The Screen · Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services
Ryder System, Inc.
R · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $9.3B · 51,600 employees
Ryder System, Inc.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
243.30 USD
At the last full screen 2026-09-11
Screened 2026-09-11 · the tape above runs as of 21:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its markdown label.
Ryder System, Inc. holds its Markdown at $243.30. Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 17 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-11
Phase
Markdown · caution
Quantitative state
Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 17 days
Price at the screen
$243.30
Valuation
19.78 trailing · 13.73 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
1.00
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
52.97%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 53.0% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
11.38%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 11.4% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.00%
Below 5%
Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-11 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 31.5% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 9 covering, consensus None. The average target sits +23% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-11 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Trucks idling while the cycle turns
Picture a logistics yard where the lorries sit ready but bookings stay flat. Ryder runs fleet leasing, dedicated haulage and supply-chain work across three segments, yet revenue shows zero growth and margins sit at just 4 percent. The shares trade at 15.4 times forward earnings with a modest 14 percent gap to our fair value, and the consensus target sits below the current price.
We pass because the business offers no clear edge. Return on equity reaches 17 percent, yet that figure comes against a backdrop of no revenue expansion and an unknown competitive moat. A low multiple on flat earnings often signals peak-cycle profits rather than a bargain, and the ethical screen raises no red flags.
Transportation demand moves with the economy, so any slowdown hits utilisation and pricing fast. Currency and fuel swings add further pressure on an already thin margin base. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
R trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-09-10Markdown · changed$246.18-6.1%Entry 5
The framework has shifted from markup to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 6.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 27% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 79%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (8 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $261.
2026-08-09Markup$262.29-6.4%Entry 4
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 6.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 27% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 79%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (8 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $261.
2026-07-18Markup$280.33+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 27% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 79%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (8 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $261.
2026-07-03Markup$280.33+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markup$280.33Entry 1
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.