KLAR
Klarna Group plc
Technology · Software - Infrastructure · NYQ
$16.47
Close 2026-05-15
✗ ETHICAL FAIL

WEAK MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$6.2B
Trailing P/E
Forward P/E
18.60
Rev Growth
+38.4%
Profit Margin
-8.4%
ROE
-11.1%
Analyst Target
$22.33
Recommendation
BUY
About Klarna Group plc

Klarna Group plc operates as a digital bank and flexible payments provider in the United Kingdom, the United States, Germany, Sweden, and internationally. The company provides payment solutions, such as pay in full solution that settles purchases at time of the transaction; pay later solution that enables customers to purchase goods and services at the time of the transaction and pay the full amount at a later date; and fair financing that allows consumers to pay for their purchase over a long duration ranges from three to 48 months. It also offers advertising solutions that include sponsored search, affiliate programs, and brand advertisement; digital retail banking solutions, such as deposit and saving account, financial insights, and Klarna balance that allow consumer to hold monetary balance with Klarna balance solutions; and payment channels, including Klarna payment, Klarna app, Klarna card, and Klarna in-store. Additionally, the company provides membership programs, product search and price comparison, cashback offers and merchant deals, loyalty cards, wish lists, delivery tracking and returns, AI-enabled support, Klarna memberships, Klarna merchant portal, and on-site messaging solutions. The company was formerly known as Klarna UK II plc and changed its name to Klarna Group plc in December 2023. Klarna Group plc was founded in 2005 and is based in London, United Kingdom.

Opportunity Summary
Trading at $16, 24% above fair value of $13. Fails ethical screen (Cash ratio). Ranks better than 58% of screened stocks.
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt Ratio (0.23%)PASS
Cash Ratio (0.83%)FAIL
Receivables Ratio (0.00%)PASS
Revenue Ratio (0.00%)PASS
OverallFAIL
Score Ethical: 10.0
Score Valuation: 61.0
Score Quality: 33.8
Score Combined: 36.2
Fair Value Est: $13.29 · Margin of Safety: -19.3% · Tier: AVOID

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

Unlock with Membership
Opportunity Scores
Valuation85.0
Quality25.0
Cash Flow50.0
Moat25.0
Balance Sheet85.4
Debt Purity29.9
Liquid Purity0.0
Rev Purity100.0
Compliance41.7
Tier: BRONZE · Score: 43.4 · Rank: #3732
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-08-13-0.07Pending--
2026-05-14-0.14Pending--
2025-11-18-0.26-0.07+73.5%
Quarterly Financials
PeriodRevenueNet IncomeEBITDAGross ProfitOp. IncomeEPS
2026-03-31$1.0B-$5.0M$187.0M$746.0M$188.0M-0.01
2025-06-30$823.0M-$52.0M$152.0M$462.0M$101.0M-0.14
2025-03-31$701.0M-$101.0M$52.0M$537.0M$40.0M-0.27
Insider Transactions
No insider transaction data.
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
Sc Us (ttgp), Ltd.55.0M$911.8M0.1%
Commonwealth Bank of Australia17.4M$288.4M0.0%
Softbank Group Corporation15.4M$255.2M0.0%
Silver Lake Group, LLC14.5M$239.8M0.0%
Dragoneer Investment Group, LLC5.8M$96.2M0.0%
SCGE Management, LP5.3M$87.3M0.0%
Harbourvest Partners, LLC5.0M$83.2M0.0%
HMI Capital Management, LP4.1M$68.3M0.0%
Marshall Wace LLP3.9M$65.3M0.0%
Technology Crossover Management X, Ltd.3.8M$63.7M0.0%
Analyst Recommendations
3 Months Ago
2
11
6
19 analysts
2 Months Ago
2
11
5
18 analysts
Last Month
2
11
5
18 analysts
Current
2
10
7
19 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$3.2B
Price/Book
2.55
Analysts
18
Total Revenue (TTM)
$3.5B
Total Debt
$1.4B
Rec. Mean
1.84
Short Ratio
5.69
Short % Float
0.1%
Employees
2,831

Elite Intelligence

Trade Consideration with position sizing, convergence signals, and risk analysis. Available to Elite members.

Upgrade to Elite
Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 36.2 (P34 — top 65.5% of scored tickers). Weak Moat. Ethical FAIL. 18 analysts at Buy.
Price: $16.47 | Target: $22.89 (+39%) | Fair Value: $13.29 (+-19%)
Score
36
Moat
WEAK
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+39%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+38.4%
Profit Margin-8.4%
ROE-11.1%
Forward P/E18.6
Market Cap$6.2B
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-08-13$-0.07Pending
2026-05-14$-0.14Pending
2025-11-18$-0.26$-0.07+73.5%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $14.00 (-15%) | Entry: $16.47
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($22.89, 18 analysts)
10$164.70+$64.20 (39%)2.6R
50$823.50+$321.00 (39%)2.6R
100$1,647.00+$642.00 (39%)2.6R
To Fair Value ($13.29)
10$164.70+$-31.80 (-19%)-1.3R
50$823.50+$-159.00 (-19%)-1.3R
100$1,647.00+$-318.00 (-19%)-1.3R
Risk Factors
  • Elevated short interest (5.69 days to cover)
The Verdict
Klarna Group plc holds a weak competitive moat and is growing revenue at +38.4%.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

C
Quant Score
53.7
Risk Grade
Layers
8
Quality: CONSISTENT_BEATER
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-7.7%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-11.5%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
-2.18
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-73.0%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
40
Liquidity Grade
MODERATE
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
NONE
Bollinger Position
ABOVE_UPPER
Beta
Relative Volume
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
100.0%
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
TickerCorrelation
UPST0.502
QQEW0.485
BN0.471
ESGU0.463
ESGV0.462
Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
MCLDF-0.305
OXY-0.290
DIN.AE-0.288
SRAX-0.284
ORA.PA-0.262
Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Monday
Worst Day
Thursday
Best Month
May
Worst Month
Feb
Fri-Mon Effect
-1.0232404755466327
Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
-6.9%
Beat Drift Positive %
0.0%
Consistency
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
+20.7%
3M Return
+21.1%
6M Return
-39.6%
12M Return
Momentum Rank
#1726
Momentum Signal
UP

Get our daily market read free. Join thousands of traders.

Free Explorer Access