ABNB
Airbnb
Consumer Discretionary · Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines · US
$141.49
Close 2026-05-10
✗ ETHICAL FAIL

STRONG MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$84.1B
Trailing P/E
34.90
Forward P/E
23.70
Rev Growth
+12.0%
Profit Margin
19.9%
ROE
30.2%
Analyst Target
$156.29
Recommendation
BUY
About Airbnb

Airbnb, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates a platform for stays, experiences, and services worldwide. The company's marketplace connects hosts and guests online or through mobile devices to book spaces, experiences, and services. It also offers gift cards. The company was formerly known as AirBed & Breakfast, Inc. and changed its name to Airbnb, Inc. in November 2010. Airbnb, Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

Opportunity Summary
Trading at $141, 19% above fair value of $119. Strong competitive moat. Fails ethical screen (Revenue purity). Ranks better than 18% of screened stocks.
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt Ratio (0.09%)PASS
Cash Ratio (0.20%)PASS
Receivables Ratio (0.30%)PASS
Revenue Ratio (0.06%)FAIL
OverallFAIL
Score Ethical: 10.0
Score Valuation: 50.5
Score Quality: 62.0
Score Combined: 40.6
Fair Value Est: $119.00 · Margin of Safety: -15.9% · Tier: AVOID

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation71.8
Quality61.2
Cash Flow52.5
Moat100.0
Balance Sheet96.5
Debt Purity71.8
Liquid Purity39.2
Rev Purity0.0
Compliance41.1
Tier: BRONZE · Score: 53.1 · Rank: #1196
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-08-051.25Pending--
2026-05-070.310.26-14.8%
2026-02-120.650.56-13.8%
2025-11-062.312.21-4.4%
2025-08-060.941.03+9.4%
2025-05-010.240.24+2.0%
2025-02-130.580.73+25.1%
2024-11-072.132.13-0.2%
Quarterly Financials
PeriodRevenueNet IncomeEBITDAGross ProfitOp. IncomeEPS
2026-03-31$2.7B$160.0M$86.0M$2.1B$86.0M0.27
2025-12-31$2.8B$341.0M$269.0M$2.3B$269.0M0.56
2025-09-30$4.1B$1.4B$1.6B$3.5B$1.6B2.25
2025-06-30$3.1B$642.0M$612.0M$2.6B$612.0M1.04
2025-03-31$2.3B$154.0M$38.0M$1.8B$38.0M0.25
2024-12-31
Insider Transactions
DateNameRoleSharesValue
2026-05-20BLECHARCZYK NATHANOfficer, Director and Beneficial Owner2,739$359.9K
2026-05-19GEBBIA JOSEPHDirector and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security3,450,000--
2026-05-19BLECHARCZYK NATHANOfficer, Director and Beneficial Owner450--
2026-05-18GEBBIA JOSEPHDirector and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security54,000$7.3M
2026-05-11BLECHARCZYK NATHANOfficer, Director and Beneficial Owner60,763--
2026-05-11BLECHARCZYK NATHANOfficer, Director and Beneficial Owner60,763$8.9M
2026-05-04MERTZ ELINORChief Financial Officer3,750$536.2K
2026-05-04GEBBIA JOSEPHDirector and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security58,000$8.1M
2026-04-23BERNSTEIN DAVID CHARLESOfficer11,201--
2026-04-23BLECHARCZYK NATHANOfficer, Director and Beneficial Owner39,204--
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
Blackrock Inc.31.9M$4.2B0.1%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC26.1M$3.5B0.1%
Harris Associates L.P.19.2M$2.5B0.0%
State Street Corporation17.7M$2.3B0.0%
Morgan Stanley10.4M$1.4B0.0%
Geode Capital Management, LLC10.4M$1.4B0.0%
AQR Capital Management, LLC8.0M$1.1B0.0%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC7.8M$1.0B0.0%
FMR, LLC7.8M$1.0B0.0%
Invesco Ltd.6.0M$795.2M0.0%
Analyst Recommendations
3 Months Ago
4
17
20
2
43 analysts
2 Months Ago
4
16
22
2
44 analysts
Last Month
4
16
21
3
44 analysts
Current
3
18
18
2
41 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Recent Price History
2026-05-10
$141.49
2026-05-09
$141.49
2026-05-08
$139.88
2026-05-08
$139.88
5D Range
May 8
May 8
May 9
May 10
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$69.1B
Price/Book
10.31
Beta
1.208
Analysts
36
Total Revenue (TTM)
$12.6B
Total Debt
$2.5B
Earnings Growth
+6.0%
Rec. Mean
2.15
Short Ratio
5.17
Short % Float
0.0%
Employees
8,200

Elite Intelligence

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 40.6 (P45 — top 55.0% of scored tickers). Strong Moat. Ethical FAIL. 35 analysts at Buy.
Price: $141.49 | Target: $156.79 (+11%) | Fair Value: $119.00 (+-16%)
Score
41
Moat
STRONG
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+11%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+12.0%
Profit Margin0.0%
ROE30.2%
Forward P/E23.7
Market Cap$84.1B
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-08-05$1.25Pending
2026-05-07$0.31$0.26-14.8%
2026-02-12$0.65$0.56-13.8%
2025-11-06$2.31$2.21-4.4%
2025-08-06$0.94$1.03+9.4%
2025-05-01$0.24$0.24+2.0%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $120.27 (-15%) | Entry: $141.49
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($156.79, 35 analysts)
10$1,414.90+$153.00 (11%)0.7R
50$7,074.50+$765.00 (11%)0.7R
100$14,149.00+$1,530.00 (11%)0.7R
To Fair Value ($119.00)
10$1,414.90+$-224.90 (-16%)-1.1R
50$7,074.50+$-1,124.50 (-16%)-1.1R
100$14,149.00+$-2,249.00 (-16%)-1.1R
Risk Factors
  • Elevated short interest (5.17 days to cover)
The Verdict
Airbnb holds a strong competitive moat.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

C
Quant Score
44.0
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
8
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-3.6%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-5.7%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
-0.18
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-34.5%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
90
Liquidity Grade
HIGHLY LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
ABOVE_200
Bollinger Position
LOWER_HALF
Beta
Relative Volume
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
37.5%
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
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Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
ED-0.212
SOFO-0.200
DUK-0.191
CME-0.186
0002.HK-0.180
Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Wednesday
Worst Day
Thursday
Best Month
Apr
Worst Month
Mar
Fri-Mon Effect
-0.16826442944048844
Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
-4.3%
Beat Drift Positive %
33.3%
Consistency
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
-7.1%
3M Return
+5.6%
6M Return
+18.9%
12M Return
+3.9%
Momentum Rank
#2282
Momentum Signal
FLAT

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