearing cash and securities are of assets, above the one-third limit. | Fail |
| Receivables | Excluded | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is of assets, above the 49% limit. | Fail |
| Revenue purity | Excluded | Below 5% | of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line. | Fail |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadWhy It Falls Short, in Plain English
Riot Platforms does not clear the screen at the business-activity stage. It operates in conventional financial services, which the screen treats as interest-based, so the financial ratios are not the deciding factor here.
Read as at 2026-10-22. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
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The Fair Value Range
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-10-16 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 100.0% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 22 covering, consensus Strong Buy. The average target sits +119% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-10-16 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsBitcoin mining draws crowds but hits ethical wall
Picture a miner chasing digital gold in a volatile desert where power costs and coin prices swing wildly. Riot Platforms operates exactly that business, yet we pass without hesitation. The ethical screen flags capital markets exposure as an excluded industry, and that alone ends the conversation regardless of any apparent upside.
Financially the picture is weak. Revenue growth sits at just 4 percent while profit margins print negative 133 percent and return on equity is negative 32 percent. A forward price to earnings ratio of negative 26 times underscores ongoing losses, and the narrow moat offers little protection against bigger, better capitalised rivals.
The stock carries a strong buy consensus from analysts, yet the ethical failure overrides any valuation math or cyclical bitcoin swings. Peak earnings in this sector often coincide with the lowest multiples, a classic trap rather than a bargain. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | -15.5x |
| EPS, trailing | -3.89 |
| EPS, forward | -0.88 |
| Revenue growth | +13.9%steady growth |
| Profit margin | -196.3%currently unprofitable |
| Return on equity | -48.2%not currently earning a positive return on equity |
| FCF yield | -13.96% |
| Debt to equity | 0.40minimal debt: a conservative balance sheet |
| Current ratio | 1.59healthy short-term liquidity |
| Beta | 3.76much more volatile than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.14% |
| 52-week range | 11.50 - 30.32 |
| Moat | NARROW |
| Market cap | $5.1B |
| Employees | 816 |
The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeRIOT trades on NASDAQ. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The framework has shifted from accumulation to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 60% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 130%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 39%. The street (20 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $29. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
The framework has shifted from markup to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 2.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 60% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 130%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 39%. The street (20 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $29. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. Since the last review it its composite score eased; its composite score rose.
The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 1.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 60% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 130%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 39%. The street (20 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $29. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
The framework has shifted from accumulation to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 20.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 60% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 130%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 39%. The street (20 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $29.
Our analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 60% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 130%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 39%. The street (20 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $29.
Our analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Our analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
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Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Date | Insider | Title | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Werner Ryan D. | SVP, CAO | S - Sale | 47,733 | $1,061,282 |
Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.
| Date | Politician | Party | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Ro Khanna | Democrat | sell | 1K–15K |
| 2026-05-15 | Ro Khanna | Democrat | buy | 1K–15K |
| 2026-03-27 | Alan Armstrong | Republican | buy | 1K–15K |
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $25.34 | -5.0% | · | $950 | -5.0% |
| 2 months | $16.60 | +45.1% | · | $1,451 | +45.1% |
| 3 months | $14.50 | +66.1% | · | $1,661 | +66.1% |
| 6 months | $15.75 | +52.9% | · | $1,529 | +52.9% |
| 1 year | $10.45 | +130.4% | · | $2,304 | +130.4% |
| 2 years | $9.90 | +143.4% | · | $2,434 | +143.4% |
| 3 years | $10.33 | +133.1% | · | $2,331 | +133.1% |
| 5 years | $31.03 | -22.4% | · | $776 | -22.4% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever RIOT does next, these words stay.
Thirteen thousand names carry this page. One desk keeps them honest.
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Join the deskScreening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.