MAR
Marriott International
Consumer Discretionary · Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines · US
$353.18
Close 2025-12-31
✗ ETHICAL FAIL

UNKNOWN MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 86%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$93.1B
Trailing P/E
37.00
Forward P/E
27.20
Rev Growth
+12.6%
Profit Margin
36.0%
ROE
Analyst Target
$377.33
Recommendation
BUY
About Marriott International

Marriott International, Inc. engages in the operation, franchise, and licensing of hotel, residential, timeshare, and other lodging properties in the U.S. & Canada, Europe, Middle East & Africa, Greater China, and Asia Pacific, and internationally. It operates properties under JW Marriott, The Ritz-Carlton, The Luxury Collection, W Hotels, St. Regis, EDITION, Bvlgari, Marriott Hotels, Sheraton, Westin, Autograph Collection, Renaissance Hotels, Le Méridien, Delta Hotels by Marriott, MGM Collection with Marriott Bonvoy, Tribute Portfolio, Gaylord Hotels, Design Hotels, Marriott Executive Apartments, Apartments by Marriott Bonvoy, Courtyard by Marriott, Fairfield by Marriott, Residence Inn by Marriott, SpringHill Suites by Marriott, Four Points by Sheraton, TownePlace Suites by Marriott, Aloft Hotels, AC Hotels by Marriott, Moxy Hotels, Element Hotels, Protea Hotels by Marriott, citizen, City Express by Marriott, and Four Points Flex by Sheraton brand names, as well as operates residences, timeshares, and yachts. The company was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.

Opportunity Summary
Trading at $353, 36% above fair value of $260. Fails ethical screen (Debt ratio). Ranks better than 9% of screened stocks.
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt Ratio (0.62%)FAIL
Cash Ratio (0.01%)PASS
Receivables Ratio (0.12%)PASS
Revenue Ratio (0.00%)PASS
OverallFAIL
Score Ethical: 10.0
Score Valuation: 44.5
Score Quality: 40.0
Score Combined: 31.7
Fair Value Est: $260.00 · Margin of Safety: -26.4% · Tier: AVOID

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation59.4
Quality42.0
Cash Flow23.8
Moat40.0
Balance Sheet50.0
Debt Purity0.0
Liquid Purity96.7
Rev Purity96.8
Compliance56.9
Tier: WATCH · Score: 39.3 · Rank: #4348
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-08-043.06Pending--
2026-05-062.552.72+6.5%
2026-02-102.622.58-1.5%
2025-11-042.392.47+3.5%
2025-08-052.622.65+1.1%
2025-05-062.252.32+3.0%
2025-02-112.382.45+2.7%
2024-11-042.312.26-2.0%
Quarterly Financials
PeriodRevenueNet IncomeEBITDAGross ProfitOp. IncomeEPS
2026-03-31$6.7B$648.0M$1.2B$1.3B$1.1B2.44
2025-12-31$6.7B$445.0M$967.0M$1.0B$806.0M1.66
2025-09-30$6.5B$728.0M$1.3B$1.4B$1.1B2.68
2025-06-30$6.7B$763.0M$1.4B$1.5B$1.2B2.78
2025-03-31$6.3B$665.0M$1.1B$1.2B$949.0M2.40
Insider Transactions
DateNameRoleSharesValue
2026-05-18ROE PEGGY FANGOfficer3,000$1.1M
2026-05-13MAO YIBINGOfficer4,816$1.7M
2026-05-11HARRISON DEBORAH MARRIOTTDirector and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security670--
2026-05-11HENDERSON FREDERICK ADirector670--
2026-05-11LEWIS AYLWIN BDirector670--
2026-05-11SCHWAB SUSAN CDirector670--
2026-05-11ROZANSKI HORACIODirector670--
2026-05-11HOBART LAUREN RDirector670--
2026-05-11HILL DAVID SHAWNOfficer174$61.0K
2026-05-11MCCARTHY MARGARET MDirector670--
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
Blackrock Inc.15.5M$5.7B0.1%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC14.0M$5.2B0.1%
State Street Corporation9.4M$3.5B0.0%
FMR, LLC7.1M$2.6B0.0%
Wellington Management Group, LLP5.8M$2.2B0.0%
Geode Capital Management, LLC5.3M$2.0B0.0%
Morgan Stanley4.7M$1.7B0.0%
Invesco Ltd.4.3M$1.6B0.0%
Massachusetts Financial Services Co.4.3M$1.6B0.0%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC4.2M$1.6B0.0%
Analyst Recommendations
3 Months Ago
1
11
12
26 analysts
2 Months Ago
1
11
13
27 analysts
Last Month
1
11
13
27 analysts
Current
1
11
12
26 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$114.3B
Price/Book
-23.88
Beta
1.107
Analysts
24
Total Revenue (TTM)
$7.2B
Total Debt
$17.4B
Earnings Growth
+1.7%
Dividend Yield
76.0%
Rec. Mean
2.23
Short Ratio
4.13
Short % Float
0.0%
Employees
414,000

Elite Intelligence

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 31.7 (P16 — top 83.7% of scored tickers). Unknown Moat. Ethical FAIL. 24 analysts at Buy.
Price: $353.18 | Target: $377.42 (+7%) | Fair Value: $260.00 (+-26%)
Score
32
Moat
UNKNOWN
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+7%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+12.6%
Profit Margin0.0%
Forward P/E27.2
Market Cap$93.1B
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-08-04$3.06Pending
2026-05-06$2.55$2.72+6.5%
2026-02-10$2.62$2.58-1.5%
2025-11-04$2.39$2.47+3.5%
2025-08-05$2.62$2.65+1.1%
2025-05-06$2.25$2.32+3.0%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $300.20 (-15%) | Entry: $353.18
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($377.42, 24 analysts)
10$3,531.80+$242.40 (7%)0.5R
50$17,659.00+$1,212.00 (7%)0.5R
100$35,318.00+$2,424.00 (7%)0.5R
To Fair Value ($260.00)
10$3,531.80+$-931.80 (-26%)-1.8R
50$17,659.00+$-4,659.00 (-26%)-1.8R
100$35,318.00+$-9,318.00 (-26%)-1.8R
Risk Factors
  • Elevated short interest (4.13 days to cover)
The Verdict
Marriott International holds a unknown competitive moat.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

B
Quant Score
64.1
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
8
Quality: STRONG_EARNINGS_DRIFT
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-2.7%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-3.7%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
1.38
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-30.5%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
90
Liquidity Grade
HIGHLY LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
ABOVE_200
Bollinger Position
ABOVE_UPPER
Beta
Relative Volume
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
75.0%
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
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Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
LPTVQ-0.174
0002.HK-0.153
BAES.L-0.152
CBOE-0.146
SUKOON.AE-0.143
Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Wednesday
Worst Day
Thursday
Best Month
Nov
Worst Month
Mar
Fri-Mon Effect
-0.047835328699251584
Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
+0.9%
Beat Drift Positive %
80.0%
Consistency
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
+2.0%
3M Return
+9.4%
6M Return
+32.9%
12M Return
+45.0%
Momentum Rank
#1155
Momentum Signal
UP

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