Framework Journal · one stock, one dated entry

Recorded 2026-07-19 · Permanent

Banco Latinoamericano de Comercio Exterior, S. A. logoBanco Latinoamericano de Comercio Exterior, S. A. BLX

Outside both standards

An entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.

In plain words · Banco Latinoamericano de Comercio Exterior, S.

The label
Markup

read at $59.25

Banco Latinoamericano de Comercio Exterior, S. A. holds its Markup at $59.25.

PHINPOOPSC
  • PHPhase · the trend structure carries the Markup label
  • INInsiders · no filings inside 60 days, left as found
  • POPositioning · no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • OPOptions · no verdict drawn today, left as found
  • SCScreen · does not pass the values gate
  • edge confirmed
  • edge broken
  • edge forming

Each arm is one independent read. Conviction is not a single call, it is how many edges converge.

The investor read · the season, not the day

As held on the ledger · 2026-07-19
PhaseMarkup
Quantitative stateConsolidating, no directional conviction, held for 21 days
Price$59.25
Valuation9.84 trailing · 8.40 forward price to earnings
Values screenFAIL · score 30.0
Beta0.79

The opportunity · what the numbers say it is worth

Read at
$59.25
9.84 P/E · 8.40 fwd
Our fair value
$68.00
15% discount
Analyst target (avg)
$66.80
+13% to current
Target low $57.00Analyst target rangeTarget high $68.00
▲ current $59.25 · | average target

Price history & projections · where it has been, where the models see it going

$72.5$39.8$7.1TODAY5y agoPROJECTIONConservative$68.00 +17%Our fair value$68.00 +17%Analyst high$68.00 +17%Analyst avg$66.80 +15%

The valuation journey · where the price sits against fair value and the Street

Current
$59.25
you are here
Conservative
$68.00
+15%
Analyst avg
$66.80
+13%
Our fair value
$68.00
+15%
Analyst high
$68.00
+15%

Green marks levels above today's price, red below; the shaded band is the gap between the price and our fair value.

Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.

Revenue growth7.70%
Profit margin71.66%
Analyst consensusStrong Buy · 4 covering

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; target range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The values screen, explained · five checks, plain English

This company is excluded by both standards. There are two widely recognised ways to check whether a company is suitable for a Muslim investor. It fails on both:

The common standard · AAOIFI
Used by most halal investing apps
✗ DOES NOT PASS
Our stricter standard · asset-based
The one Titan applies
✗ DOES NOT PASS

Why it fails. The problem is its prohibited keyword in sector/industry: bank. Because both standards agree on this, it is a clear exclusion, not a borderline case.

What these two standards are, and how they differ →

  • Business activity Prohibited keyword in sector/industry: bank Fail
  • Debt load Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. Fail
  • Interest-bearing cash Interest-bearing cash and securities are of assets, above the one-third limit. Fail
  • Receivables Money owed to the company is of assets, above the 49% limit. Fail
  • Revenue purity of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line. Fail

Every security is read against two recognised standards: our stricter asset-based screen (ratios measured against total assets) and the more widely used market-value standard (measured against market capitalisation). Where they agree we say so plainly; where they part ways — almost always on the debt check — we show both readings and mark it, because that disagreement is the finding, not a fault. We report the score; you and your scholar make the call.

The business, in plain words · what the numbers mean

Trade finance bank fails our ethical line

Picture a Panama-based lender moving goods across Latin America and the Caribbean. Every deal crosses borders that standard banks often ignore. Yet the business still lands squarely in a sector our screen rejects outright.

Revenue is rising 8 percent, margins sit at 72 percent and return on equity reaches 15 percent. The shares trade at 8.4 times forward earnings with a modest 15 percent gap to our fair value. None of that matters once the ethical filter triggers on banking activity.

Risk sits in the sector exclusion itself plus emerging-market credit cycles that can compress those margins quickly. We pass. Analysis, not advice.

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E8.4x
fairly priced for its growth rate
Trailing P/E9.8x
very cheap relative to earnings
Revenue growth7.7%
slow but positive growth
Profit margin71.7%
highly profitable on every dollar of sales
Return on equity15.0%
a solid return on shareholder capital
Beta0.79
steadier than the market
Market cap$2.2B

The risks · The things to watch: its business and earnings are exposed to Panama and to currency swings.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Related securities · others in BLX's space worth a look

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

Where & how to trade · wherever in the world you are

BLX trades on the NYSE (the company is based in Panama). As a US-listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering US markets. New to this, or investing from outside the US? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The trader read · the latest dated commentary

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 2.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 21% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 45%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 28%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $66. Entered 2026-07-23 · Markup

The dated journal · newest first, never edited

2026-07-23 Markup $59.25 -2.0% Entry 4

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 2.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 21% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 45%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 28%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $66.

2026-07-18 Markup $60.46 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 21% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 45%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 28%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $66.

2026-07-03 Markup $60.46 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Markup $60.46 Entry 1

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

What holding actually paid · price plus dividends

If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $52.95 +10.1% · $1,101 +10.1%
2 months $53.67 +8.6% $0.69 $1,099 +9.9%
3 months $47.40 +22.9% $0.69 $1,244 +24.4%
6 months $43.70 +33.4% $1.38 $1,365 +36.5%
1 year $40.29 +44.6% $1.38 $1,480 +48.0%
2 years $26.60 +119.1% $3.63 $2,327 +132.7%
3 years $17.73 +228.7% $5.13 $3,576 +257.6%
5 years $11.59 +402.7% $7.13 $5,642 +464.2%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever BLX does next, these words stay.

Banco Latinoamericano de Comercio Exterior, S. A. · BLX · Markup · $59.25
Recorded 2026-07-19 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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