JCI
Johnson Controls
Industrials · Building Products · US
$142.85
Close 2026-05-15
✓ ETHICAL PASS

MODERATE MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$87.2B
Trailing P/E
43.82
Forward P/E
25.12
Rev Growth
+8.2%
Profit Margin
14.5%
ROE
13.4%
Analyst Target
$151.19
Recommendation
BUY
About Johnson Controls

Johnson Controls International plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in engineering, manufacturing, commissioning, and retrofitting building products and systems in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. The company designs, manufactures, sells, installs, and services heating, ventilating, air conditioning, controls, building management, refrigeration, integrated electronic security, integrated fire detection and suppression systems, and digital solutions. It also provides energy solutions and technical services, including inspection, scheduled maintenance, and repair and replacement of mechanical and control systems, as well as data-driven building solutions. It sells its products and services to commercial, residential security, institutional, industrial, data center, marine, and governmental customers. Johnson Controls International plc was incorporated in 1885 and is based in Cork, Ireland.

Opportunity Summary
Trading at $143, 109% above fair value of $68. Moderate competitive position. Passes all ethical screens. Ranks better than 56% of screened stocks.
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt Ratio (0.26%)PASS
Cash Ratio (0.00%)PASS
Receivables Ratio (0.18%)PASS
Revenue Ratio (0.00%)PASS
OverallPASS
Score Ethical: 85.6
Score Valuation: 44.5
Score Quality: 60.2
Score Combined: 53.8
Fair Value Est: $68.23 · Margin of Safety: -109.4% · Tier: OVERVALUED

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation57.1
Quality66.3
Cash Flow42.5
Moat50.0
Balance Sheet78.1
Debt Purity21.1
Liquid Purity100.0
Rev Purity98.4
Compliance67.0
Tier: WATCH · Score: 39.8 · Rank: #4280
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-07-281.29Pending--
2026-05-061.121.19+6.5%
2026-02-040.840.89+5.7%
2025-11-051.201.26+4.7%
2025-07-291.011.05+3.6%
2025-05-070.800.82+2.6%
2025-02-050.590.64+8.5%
2024-11-061.251.28+2.7%
Quarterly Financials
PeriodRevenueNet IncomeEBITDAGross ProfitOp. IncomeEPS
2026-03-31$6.1B$613.0M$967.0M$2.3B$861.0M1.01
2025-12-31$5.8B$524.0M$914.0M$2.1B$853.0M0.86
2025-09-30$6.4B$1.7B$684.0M$2.4B$830.0M2.68
2025-06-30$6.1B$701.0M$950.0M$2.2B$829.0M1.07
2025-03-31$5.7B$478.0M$759.0M$2.1B$642.0M0.73
2024-09-30
Insider Transactions
DateNameRoleSharesValue
2026-05-14GRABOWSKI TODD MOfficer4,274$621.9K
2026-05-08SCHLITZ LEI ZHANGOfficer88,809$12.5M
2026-05-08SCHLITZ LEI ZHANGOfficer62,771$3.9M
2026-03-04COHADE PIERRE EDirector1,285--
2026-03-04DUNBAR WEBSTER ROYDirector1,285--
2026-03-04HAGGERTY GRETCHEN RDirector1,285--
2026-03-04KHANNA AYESHADirector1,285--
2026-03-04KOTAGIRI SEETARAMA SWAMYDirector1,285--
2026-03-04ARCHER TIMOTHY MDirector1,285--
2026-03-04YOUNG JOHN DDirector1,285--
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
Dodge & Cox Inc.57.5M$8.0B0.1%
Blackrock Inc.51.3M$7.1B0.1%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC39.8M$5.5B0.1%
State Street Corporation27.7M$3.8B0.0%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC20.1M$2.8B0.0%
Bank of America Corporation17.7M$2.5B0.0%
Fisher Asset Management, LLC17.5M$2.4B0.0%
Invesco Ltd.17.1M$2.4B0.0%
Franklin Resources, Inc.16.2M$2.2B0.0%
Geode Capital Management, LLC14.1M$2.0B0.0%
Analyst Recommendations
3 Months Ago
2
10
9
2
23 analysts
2 Months Ago
2
10
9
22 analysts
Last Month
2
10
9
22 analysts
Current
2
10
9
2
23 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$93.3B
Price/Book
6.24
Beta
1.386
Analysts
21
Total Revenue (TTM)
$24.4B
Total Debt
$9.5B
Earnings Growth
+38.9%
Dividend Yield
1.1%
Rec. Mean
2.13
Short Ratio
2.85
Short % Float
0.0%
Employees
87,000

Elite Intelligence

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 53.8 (P82 — top 17.9% of scored tickers). Moderate Moat. Ethical PASS. 21 analysts at Buy.
Price: $142.85 | Target: $151.38 (+6%) | Fair Value: $68.23 (+-52%)
Score
54
Moat
MODERATE
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+6%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+8.2%
Profit Margin14.5%
ROE13.4%
Forward P/E25.1
Market Cap$87.2B
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-07-28$1.29Pending
2026-05-06$1.12$1.19+6.5%
2026-02-04$0.84$0.89+5.7%
2025-11-05$1.20$1.26+4.7%
2025-07-29$1.01$1.05+3.6%
2025-05-07$0.80$0.82+2.6%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $121.43 (-15%) | Entry: $142.85
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($151.38, 21 analysts)
10$1,428.55+$85.30 (6%)0.4R
50$7,142.74+$426.50 (6%)0.4R
100$14,285.47+$853.00 (6%)0.4R
To Fair Value ($68.23)
10$1,428.55+$-746.20 (-52%)-3.5R
50$7,142.74+$-3,731.00 (-52%)-3.5R
100$14,285.47+$-7,462.00 (-52%)-3.5R
Risk Factors
  • No elevated risk flags in current data
The Verdict
Johnson Controls passes all ethical screens and holds a moderate competitive moat.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

C
Quant Score
49.9
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
8
Quality: HIGH_SORTINO,CONSISTENT_BEATER
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-2.7%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-4.2%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
1.70
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-21.1%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
95
Liquidity Grade
HIGHLY LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
ABOVE_200
Bollinger Position
LOWER_HALF
Beta
Relative Volume
1.1x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
100.0%
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
TickerCorrelation
XLI0.732
ETN0.689
TT0.683
AMANX0.674
AMAGX0.668
Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
BAES.L-0.206
INOVEST.BH-0.200
CBOE-0.179
SUKOON.AE-0.170
MKTX-0.161
Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Wednesday
Worst Day
Tuesday
Best Month
Feb
Worst Month
Mar
Fri-Mon Effect
-0.11552114050244652
Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
+2.1%
Beat Drift Positive %
57.1%
Consistency
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
-1.2%
3M Return
-2.8%
6M Return
+24.5%
12M Return
+44.1%
Momentum Rank
#1670
Momentum Signal
UP

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