An entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.
In plain words · América Móvil, S.A.B.
VERDICT
The label
Markdown
read at $23.92
America Movil SAB de CV ADR holds its Markdown at $23.92.
PHPhase · the trend structure carries the Markdown label
INInsiders · no filings inside 60 days, left as found
POPositioning · no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
OPOptions · no verdict drawn today, left as found
SCScreen · does not pass the values gate
edge confirmed
edge broken
edge forming
Each arm is one independent read. Conviction is not a single call, it is how many edges converge.
INVESTOR
The investor read · the season, not the day
As held on the ledger · 2026-08-06
Phase
Markdown · caution
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 4 days
Price
$23.92
Valuation
13.99 trailing · 11.42 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
0.27
OPPORTUNITY
The opportunity · what the numbers say it is worth
Read at
$23.92
13.99 P/E · 11.42 fwd
Our fair value
$35.00
46% discount
Analyst target (avg)
$30.00
+25% to current
Target low $20.80Analyst target rangeTarget high $35.00
▲ current $23.92 · | average target
Price history & projections · where it has been, where the models see it going
The valuation journey · where the price sits against fair value and the Street
Current
$23.92
you are here
Conservative
$34.57
+45%
Analyst avg
$30.00
+25%
Our fair value
$35.00
+46%
Analyst high
$35.00
+46%
Green marks levels above today's price, red below; the shaded band is the gap between the price and our fair value.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Revenue growth
3.10%
Profit margin
9.37%
Debt to equity
157.80
Analyst consensus
Buy · 15 covering
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; target range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
SCREEN
The values screen, explained · five checks, plain English
This company is excluded by both standards. There are two widely recognised ways to check whether a company is suitable for a Muslim investor. It fails on both:
The common standard· AAOIFI Used by most halal investing apps✗ DOES NOT PASS
Our stricter standard· asset-based The one Titan applies✗ DOES NOT PASS
Why it fails. The problem is its debt ratio. Because both standards agree on this, it is a clear exclusion, not a borderline case.
Business activityIts core business isn't built on prohibited lines — no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.Pass
Debt loadInterest-bearing debt is 41.1% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.Fail
Interest-bearing cashCash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 1.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.Pass
ReceivablesMoney owed to the company is 15.4% of assets, under the 49% limit.Pass
Revenue purityOnly 1.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources — under the 5% line.Pass
Every security is read against two recognised standards: our stricter asset-based screen (ratios measured against total assets) and the more widely used market-value standard (measured against market capitalisation). Where they agree we say so plainly; where they part ways — almost always on the debt check — we show both readings and mark it, because that disagreement is the finding, not a fault. We report the score; you and your scholar make the call.
PLAIN
The business, in plain words · what the numbers mean
Every call across Latin America routes through one name
Think of América Móvil as the pipes carrying most phone calls and data across Mexico and much of Latin America. The shares sit at $26.27 against our $35 fair value, yet the opportunity rating stays at none. Forward earnings sit at 12.5 times, revenue edges up just 2 percent a year, and the narrow moat leaves little room to defend returns.
The business clears the ethical screen and posts a solid 21 percent return on equity with 9 percent profit margins. Still, single-digit growth in mature markets rarely compounds into lasting outperformance. Analyst targets cluster around $30, close enough to current levels that the apparent discount offers little extra cushion.
Currency swings, regulatory pressure and competition from newer networks remain real threats in the region. Low growth plus a narrow moat often signals a value trap rather than a bargain. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: its business and earnings are exposed to Mexico and to currency swings; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
TRADER
The trader read · the latest dated commentary
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 10% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 52%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 20%. The street (15 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $28. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis. Entered 2026-07-21 · Markdown
JOURNAL
The dated journal · newest first, never edited
2026-07-21Markdown$26.27+0.0%Entry 8
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 10% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 52%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 20%. The street (15 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $28. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-20Markdown$26.27+0.0%Entry 7
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 10% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 52%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 20%. The street (15 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $28. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-19Markdown$26.27-5.3%Entry 6
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 5.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 10% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 52%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 20%. The street (15 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $28. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-18Markdown$27.75+0.0%Entry 5
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 10% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 52%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 20%. The street (15 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $28. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-17Markdown$27.75+0.0%Entry 4
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 10% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 52%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 20%. The street (15 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $28. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-16Markdown$27.75+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 10% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 52%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 20%. The street (15 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $28. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-03Markdown$27.75+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markdown$27.75Entry 1
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
RETURNS
What holding actually paid · price plus dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
Period
Price then
Price return
Divs per share
$1,000 became
Total return
1 month
$27.42
-6.8%
·
$932
-6.8%
2 months
$27.19
-6.0%
·
$940
-6.0%
3 months
$23.03
+10.9%
·
$1,109
+10.9%
6 months
$21.38
+19.5%
·
$1,195
+19.5%
1 year
$16.78
+52.3%
$0.28
$1,539
+53.9%
2 years
$16.19
+57.9%
$0.78
$1,627
+62.7%
3 years
$20.77
+23.0%
$1.31
$1,293
+29.3%
5 years
$14.21
+79.7%
$2.51
$1,974
+97.4%
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SEALED
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever AMX does next, these words stay.
America Movil SAB de CV ADR · AMX · Markdown · $23.92
Recorded 2026-08-06 · before the outcome · scored mechanically
