Screened 2026-09-08 · the tape above runs as of 21:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its distribution label.
Cisco holds its Distribution at $109.17. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 1 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-08
Phase
Distribution · caution
Quantitative state
Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 1 days
Price at the screen
$109.17
Valuation
32.78 trailing · 19.49 forward price to earnings
Values screen
PASS· score 81.4
Beta
0.99
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
22.97%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is just 23.0% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money.
Pass
Interest-bearing cash
6.35%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 6.3% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
12.30%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 12.3% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
1.77%
Below 5%
Only 1.8% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Conscience Overlay
Conscience flag · BDS Movement
The quantitative screen above is arithmetic and this name passes it. Separately, community boycott lists cite this company: Cited by BDS movement for providing networking and surveillance technology used by Israeli security forces. The desk records that flag here without folding it into the verdict: the screen measures the balance sheet, the overlay informs the conscience, and they are different judgements that belong to different owners. The second one is yours.
What the Numbers Say It Is Worth
The Fair Value Range
Our framework reads OVERVALUED: it trades at roughly a 29% discount to our $140.33 fair value, moderate competitive moat, 17.60% revenue growth.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-08 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 28.5% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 24 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +24% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-08 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Tech Titan Undervalued Despite Market Caution
Imagine the internet as a bustling city; every building, every streetlight, every traffic signal runs on Cisco's infrastructure – that's the scale of its influence. Cisco's digital backbone spans continents, and with a forward P/E of 19.8x, it looks like a steal in today's tech-heavy market. With 18% revenue growth and a 21% profit margin, Cisco isn't just growing; it's doing so efficiently. Why it stands out is its balance of innovation and stability, a combination rare in the tech world, reflected in its 27% ROE and a moderate moat that shields it from competitors.
However, despite this robust performance, the market has priced Cisco at $109.59, under our fair value of $139.54, suggesting a margin of safety of +27%. While 22 analysts have a consensus buy rating with a median target of $135, the label of 'overvalued' might spook some investors. Yet, considering Cisco's ethical pass and its steady performance metrics, the risk seems more a reflection of market jitters than company fundamentals.
In conclusion, while the market may be cautious, the numbers tell a different story. Cisco's ethical and financial performance are robust, and for those seeking stability with room for growth, it presents a compelling case. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
CSCO trades on a US exchange. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 10.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 53% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 87%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 33%. The street (22 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $124. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
2026-08-12Markup$121.50+0.0%Entry 11
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 53% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 87%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 33%. The street (22 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $124. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-08-11Markup$121.50+0.0%Entry 10
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 53% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 87%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 33%. The street (22 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $124. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-08-09Markup$121.50+0.0%Entry 9
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 53% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 87%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 33%. The street (22 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $124. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-08-08Markup$121.50+0.0%Entry 8
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 53% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 87%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 33%. The street (22 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $124. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-08-07Markup · changed$121.50+0.0%Entry 7
The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 53% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 87%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 33%. The street (22 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $124. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-08-06Distribution$121.50+6.4%Entry 6
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved up 6.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 53% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 87%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 33%. The street (22 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $124. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 53% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 87%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 33%. The street (22 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $124. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-25Markup$114.17-6.1%Entry 4
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 6.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 53% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 87%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 33%. The street (22 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $124. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
2026-07-18Markup$121.64+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 53% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 87%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 33%. The street (22 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $124. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.