GAP
The Gap, Inc.
Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail · NYQ
$24.05
Close 2026-05-28
✗ ETHICAL FAIL

MODERATE MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$8.8B
Trailing P/E
11.29
Forward P/E
9.24
Rev Growth
+2.1%
Profit Margin
5.3%
ROE
23.1%
Analyst Target
$30.30
Recommendation
BUY
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt Ratio (0.64%)FAIL
Cash Ratio (0.34%)FAIL
Receivables Ratio (0.00%)PASS
Revenue Ratio (0.00%)PASS
OverallFAIL
Score Valuation: 95.0
Score Quality: 61.2
Score Combined: 59.6
Fair Value Est: $39.05 · Margin of Safety: +62.3%

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation100.0
Quality58.2
Cash Flow50.0
Moat50.0
Balance Sheet44.5
Debt Purity0.0
Liquid Purity0.0
Rev Purity100.0
Compliance29.4
Tier: SILVER · Score: 69.6 · Rank: #289
Insider Transactions
No insider transaction data.
Top Institutional Holders
No institutional holder data.
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$11.9B
Price/Book
2.45
Beta
2.084
Analysts
17
Total Revenue (TTM)
$15.4B
Total Debt
$5.6B
Earnings Growth
-16.0%
Dividend Yield
291.0%
Rec. Mean
1.79

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 59.6 (P95 — top 5.4% of scored tickers). Moderate Moat. Ethical FAIL. 17 analysts at Buy.
Price: $24.05 | Target: $30.30 (+26%) | Fair Value: $39.05 (+62%)
Score
60
Moat
MODERATE
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+26%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+2.1%
Profit Margin5.3%
ROE23.1%
Forward P/E9.2
Market Cap$8.8B
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $20.44 (-15%) | Entry: $24.05
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($30.30, 17 analysts)
10$240.50+$62.50 (26%)1.7R
50$1,202.50+$312.50 (26%)1.7R
100$2,405.00+$625.00 (26%)1.7R
To Fair Value ($39.05)
10$240.50+$150.00 (62%)4.2R
50$1,202.50+$750.00 (62%)4.2R
100$2,405.00+$1,500.00 (62%)4.2R
Risk Factors
  • No elevated risk flags in current data
The Verdict
The Gap, Inc. holds a moderate competitive moat and trades at a 62.3% discount to fair value.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

B
Quant Score
57.1
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
7
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-4.2%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-7.2%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
0.26
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-38.0%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
67
Liquidity Grade
LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
DEATH_CROSS
Bollinger Position
NEAR_UPPER
Beta
Relative Volume
0.8x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

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Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
SUKOON.AE-0.202
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Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Wednesday
Worst Day
Tuesday
Best Month
Nov
Worst Month
Mar
Fri-Mon Effect
0.25579480022257334
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
+2.3%
3M Return
-11.0%
6M Return
+2.4%
12M Return
-9.6%
Momentum Rank
#3126
Momentum Signal
FLAT

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