Elevance Health clears the business-activity screen and the figures we can measure look clean, but one or more financial figures are still pending, so the verdict is not final yet.
Elevance Health
ELV · a US exchange · USD · Market cap $92.9B · 96,129 employees
Elevance Health, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a health benefits company in the United States.
Not yet scoredPrice as of 23 Oct 2026Daily close, not a live quoteLast reviewed 6 days ago
Screened 2026-10-23 · the tape above runs as of 14:02 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
- Price439.95 USD at the 23 Oct 2026 close
- Our ratingFair value, current read accumulation
- Ethical screenNot yet scored
- OptionsOpen interest leans to puts (put/call 1.31)
- Last reviewed23 Oct 2026 (6 days ago)
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
What this means: price 439.95 against the desk's fair-value range, base estimate 492.00, over the last year.
- Trend Accumulation
- Insiders insiders sold, $4,658,357, latest filing 2026-10-22
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options put/call open interest 1.31, read 2026-10-28
- Ethical screen not yet scored
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
This name holds its accumulation label.
Elevance Health holds its Accumulation at $439.95. The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 51 days.
| Phase | Accumulation |
| Quantitative state | The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 51 days |
| Price at the screen | $439.95 |
| Valuation | 18.84 trailing · 14.47 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | Not scored · score 77.3 |
| Beta | 0.71 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
This security has not been fully scored against the values screen yet.
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 26.38% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 26.4% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 22.84% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 22.8% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 16.10% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 16.1% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadThe Read, in Plain English
Elevance Health clears the business-activity screen and the figures we can measure look clean, but one or more financial figures are still pending, so the verdict is not final yet.
Read as at 2026-10-28. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
Elevance Health clears all five screens. Its business is in a permissible area, its interest-bearing debt is about 26%, inside the ~33% line, and almost none of its income is interest, so it passes.
Earlier reads, kept as written. The ethical profile is tracked over time, not overwritten.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Our analysis reads FAIR VALUE: it trades at roughly a 12% discount to our $492.00 fair value, weak competitive moat, 1.40% revenue growth.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-10-23 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 11.8% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 21 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +5% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-10-23 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsHealth plans priced below their steady cash flows
Every month, families and employers hand over premiums that flow through a handful of big US insurers. Elevance sits among them, trading at 12.6 times forward earnings with revenue barely growing and a 2 percent profit margin. Our work puts fair value 32 percent higher, yet the weak moat and low returns on equity keep the shares at fair value rather than a bargain.
The 1 percent revenue growth and 11 percent ROE tell the real story. Scale helps, ethics clear the screen, and analysts see modest upside to 457 dollars, but nothing here suggests the business can widen its edge or accelerate.
Regulatory shifts, medical cost inflation and thin margins remain the live risks. A cyclical value trap is unlikely, yet the narrow moat leaves little room for error if policy or competition changes. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 14.5xexpensive even after accounting for its growth |
| Trailing P/E | 18.8xreasonably valued |
| EPS, trailing | 22.74 |
| EPS, forward | 29.60 |
| Revenue growth | +1.4%slow but positive growth |
| Profit margin | 2.5%barely profitable |
| Return on equity | 11.1%a modest return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | 4.63% |
| Dividend yield | 1.73% |
| Debt to equity | 0.69moderate, manageable leverage |
| Current ratio | 1.52healthy short-term liquidity |
| Beta | 0.71steadier than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.03% |
| 52-week range | 274.84 - 436.24 |
| Moat | WEAK |
| Market cap | $92.9B |
| Employees | 96,129 |
The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeELV trades on a US exchange. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 19% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 7%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (21 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $401.
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 16% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 7%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (21 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $401. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 16% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 7%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (21 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $401. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 16% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 7%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (21 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $401. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 17% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 7%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (21 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $401. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 17% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 7%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (21 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $401. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 3.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 17% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 7%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (21 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $401. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The framework has shifted from markdown to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 17% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 7%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (21 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $401. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 4.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 17% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 7%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (21 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $401. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The framework has shifted from markup to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 17% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 7%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (21 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $401.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
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Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Date | Insider | Title | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | Kaye Mark | EVP, CFO | S - Sale | 10,584 | $4,658,357 |
| 2026-05-19 | PENCZEK RONALD W | Officer | 1,531 | $450,579 | |
| 2026-05-19 | PENCZEK RONALD W | Officer | 1,531 | $617,192 | |
| 2026-05-13 | HAY LEWIS III | Director | 563 | · | |
| 2026-05-13 | PERU RAMIRO G | Director | 563 | · | |
| 2026-05-13 | SCHNEIDER RYAN M. | Director | 563 | · | |
| 2026-05-13 | COLLIS STEVEN H | Director | 563 | · | |
| 2026-05-13 | STRABLE-SOETHOUT DEANNA D | Director | 563 | · | |
| 2026-05-13 | DEVORE SUSAN D | Director | 563 | · | |
| 2026-05-13 | NERI ANTONIO F | Director | 563 | · |
Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.
| Date | Politician | Party | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Ro Khanna | Democrat | sell | 1K–15K |
| 2026-07-20 | Ro Khanna | Democrat | sell | 1K–15K |
| 2026-05-15 | Ro Khanna | Democrat | buy | 1K–15K |
| 2026-04-13 | Ro Khanna | Democrat | Purchase | 1K–15K |
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $381.75 | +5.6% | · | $1,056 | +5.6% |
| 2 months | $311.53 | +29.4% | · | $1,294 | +29.4% |
| 3 months | $287.89 | +40.0% | · | $1,400 | +40.0% |
| 6 months | $358.01 | +12.6% | $1.72 | $1,131 | +13.1% |
| 1 year | $377.55 | +6.7% | $6.85 | $1,086 | +8.6% |
| 2 years | $519.16 | -22.4% | $13.45 | $802 | -19.8% |
| 3 years | $449.46 | -10.3% | $18.04 | $937 | -6.3% |
| 5 years | $358.72 | +12.3% | $28.38 | $1,203 | +20.3% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever ELV does next, these words stay.
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