NAS100 28,128 −1.15% S&P 7,412 +0.05% GOLD $4,056 +0.22% BTC $64,091 −1.47% VIX 18.58 −0.64% live tape · as of 22:40 UTC · 24 Jul
Vol. II · No. 207Sunday, 26 July 2026
TTitan Protect
The Screen · Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

Savers Value Village, Inc. logoSavers Value Village, Inc.

SVV · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $1.5B · 24,000 employees

Savers Value Village, Inc., a thrift operator, sells second-hand merchandise in retail stores in the United States, Canada, and Australia.

PASS · Titan Ethical · score 70.0
9.94 USD

At the last full screen
2026-07-19

Screened 2026-07-19 · the tape above runs as of 22:40 UTC · 24 Jul · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed

The Label · The Season, Not the Day

This name holds its markup label.

Savers Value Village, Inc. holds its Markup at $9.94. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 122 days.

As held on the ledger · 2026-07-19
PhaseMarkup
Quantitative stateConsolidating, no directional conviction, held for 122 days
Price at the screen$9.94
Valuation71.00 trailing · 16.89 forward price to earnings
Values screenPASS · score 70.0
Beta1.24
The Workings

Five Screens, Shown in Full

Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.

TestFigureLimitWhat it meansStatus
Business activity Permissible Core business clean Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. Pass
Debt load Excluded Below 33% Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. Fail
Interest-bearing cash Excluded Below 33% Interest-bearing cash and securities are of assets, above the one-third limit. Fail
Receivables Excluded Below 49% Money owed to the company is of assets, above the 49% limit. Fail
Revenue purity 0.00% Below 5% Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. Pass

Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.

What the Numbers Say It Is Worth

The Fair Value Range

9.71Conservative13.60Base case16.18Growth case 9.94Price

Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-07-19 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 36.8% margin of safety to the base estimate.

The Street's Range
10.00Street low 14.25Street average 20.00Street high 9.94Price

Third-party analyst targets: 10 covering, consensus None. The average target sits +43% from the screen price.

Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.

Price History & Projections
$21.0$13.8$6.5TODAY2y agoPROJECTIONStreet high$20.00 +110%Street avg$14.25 +50%Our fair value$13.60 +43%Conservative$9.71 +2%

Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-07-19 screen.

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The Business, in Plain Words

Thrift Chain Looks Cheap But Offers Little

Walk into a Savers store and the racks of second-hand clothes explain why shoppers keep coming back. Revenue is growing at 9 percent and the shares sit 37 percent below our fair value, yet the opportunity rating stays at none. Low returns on equity of 5 percent and a 1 percent profit margin leave little room for error once the cycle turns.

The business clears the ethical screen and forward earnings sit at a reasonable 16.9 times, but unknown competitive advantage and thin margins mean the discount is not the bargain it first appears. Specialty retail remains exposed to shifts in consumer spending that quickly pressure volumes and pricing power.

Cyclical value traps often hide behind low multiples when earnings sit near a peak. Here the numbers reinforce caution rather than opportunity despite the apparent margin of safety.

Analysis, not advice.

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E16.9xpriced for continued growth
Trailing P/E71.0xexpensive: the price assumes strong growth ahead
EPS, trailing0.14
EPS, forward0.59
Revenue growth+8.9%steady growth
Profit margin1.3%barely profitable
Return on equity5.2%a modest return on shareholder capital
FCF yield1.37%
Debt to equity3.27heavy leverage: higher risk if revenue softens
Current ratio0.79below 1: short-term bills exceed liquid assets
Beta1.24moves a little more than the market
Short interest, float0.19%
52-week range6.91 - 13.89
Market cap$1.5B
Employees24,000

The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Where & How to Trade

SVV trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited

Every Entry, As Written

2026-07-18 Markup $9.99 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 13%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (10 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $14.

2026-07-03 Markup $9.99 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Markup $9.99 Entry 1

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

Related Securities · Others in SVV's Space

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $7.54 +26.4% · $1,264 +26.4%
2 months $8.08 +18.0% · $1,180 +18.0%
3 months $7.80 +22.2% · $1,222 +22.2%
6 months $9.77 -2.5% · $975 -2.5%
1 year $10.98 -13.2% · $868 -13.2%
2 years $13.13 -27.4% · $726 -27.4%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Ledger's Promise

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever SVV does next, these words stay.

Savers Value Village, Inc. · SVV · Markup · $9.94
Recorded 2026-07-19 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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Screening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.

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