The framework has shifted from accumulation to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 20.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 60% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 130%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 39%. The street (20 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $29.
Riot Platforms Inc
RIOT · USD · Market cap $7.5B · 816 employees
Riot Platforms, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a Bitcoin mining company in the United States.
FAIL · Does not pass the screenAt the last full screen
2026-08-24
Screened 2026-08-24 · the tape above runs as of 23:26 UTC · 4 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
This name holds its markdown label.
Riot Platforms Inc holds its Markdown at $20.00. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 61 days.
| Phase | Markdown · caution |
| Quantitative state | Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 61 days |
| Price at the screen | $20.00 |
| Valuation | N/A trailing · -21.39 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 30.0 |
| Beta | 3.85 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Excluded industry: Capital Markets
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Excluded | Core business clean | Excluded industry: Capital Markets | Fail |
| Debt load | Excluded | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. | Fail |
| Interest-bearing cash | Excluded | Below 33% | Interest-bearing cash and securities are of assets, above the one-third limit. | Fail |
| Receivables | Excluded | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is of assets, above the 49% limit. | Fail |
| Revenue purity | Excluded | Below 5% | of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line. | Fail |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-08-24 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 50.0% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 21 covering, consensus Strong Buy. The average target sits +50% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-08-24 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsBitcoin mining draws crowds but hits ethical wall
Picture a miner chasing digital gold in a volatile desert where power costs and coin prices swing wildly. Riot Platforms operates exactly that business, yet we pass without hesitation. The ethical screen flags capital markets exposure as an excluded industry, and that alone ends the conversation regardless of any apparent upside.
Financially the picture is weak. Revenue growth sits at just 4 percent while profit margins print negative 133 percent and return on equity is negative 32 percent. A forward price to earnings ratio of negative 26 times underscores ongoing losses, and the narrow moat offers little protection against bigger, better capitalised rivals.
The stock carries a strong buy consensus from analysts, yet the ethical failure overrides any valuation math or cyclical bitcoin swings. Peak earnings in this sector often coincide with the lowest multiples, a classic trap rather than a bargain. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | -21.4x |
| EPS, trailing | -3.84 |
| EPS, forward | -0.94 |
| Revenue growth | +13.9%steady growth |
| Profit margin | -196.3%currently unprofitable |
| Return on equity | -48.2%not currently earning a positive return on equity |
| FCF yield | -9.58% |
| Debt to equity | 0.40minimal debt: a conservative balance sheet |
| Current ratio | 1.59healthy short-term liquidity |
| Beta | 3.85much more volatile than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.15% |
| 52-week range | 11.50 - 30.32 |
| Moat | NARROW |
| Market cap | $7.5B |
| Employees | 816 |
The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Every Entry, As Written
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 60% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 130%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 39%. The street (20 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $29.
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Date | Insider | Title | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Werner Ryan D. | SVP, CAO | S - Sale | 47,733 | $1,061,282 |
Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.
| Date | Politician | Party | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar2026 | Alan Armstrong | Republican | buy | 1K–15K |
| 15 May2026 | Ro Khanna | Democrat | buy | 1K–15K |
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $25.34 | -5.0% | · | $950 | -5.0% |
| 2 months | $16.60 | +45.1% | · | $1,451 | +45.1% |
| 3 months | $14.50 | +66.1% | · | $1,661 | +66.1% |
| 6 months | $15.75 | +52.9% | · | $1,529 | +52.9% |
| 1 year | $10.45 | +130.4% | · | $2,304 | +130.4% |
| 2 years | $9.90 | +143.4% | · | $2,434 | +143.4% |
| 3 years | $10.33 | +133.1% | · | $2,331 | +133.1% |
| 5 years | $31.03 | -22.4% | · | $776 | -22.4% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever RIOT does next, these words stay.
Thirteen thousand names carry this page. One desk keeps them honest.
Membership opens the full screen archive, the composites built from it, and the daily coverage that prices what the screen approves.
Join the deskScreening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.