The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 4.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 17% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 28%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $80.
1st Source Corporation
SRCE · Nasdaq · USD · Market cap $2.1B · 1,190 employees
1st Source Corporation operates as the bank holding company for 1st Source Bank that provides commercial and consumer banking services, trust and wealth advisory services, and insurance products to individual and busines…
FAIL · Does not pass the screenPrice as of 27 Oct 2026Daily close, not a live quote
Screened 2026-10-27 · the tape above runs as of 04:03 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
- Price87.95 USD at the 27 Oct 2026 close
- Ethical screenDoes not pass
- Last reviewed27 Oct 2026 (3 days ago)
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
What this means: price 87.95 against the desk's fair-value range, base estimate 99.97, over the last year.
- Trend Accumulation
- Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
- Ethical does not pass the values gate
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
This name holds its accumulation label.
1st Source Corporation holds its Accumulation at $87.95. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 47 days.
| Phase | Accumulation |
| Quantitative state | Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 47 days |
| Price at the screen | $87.95 |
| Valuation | 12.06 trailing · 11.54 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 30.0 |
| Beta | 0.57 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Prohibited keyword in sector/industry: bank
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Excluded | Core business clean | Prohibited keyword in sector/industry: bank | Fail |
| Debt load | Excluded | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. | Fail |
| Interest-bearing cash | Excluded | Below 33% | Interest-bearing cash and securities are of assets, above the one-third limit. | Fail |
| Receivables | Excluded | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is of assets, above the 49% limit. | Fail |
| Revenue purity | Excluded | Below 5% | of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line. | Fail |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadWhy It Falls Short, in Plain English
1st Source does not clear the screen at the business-activity stage. It operates in conventional financial services, which the screen treats as interest-based, so the financial ratios are not the deciding factor here.
Read as at 2026-10-29. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
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The Fair Value Range
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-10-27 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 13.7% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 3 covering, consensus Hold. The average target sits +5% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Our model sees value the Street hasn't fully caught up to yet.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-10-27 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsRegional banks hit our ethical wall first
Picture a Midwest bank handling everyday loans and wealth plans for local families and firms. It looks steady on paper, with revenue creeping up 5 percent, a 38 percent profit margin and 13 percent return on equity, yet the numbers sit right next to an ethical screen that stops the whole review.
We pass because the sector itself fails the test. Banks are off limits regardless of the modest 4 percent margin of safety between the share price and our fair value, or the 11.9 times forward earnings multiple that looks neither cheap nor expensive next to a hold-rated analyst target of 79 dollars.
The real exposure sits in interest-rate swings and credit cycles that can turn a calm regional lender into a problem fast. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 11.5xpriced for continued growth |
| Trailing P/E | 12.1xreasonably valued |
| EPS, trailing | 7.29 |
| EPS, forward | 7.62 |
| Revenue growth | +8.8%steady growth |
| Profit margin | 39.4%highly profitable on every dollar of sales |
| Return on equity | 13.5%a solid return on shareholder capital |
| Dividend yield | 219.00% |
| Beta | 0.57steadier than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.05% |
| 52-week range | 58.50 - 91.46 |
| Market cap | $2.1B |
| Employees | 1,190 |
The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeSRCE trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 14% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 28%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $80. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The framework has shifted from markdown to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 14% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 28%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $80. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 14% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 28%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $80. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 14% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 28%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $80. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 13% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 28%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $80. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 13% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 28%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $80. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 13% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 28%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $80. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 1.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 13% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 28%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $80. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
Our analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 2.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 13% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 28%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $80.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
- 1st Source (SRCE) Stock Stays Calm After Strong Q3 Earnings Yahoo Finance · 6d ago
- How Investors May Respond To 1st Source (SRCE) Earnings Beat Yahoo Finance · 7d ago
- 1st Source (SRCE) Has Fresh Attention, But What Is The Market Weighing? Yahoo Finance · 7d ago
- 1st Source (SRCE) Q3 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates Yahoo Finance · 7d ago
- 1st Source (SRCE) Reports Q3 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say Yahoo Finance · 7d ago
Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $72.67 | +6.8% | · | $1,068 | +6.8% |
| 2 months | $73.45 | +5.6% | $0.43 | $1,062 | +6.2% |
| 3 months | $67.43 | +15.1% | $0.43 | $1,157 | +15.7% |
| 6 months | $65.06 | +19.2% | $0.83 | $1,205 | +20.5% |
| 1 year | $60.63 | +28.0% | $1.61 | $1,306 | +30.6% |
| 2 years | $47.16 | +64.5% | $3.07 | $1,710 | +71.0% |
| 3 years | $42.46 | +82.7% | $4.41 | $1,931 | +93.1% |
| 5 years | $43.18 | +79.7% | $6.93 | $1,957 | +95.7% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever SRCE does next, these words stay.
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